Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Rosa
Friday - August 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SR-1   08/12/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 2 F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DANZING ROAD Jul29 Jun24       (trujillo vict)RIVERA SANTOS 120 6.00 15% 5.60    
2  JERSEY STAR Jul29 Jul02       (calvario sa)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 120 1.20 37% 1.70    
3  PANDEMIC GIRL Jul02 Jun11       (rondan feli)TERRERO M 120 3.00 ★    
4  SMOKEMS TAPHOUSE Jul10 Jun11       (taylor fait)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 120 3.50 ★    
5  YOUR ROYAL FLYNESS         (taylor faith)SANGUINETTI A 120 5.00 22% 3.60    
 
SR-2   08/12/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOMARA Jun24 May20 May06 Apr17 Mar27 (tamayo isidro)ROMAN A 125 1.80 ★    
2  KAYLA'S COWGIRL Jul31 Jul23 Jul04 Jun21   (guerrero em)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 125 3.00 39% 1.60    
3  TAKES A VILLAGE         (rubin ho)AMADOR RUIZ 125 12.00 ★    
4  ZU ZU FLYNN Jul10 May27 Apr30     (miyadi steven)RIVERA SANTOS 125 2.50 34% 2.00    
5  GEMMA ROYAL Aug04 Jun24 Jun03 May08   (calvario )MARTINEZ CATALINO 125 6.00    
6  RAMONCITA LIGHT May20 May06 Apr10 Mar19 Feb21 (greiner gary)FLORES P 125 8.00 ★    
 
SR-3   08/12/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PEACEHAVEN Jul29 May20       (mathis andy)ROMAN A 122 1.60 10% 9.50    
2  SHARAC (GB) Jul03         (badilla manue)SANGUINETTI A 122 2.00 44% 1.30    
3  LADY BLACKBIRD Jul31 Jun10 May06 Apr10 Feb19 (rivera leobardo)PENA BRYAN 122 4.00 ★    
4  LAKAYA Jul08 Jun24       (mclean bill)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 3.00 25% 3.00    
5  DARK INTENT Jul02 Jun19 May30 May14 Apr17 (prec)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 10.00 ★    
 
SR-4   08/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3 ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNUSUAL CODE Jun25 May29 Apr16 Mar18 Feb25 (mcle)ANTONGEORGI JR 120 3.50 24% 3.10    
2  MADE THE TEAM Jul15 Jun26 Jun05     (paldanius she)RIVERA SANTOS 122 5.00 ★    
3  ENJOY IT STRAIT Jul17 Jun12 May15 Apr16 Mar13 (howey quinn)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 120 1.40 29% 2.50    
4  STAY LIT Jul17 Jun12 May29 May07 Apr24 (moger jr)ALVARADO T 122 4.00 13% 6.70    
5  HANS GRUBER Jul31 Jul17 Jun25 May30 Apr29 (jauregui j)COUTON JULIEN 120 3.00 ★    
 
SR-5   08/12/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26K) 2 F PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCESA DEL TIGRE Jul10         (mccanna tim)OROZCO IRVING 120 2.00 49% 1.00    
2  ULTIMATE DIVA         (ramirez a)PENA BRYAN 120 8.00    
3  ALL HALLOWS Jul10         (mccanna tim)ALVARADO T 120 3.00 ★    
4  BOB'S VAI         (taylor fait)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 120 6.00 ★    
5  CHROME'S BEST COPY         (galvin w)FLORES P 120 10.00    
6  PURPLE NIGHT         (wright bl)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 120 6.00 ★    
7  BET DE VRON Jul02         (taylor fait)TERRERO M 120 4.00 23% 3.30    
 
SR-6   08/12/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOTHERS DREAM Jul08 Jun05       (preciado guillermo)FLORES P 122 5.00 21% 3.70    
2  ROSEBUD RYDE Jul02 Jun19 May28 May08   (jauregui j)COUTON JULIEN 122 2.00 37% 1.70    
3  CHELINA Jul17 Jul02 Jun10 May28 May07 (ledezma ser)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 122 2.50 ★    
4  SLUMBERING BEAUTY Jul29 Jun10 May27 May08   (rive)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 15.00 ★    
5  ON VACATION Jul08 Jun25 May21     (galvin bren)TERRERO M 122 6.00    
6  APPLAUD THE BENCH Jul17 Jun17 May30 Apr17   (paldanius she)RIVERA SANTOS 125 3.00 10% 8.70    
 
SR-7   08/12/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 2 ALL PT- 8:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPECIAL MOMENT         (wong jonathan)ROMAN A 120 4.50 ★    
2  CONSUMING         (jauregui )MARTINEZ CATALINO 120 8.00    
3  O B'S         (mclean bill)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 120 5.00 ★    
4  LET THERE BE PEACE Jul31         (wong jonathan)PENA BRYAN 120 2.50 72% 0.40    
5  MONEY MUNCHER Jul01 May28       (moger ed)AMADOR RUIZ 120 3.00 ★    
6  PASSION OF JOE'S Jul15         (moger jr)COUTON JULIEN 120 12.00    
7  BEAU MISCHIEF         (wright blaine)RIVERA SANTOS 120 5.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.