Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Albuquerque
Saturday - September 10, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ALB-8   09/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($8K) 2 ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEW MEXICO JEREMY Aug14 Jul29 Jun26 Jun10 May08 (hone bart)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 120 5.00    
PAINTED SMOKE Aug14 Jul29       (fincher todd )ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 20.00    
SOUTHWEST SILVER Aug31         (chavez la)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 117 25.00    
BETTER BELIEVE Aug14 Jul29 May08 Apr02   (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 117 2.50 44% 1.30    
DANJERUS STORM May20         (quiroz filiberto)MEDELLIN A 120 10.00    
LEAVE THEM BEHIND Aug14 Jul29 Jun26 Jun10   (danl)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 8.00 6% 17.10    
DOER NOT A FAKER Aug14 Jul29 Jun19     (fincher w)CEBALLOS F 117 3.50 25% 3.10    
MR RIGGER Aug14 Jul29 Jun19     (lamber)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 120 15.00    
THE FINAL FOOTNOTE         (lambert cas)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 12.00    
10  M G LOOKINGOOD Aug24 Jul30       (gonzalez jo)SCRIVER L 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
 
ALB-9   09/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($8K) 2 ALL PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUSICS MY VICE Aug14 Jul29 Jun10     (fincher todd )ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 6.00    
SCR  ARBITRO Aug24 Jul30 May20     (olguin ever)VAZQUEZ JOSE 120 25.00    
RATTILA Aug14 Jul29 Jun26 Jun10   (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 4.50    
SMARTSREALGOOD Aug14         (green gre)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 120 20.00    
TARDY CAT Jul29 Jun19       (riddle jacki)SARMIENTO RIGO 120 12.00    
OL' MCCLINTOCK Jun10         (lamb)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 15.00    
AR YA WEEGEE Aug24         (cross gary)SCRIVER L 120 3.50 28% 2.60    
STORM LEADER Aug14 Jul29 Jun26 Jun10   (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 120 2.50 48% 1.10    
VALENTINO WHO Aug14 Jul29       (fincher w)CEBALLOS F 120 8.00    
SCR  SEA OF SAND         (gonzalez r)MEDELLIN A 120 10.00    
 
ALB-10   09/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($8K) 2 ALL PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWAYEM Aug14 Jul29 Jun10 Apr02   (lambert c)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 120 12.00    
SHEZA HAILSTORM Aug14 Jul29       (vale)GOMEZ PORTILLO 117 4.50 19% 4.20    
ATILLAS ANGEL Aug14 Jul29       (fincher w)CEBALLOS F 117 10.00    
GEORGE WHO Aug14 Jul29 Jul03     (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 120 3.00 24% 3.20    
NACHO GRANDE Aug14 Jul30 May20 May08   (quiroz)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 120 15.00    
READS CODIGO         (barton dalla)SARMIENTO RIGO 120 8.00    
NOSTRANGRTOTHERAIN Aug14 Jul29 Jun26 Jun10 May08 (lambert clifford)MEDELLIN A 120 6.00 19% 4.30    
PERFECT IMAGE Aug14 Jul29 Jun24     (riddle jackie)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 20.00    
Z MARKS THE SPOT Jun26 Jun10       (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 3.50 18% 4.50    
SCR  BIG BONANZA         (gonzalez jo)SCRIVER L 120 25.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.