Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Ruidoso Downs
Friday - July 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
RUI-1   07/29/2022 3630ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($6K) 2 F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BYE BYE BROOKY Jun19         (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 119 5.00    
VIPERS PRINCESS Jun10         (fincher todd)SARMIENTO RIGO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
PRETTY PEPPY Jul17 Jun10       (collier c)CHAVEZ R 119 12.00    
DOER NOT A FAKER Jun19         (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 119 2.00 59% 0.70    
LADIES SISTER May20         (wellborn dick)TORRES J 119 8.00    
SCR  CROSSFIRE COWGIRL Jun26 Jun10       (fincher w)CEBALLOS F 119 4.00 16% 5.40    
STORMY DAME Jul17 Jun24 Jun10     (zamo)GOMEZ PORTILLO 119 3.50    
ROCKETT'S RED CITY Jul17         (smith a)SIGALA ALFREDO 119 15.00    
 
RUI-3   07/29/2022 3630ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($6K) 2 F PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEZA HAILSTORM         (vale)GOMEZ PORTILLO 119 20.00    
BRYNS MARK Jun24         (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 119 3.00 17% 5.00    
NEW MEXICO LINDY Jun10         (hone bart)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 119 12.00    
LEAP YEAR NIGHT Jul17         (buechler simon )REYES FRANK 119 8.00    
BELLAMUNDO         (gonzalez jo)SCRIVER L 119 20.00    
METROS LIL POLLIE Jul17         (richards rodney)CHAVEZ R 119 3.50 6% 15.40    
BETTER BELIEVE May08 Apr02       (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 119 2.50 32% 2.20    
ATILLAS ANGEL         (fincher w)CEBALLOS F 119 12.00    
MAMA WAS A ROCKET Jul03         (fincher todd)SARMIENTO RIGO 119 4.50 25% 3.00    
 
RUI-5   07/29/2022 3630ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($6K) 2 ALL PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAUGHTEN         (riddle e)TORRES J 119 20.00    
RATTILA Jun26 Jun10       (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 119 4.50 6% 15.60    
MUSICS MY VICE Jun10         (fincher todd)SARMIENTO RIGO 119 12.00    
DRINKROUNDTHETRUTH Jul03 Jun10       (sanders )BENN J 119 15.00    
SENSE OF URGENCY Jun10         (fincher w)CEBALLOS F 119 5.00    
NEW MEXICO JEREMY Jun26 Jun10 May08     (hone bart)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 119 4.00    
STORM LEADER Jun26 Jun10       (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 119 1.60 68% 0.50    
MR RIGGER Jun19         (lambert clifford)PEREZ A 119 10.00    
ATTILAS TORNADO Jul03         (buec)GOMEZ PORTILLO 119 15.00    
 
RUI-7   07/29/2022 3630ft DIRT RC2 SLOPPY nongraded Stake Purse ($6K) 2 ALL PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GEORGE WHO Jul03         (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 119 4.00 36% 1.80    
TARDY CAT Jun19         (riddle e)TORRES J 119 8.00    
PAINTED SMOKE         (fincher w)REYES FRANK 119 4.50    
HENNESSY LOOKER RF Jul03 Jun19       (lamb)GOMEZ PORTILLO 119 3.50 6% 15.20    
FLAG THE FOOTNOTE Jun10         (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 119 12.00    
BYE BYE HEATH Jun10 Apr02       (fincher todd)SARMIENTO RIGO 119 3.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  ARTFUL CRITIC         (buechler si)SCRIVER L 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
ANTONIOS MARK         (barton dallas )CEBALLOS F 119 5.00    
 
RUI-9   07/29/2022 3630ft DIRT RC2 SLOPPY nongraded Stake Purse ($6K) 2 ALL PT- 6:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEAVE THEM BEHIND Jun26 Jun10       (danl)GOMEZ PORTILLO 119 3.50 17% 4.80    
SWAYEM Jun10 Apr02       (lambert t)REYES FRANK 119 8.00    
AWAY I GO         (sanders )BENN J 119 10.00    
VALENTINO WHO         (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 119 10.00    
WF FRANKLY MY DEAR Jun26 Jun10       (fincher w)CEBALLOS F 119 4.50    
PERFECT IMAGE Jun24         (riddle e)TORRES J 119 15.00    
THRUTHESTORM Jun19         (fincher todd)SARMIENTO RIGO 119 5.00    
PLAYTHEMARKER Jun10         (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 119 12.00    
NOSTRANGRTOTHERAIN Jun26 Jun10 May08 Apr02   (lambert clifford)PEREZ A 119 2.50 57% 0.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.