Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Rosa
Saturday - August 06, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SR-1   08/06/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EASTER GRACE Jul17 Jul02 May07 Mar27   (mcdonald m)MONROY FRANCISCO 122 12.00    
BACALAR Jul10 Jun24 Jun11     (miranda efrain)FLORES P 125 4.50 10% 8.90    
MAGICAL LADY Jul10 Jun24 May29 May06   (france reid)ROMAN A 122 1.40 35% 1.90    
SNOW HILL Jul22 Jun10       (lenzini micha)COUTON JULIEN 122 2.00    
KERRYGOLD LADY Jul10 Jun24       (france reid)OROZCO IRVING 122 3.00 30% 2.40    
 
SR-2   08/06/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26K) 2 ALL PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAN THE CAMERAMAN         (wong jonathan)PENA BRYAN 120 6.00    
SEIGE THE DAY Jul24 Jul08 Jun10     (wong jonathan)ROMAN A 120 2.50 50% 1.00    
CALCULATED SPIN Jul24         (davis c)FLORES P 120 12.00    
STOLEN VOTE Jul09 Jun12       (rondan feli)TERRERO M 120 1.60 21% 3.70    
MY BUCKET LIST Jul15         (badilla manue)RIVERA SANTOS 120 4.00    
MATT'S MONSTER         (taylor faith)OROZCO IRVING 120 5.00    
 
SR-3   08/06/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26K) 3 ALL PT- 5:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VINNIEBOB Jul29 Apr30       (davis bob)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 122 10.00 5% 18.00    
UNION GIG Jul22 Jun11 May14 Apr23   (thomas jamey)PENA BRYAN 122 3.00 14% 6.00    
JOHNNY DAR Jul10 Apr02       (tamayo isidro)ROMAN A 122 4.00 51% 1.00    
UNUSUAL MEASURE         (sher)ANTONGEORGI JR 122 4.50    
YOU KIDDING ME Jul09 Jun05 May22 May15 Apr24 (bellasis)AMADOR RUIZ 122 2.50    
REBEL GIRL Jun17         (powell leonar)COUTON JULIEN 117 3.50    
 
SR-4   08/06/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG ENOUGH Jun21         (guerrero emili)FLORES PABLO 125 5.00 14% 6.20    
WICKED SUNSET Jul22 Jul10       (stortz marcia)ROMAN A 125 1.20    
GARDEES WORLD Jul23 Jun25 Jun03 May08 Apr08 (lenzini micha)RIVERA SANTOS 125 10.00    
SPUN AWAY Jul23 Jul10 Jun24     (bellasis)AMADOR RUIZ 125 1.60 61% 0.70    
MERGIE TROID Jul23 Jul10 Jun28 Jun21 Jun04 (greiner gary)FLORES P 125 8.00    
 
SR-5   08/06/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLEAR WIN Jul22 Jun19 May13 Apr02   (howey quinn)RIVERA SANTOS 123 6.00    
ENGEE OMBEE Jul22 Jul02 Jun17 May29 May08 (hansen roge)TERRERO M 122 12.00 14% 6.00    
DANCE LADY Jul22 Jun24 Jun03 May13 Apr22 (tamayo isi)MONROY FRANCISCO 125 2.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  BIG MAMA THORNTON May27 Jan16       (lucas j)PENA BRYAN 120 4.00    
NISHICO Jul04 Jun25 Jun05 May22 May01 (franko d)AMADOR RUIZ 122 15.00    
JUSTHAPPENLIKETHAT Jul29 Apr01 Mar06 Feb12 Jan21 (wong jonathan)ROMAN A 122 1.20 33% 2.10    
 
SR-6   08/06/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BERNIE'S BIG BOY Jul24 Jul02 May14 May01 Apr16 (miller que)ORANTES R 115 2.50    
SUNSET DRAGUNN Jul24 Jun12 May30 May01 Apr15 (greiner ga)MONROY FRANCISCO 125 1.20 65% 0.50    
EL CHARRO CHAMP         (preciado )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 125 4.50    
FULL OF LIFE Jul24 Jul08 Jun05 May08 Apr24 (rondan felix)RIVERA SANTOS 122 4.00    
HARDY CHISEL Jul09 Jun27 May14 Apr29 Apr10 (greiner gary)FLORES P 125 8.00    
 
SR-7   08/06/2022 5610ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NATURAL COLOUR (GB) Jun19 May28 Apr24     (badilla man)TERRERO M 119 4.00 21% 3.80    
STRIKE AT DAWN Jun05         (wright blaine)ROMAN A 119 3.00 30% 2.30    
MISTY CAT Jul24 Jun25 Jun10 May27 May14 (franko d)AMADOR RUIZ 118 20.00    
NORTHWEST FACTOR Jun25 Jun05 Apr30 Feb26 Feb05 (badilla manue)OROZCO IRVING 120 8.00 12% 7.60    
SCR  SCHERZO (GB) Jun19 May28 Apr30 Apr09 Mar18 (badilla manuel)ALVARADO T 118 10.00    
FREEDOM FLYER Jul22 Jun17 May21     (powell leonar)COUTON JULIEN 119 3.50    
IMPERIAL CREED Jun25 May27 Apr22 Mar25 Feb05 (calvario samu)RIVERA SANTOS 118 15.00 9% 9.70    
ASSIGNATION Jun25 May28 Apr30 Apr02 Feb19 (sher)ANTONGEORGI JR 119 5.00    
REIWA Jun25 May28 Apr30 Apr09 Mar18 (wong jonathan)PENA BRYAN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
SR-8   08/06/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRAUS'S PLACE Jul04 Jun19 May30 Apr16 Mar25 (wright blaine)ROMAN A 123 3.00    
OH GREAT (IRE) Jul08 Jun04 May06 Feb26   (sherman steve )ALVARADO T 122 1.80    
COMMAND A PREMIUM Jun26 Jun10 May20 Apr08 Mar06 (galvin bren)TERRERO M 120 12.00    
SCR  ONE LAST THOUGHT Jul15 Jun25 Apr17 Feb25 Feb05 (eaton terr)MONROY FRANCISCO 120 20.00 8% 12.30    
LEAVEITONTHEFIELD Jul24 Jun04 May07 Apr08 Mar19 (ramirez migue)OROZCO IRVING 123 6.00    
LOVE OF THE SPORT Jul17 Jun26 Jun04 May08 Apr22 (baker wayne)RIVERA SANTOS 125 10.00    
DR. HOFFMAN Jul17 Jul01 Jun17     (franko d)AMADOR RUIZ 125 4.50 58% 0.70    
ROARING TIGER Jul08 Jun26       (bake)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.