Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Ruidoso Downs
Sunday - August 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
RUI-2   08/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($13.2K) 2 ALL PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RYDERS UP         (marr h)TORRES J 120 5.00 33% 2.10    
PERFECT IMAGE Jul29 Jun24       (riddle jacki)VILLANUEVA C 120 4.00    
AWAY I GO Jul29         (sanders g)RIVAS CARLOS 120 10.00    
ATTILAS TORNADO Jul29 Jul03       (buec)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 4.50    
SWAYEM Jul29 Jun10 Apr02     (lambert casey)JUAREZ J 120 3.00 22% 3.50    
BYE BYE HEATH Jul29 Jun10 Apr02     (fincher w)REYES FRANK 120 3.50 22% 3.50    
FLAG THE FOOTNOTE Jul29 Jun10       (fincher w)CEBALLOS F 120 8.00    
 
RUI-3   08/14/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAINFRAME JUDY         (collier c)CHAVEZ R 123 3.00 14% 6.00    
CAMINETTO Jun10         (sedillo e)TORRES J 123 20.00    
COYSTER Jul01 Jun10 May30     (lambert casey )CEBALLOS F 123 6.00    
BOOMER WHO Jul30 Jun25 May29 May20 May01 (sedillo r)RIVAS CARLOS 123 20.00    
DIABOLICAL KING May30         (riddle jacki)VILLANUEVA C 123 2.00    
SCR  WILLY TELL HIM Jul23 Jul01 Apr03 Mar15   (sedillo richard)REYES FRANK 123 4.00    
COWBOY TOBY Jul23 Jun10 May30 Feb26 Feb15 (lamb)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 3.50 57% 0.70    
 
RUI-5   08/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12.85K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INFINITE HEAT         (danl)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 7.00 12% 7.10    
LEAD MONTEREY Jul30 Jun17 Feb27 Feb01 Jan09 (fincher w)CEBALLOS F 121 1.80 49% 1.00    
CHIPPSTER Jul30 Jun12 Feb22 Feb01 Jan11 (lambert t)PEREZ A 121 3.50 12% 7.10    
TRUELY RIGHT Jun17         (sanders g)RIVAS CARLOS 121 12.00    
ZESTY JAZZMAN May01 Mar22 Jan25 Jan01   (villalobo)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 123 5.00    
WILEO PROCEED Jul16 Jun25 Jun11 May13 Mar15 (sedillo e)CHAVEZ R 116 4.00 6% 16.40    
TRUEZER Jul02 Jun17 Mar08 Feb01   (lambert casey)JUAREZ J 121 15.00    
 
RUI-7   08/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($128.784K) 2 F PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADIES SISTER Jul29 May20       (wellborn dick)TORRES J 120 30.00    
ATILLAS ANGEL Jul29         (fincher w)CEBALLOS F 120 20.00    
DOER NOT A FAKER Jul29 Jun19       (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 120 2.50 26% 2.90    
BETTER BELIEVE Jul29 May08 Apr02     (fincher to)ERAMIA E 120 1.60 27% 2.70    
PRETTY PEPPY Jul29 Jul17 Jun10     (collier jimm)VILLANUEVA C 120 20.00    
BRYNS MARK Jul29 Jun24       (fincher w)REYES FRANK 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
BYE BYE BROOKY Jul29 Jun19       (fincher w)CHAVEZ R 120 15.00    
STORMY DAME Jul29 Jul17 Jun24 Jun10   (zamora chris)PEREZ A 120 12.00    
MAMA WAS A ROCKET Jul29 Jul03       (fincher to)RODRIGUEZ H 120 6.00 16% 5.40    
10  SHEZA HAILSTORM Jul29         (vale)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 5.00 7% 13.70    
 
RUI-8   08/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($137.784K) 2 ALL PT- 6:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HENNESSY LOOKER RF Jul29 Jul03 Jun19     (lambert t)CHAVEZ R 120 10.00    
STORM LEADER Jul29 Jun26 Jun10     (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 120 2.00 33% 2.00    
VALENTINO WHO Jul29         (fincher w)CEBALLOS F 120 12.00    
LEAVE THEM BEHIND Jul29 Jun26 Jun10     (danl)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 4.50 7% 13.20    
MR RIGGER Jul29 Jun19       (lambert clif)VILLANUEVA C 120 15.00    
GEORGE WHO Jul29 Jul03       (fincher to)RODRIGUEZ H 120 10.00    
PAINTED SMOKE Jul29         (fincher w)REYES FRANK 120 20.00    
SCR  ANTONIOS MARK Jul29         (barton j)TORRES J 120 6.00    
RATTILA Jul29 Jun26 Jun10     (fincher to)ERAMIA E 120 15.00    
10  NOSTRANGRTOTHERAIN Jul29 Jun26 Jun10 May08 Apr02 (lambert clifford)PEREZ A 120 3.50 38% 1.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.