Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Camarero Race Track (Pr)
Thursday - August 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CMR-2   08/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST CLM4000NW16M ($4K) Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEACHTREASUREGIRL         (colorado luis)RIVERA F null      
ALICE'S GIRLS Mar18         (encarnacion)ROSARIO KEDDWIN null   11% 8.40    
NOWITNA RIVER         (torres melvi)FIGUEROA NICKY null   39% 1.60    
SOUPER CAPACITY Feb18         (rohena rafae)FIGUEROA JOVAN null      
SILK SHAKER Mar18 Feb26       (alamo josue)VELEZ I null      
MIDNIGHT GEM         (rivera alexi)OSORIO JR null   14% 6.20    
 
CMR-3   08/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST CLM14000 ($14K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP M/F PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE AMERICA         (gomez maxim)SANTIAGO JAVIER null      
HEROICA Feb04         (rondon artur)NAVARRO JOSHUA null   23% 3.30    
TENACIDAD         (negron ricar)FIGUEROA NICKY null      
SCARLET FLAME         (rivera lopez )VELEZ I null      
SAMIRA A         (pena steven)ROBLES G null   34% 1.90    
HORIZON MOON Jul21         (morales ramon)DIAZ JR null   15% 5.60    
SCR  MY WAY OR ELSE Feb26 Feb19 Feb03 Jan20   (ramos edwin)BERRIOS HECTOR null      
 
CMR-4   08/11/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST CLM27000 ($27K) Purse ($9.2K) 3UP M/F PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRETTY AND PROUD Jan06         (diaz samue)RODRIGUEZ C null      
FLOR PERFUMADA         (diaz samuel)ROBLES G null   22% 3.70    
CONTENTA Y RELAX         (betancourt eri)HIRALDO LUIS null      
SRA. MARADONA Jul14         (morales ramon)RIVERA F null      
EL PICO DE LESLI Jan22 Jan06       (lisboa jason)NAVARRO JOSHUA null   47% 1.10    
DONA LOLA Jul14 Feb26       (orozcojr ramon)CASTRO E null      
SRA. IVETTE May27         (arroyo jose )FIGUEROA NICKY null      
 
CMR-5   08/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST CLM4000 ($4K) Purse ($6K) 3 M/F PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPTURADORA Feb26         (gorritz jose )RIVERA CARLOS null      
DANCING BIRD Feb26         (vargas bue)NAVARRO JOSHUA null   38% 1.70    
DEFEND THE LAND May20 Feb26 Jan14     (torres melvin)RIVERA F null      
BOMBASTIC Feb26         (valdez francisco)CASTRO E null      
MICAELA D.         (colon ruben)VELEZ I null      
VICTORIA C. Feb26         (rivera alexi)OSORIO JR null   6% 16.30    
KUMANDRA Apr01         (moralescasti)FIGUEROA JOVAN null      
APOSTADORA         (ambert victo)FIGUEROA NICKY null      
AFTERNOON FLIGHT Jul21         (gomez maximo)ADORNO Y null      
11  DANCING APROVAL Apr01         (gragirenes)RODRIGUEZ C null      
SCR  DANCER BOOTS Jul21 Apr01       (colorad)MALDONADO N null   34% 1.90    
 
CMR-6   08/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST CLM4000NW16M ($4K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHANGING LANES May20 Jan12       (negron ricardo)NEGRON LUIS null      
RED DIRT RANGER Feb26         (garcia o)CARRASQUILLO EDWIN null   34% 1.90    
ROARING THUNDER Jul21 Jun10 Feb13     (rios p)ROBLES G null      
PAPA LUKE Feb27 Feb13 Jan19 Jan01   (rivera alex)PELLOT L null      
PARMENIDES Feb18         (colorado luis)RIVERA F null      
SILVER DEFENSE Feb11         (negron ricar)FIGUEROA NICKY null   42% 1.40    
CORTEZANO May20 Feb26 Feb11     (colorad)MALDONADO N null      
BIG ROYAL LINEAGE Feb25 Jan06       (calderon angel)HIRALDO LUIS null      
 
CMR-7   08/11/2022 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST CLM8000 ($8K) Purse ($6.5K) 3UP ALL PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGO DE ORIENTE Jan21         (bultron rein)FIGUEROA NICKY null   12% 7.30    
MI NIETO MATIAS Feb11         (ojeda a)RIVERA CARLOS null      
BELLO SONERO Feb04         (blanco arnald)RIVERA F null      
EL MONITOR Apr01         (martinez juli)VELEZ I null      
ESTUPENDO         (rivera alexi)NAVARRO JOSHUA null   27% 2.70    
NEW MILIONAIRE May28 Jan21       (gragirenes carlos)CASTRO E null   34% 2.00    
SCR  MY FAVORITE J C         (orozcojr ramo)ADORNO Y null      
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.