Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Rosa
Sunday - August 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SR-1   08/14/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NAP TIME Aug05 Jul03 Mar13 Feb25   (lucas robert )KING MCKENZIE 122 8.00 ★    
2  SHOUT IT OUT Jul02 Jun03 May15 May08 Feb26 (wong jonathan)PENA BRYAN 125 1.00 43% 1.30    
3  ZAKKIYYAH May15 Apr29 Apr02     (haley gloria)OROZCO IRVING 125 3.00 15% 5.70    
4  BANDON BRIDGE Jul30 Jul02       (bellasis )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 125 10.00 9% 10.00    
5  CHIQUITA PIQUITA Jul30 Jun20       (guerrero emili)FLORES PABLO 123 12.00 ★    
6  WETHERLY Jul31 Jul23 Jul03 Jun10 May06 (tamayo isid)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 3.50    
 
SR-2   08/14/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26K) 2 ALL PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALI CONQUEST         (wong jonath)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 120 2.00 24% 3.10    
2  CODIS BREAKER Jun25         (haley glo)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 120 3.00 ★    
3  SMOKIN' HOT Jul15 Jul01       (wong jonathan)PENA BRYAN 120 1.60 51% 1.00    
4  CALCULATED SPIN Aug06 Jul24       (davis bo)AMADOR RUIZ 120 12.00 ★    
5  HAPPY DOES Jul24 Jul01       (rondan felix)RIVERA SANTOS 120 4.00 ★    
 
SR-3   08/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZERO BUCKS GIVEN Jul22 Jun25 May14 Apr03 Mar18 (thomas jam)MONROY FRANCISCO 125 0.80 45% 1.20    
2  SPEEDY TOM Aug07         (guerrero emil)RIVERA SANTOS 125 6.00 ★    
3  IMA SAINT TOO Jul29 May28 May13 Apr30 Mar15 (lucas robert )KING MCKENZIE 125 5.00 31% 2.20    
4  EDINBURGH EXPRESS Jul01 Jun10 May21     (wong jonath)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 2.00 ★    
SCR  PROJECT LOGIC Jul30 Jul08 Jun11 May22 May07 (lucas j)FLORES PABLO 120 15.00 ★    
 
SR-4   08/14/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOWHERE MAN Jul08 Jun19 May22 Apr24 Apr03 (delima cli)MONROY FRANCISCO 123 3.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  WINE AND WHISKY Aug07 Jul22 Jun19 May30 Apr30 (tamayo isidro)FLORES P 123 2.00 21% 3.70    
3  J T'S WATCH Aug05 Jul08 May21 Apr08 Mar26 (tamayo isid)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 123 2.50 ★    
4  SUNNY SPOT Jul01 Jun05 May22 Apr10 Mar04 (preciado )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 123 3.50 ★    
5  CANYON CREST Jul23 Apr29 Mar27 Mar07 Feb13 (mcdonald me)MARTINEZ ADRIAN 116 8.00 ★    
 
SR-5   08/14/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($8K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORE BUBBLY Jul22 Jun10       (baker wa)ORANTES R 115 6.00 12% 7.10    
SCR  DUMB LUCK Jul17 Jun19 May30 May06 Apr09 (howey quinn)RIVERA SANTOS 125 2.50 19% 4.20    
3  ENGRAM Jul16 Jul01 Jan08     (miller quentin)FLORES PABLO 125 6.00 ★    
4  WHOA BUDDY Jul24 Jul04 May01 Jan28 Jan17 (torres arno)TERRERO M 125 3.50 ★    
SCR  CHIEF JACKSON Aug05 Jul24 Jul04 Jun11 Feb20 (baker )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 118 1.40 41% 1.50    
 
SR-6   08/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMADMADWORLD Jul10 Jun25 Jun03 May13 Mar27 (miyadi steven)OROZCO IRVING 122 2.00 66% 0.50    
2  ROYAL HEART Jul15 Jul02 Jun12 May22   (de jesus )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 125 20.00    
3  AWKWARD MORNING Jun19 May01 Mar13 Feb06   (mathis andy)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 122 6.00    
4  INSTIGATE         (mathis andy)PENA BRYAN 122 2.50 6% 14.70    
5  TEE SHOT Jul30 May06       (treece charle)RIVERA SANTOS 122 4.50 ★    
6  OMAHA RUTSCH Jul23 Jul16 Jun05 May14 Apr23 (de pablo)FLORES P 125 6.00 ★    
7  TRIBUTE TO AFLEET Jul23 May29 May07 Apr03 Mar18 (mara)ANTONGEORGI JR 122 8.00 ★    
 
SR-7   08/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REFI NOW Jul09 Jun19 May30 May08 Apr09 (navarre jacqui)ALVARADO T 125 2.50 ★    
2  SATANTA Jul31 Jul04 Jun12 May30 May15 (ramos jesus)PENA BRYAN 125 4.00 20% 4.00    
3  LIGHTINTHEDARKNESS Jul31 Jun19 May01     (wong jona)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 125 1.60 50% 1.00    
4  CONTINENTAL UNION Jul31 Jul09 Jun12 May06 Apr10 (tamayo is)MARTINEZ CATALINO 125 3.00 ★    
SCR  GOOD BYE PUTIN Jul01 May28 Apr03 Feb04   (wong jonath)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 6.00 ★    
 
SR-8   08/14/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  U. S. DANGER Jul24         (wong jonath)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 2.50 28% 2.60    
2  BLACK CASPIAN (IRE) Jul24 Jul03 Jun04 May15 Apr23 (badilla man)TERRERO M 123 3.50 14% 6.00    
3  UNION DANCE Jul16 Jun18 May20     (tamayo isi)MONROY FRANCISCO 125 8.00    
4  MEMO DADDY (CHI) Jul03 Jun04 May15 Apr16 Mar27 (bellasis tim)OROZCO IRVING 125 3.00 25% 3.00    
5  SEA OF LIBERTY Jul24 Jun04       (thom)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 5.00 11% 8.20    
SCR  TOFINO BAY May20 Apr01 Feb26     (drysdale)AMADOR RUIZ 120 6.00    
7  ROBIE Jul03 Jun12 May28 May07 Apr08 (taylor faith)PENA BRYAN 125 12.00 ★    
 
SR-9   08/14/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LIL MIRACLE MAN Jul22 Jun26 Jun12 May28 May07 (jackson e)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 125 3.50 ★    
2  UNION WAVE Jul22 Jun18 May28 May08 Apr23 (bellasis tim)OROZCO IRVING 125 2.50 41% 1.40    
3  ARMA D'ORO Jul09 Jun26 May21     (mccanna tim)ALVARADO T 123 3.50 ★    
4  MOUNT PELLIAR Jul22 Jul04 Jun12 May28 May07 (greiner gary)FLORES P 125 3.00 26% 2.90    
5  WICKED BLUE Jul29 Jul15 Jun25 Jun04 May01 (rivera leobar)RIVERA SANTOS 125 10.00    
6  LEMON ZINGER Jul22 Jul03 Jun12 Jun04 May13 (greiner g)MARTINEZ CATALINO 125 5.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.