Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Evangeline Downs
Thursday - July 07, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EVD-1   07/07/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 2 F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAST OF THE NILE         (flint steve)THORNTON G 118 2.00 34% 2.00    
SCR  IM SINGLED UP         (flint steve)THORNTON G 118 2.00    
2B  RAISE THE PRAISE Jun25 May24       (pomier d)BARNES JOSE 118 2.50 46% 1.20    
SCR  DREAMED I AM FAST Jun20 May19       (pomier d)BARNES JOSE 115 2.50    
OUTOFNOTHINGATALL         (courville ri)MAGNON H 118 4.00    
STHEPANIE PRINCESS Jun17         (cordero an)MARQUEZ L 115 5.00    
SCR  NODAH         (bourgeois ke)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 3.00    
 
EVD-2   07/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POINT OF VICTORY Apr15 Mar27 Mar05 Feb13 Jan27 (faucheux ron)FUSILIER C 115 3.00 18% 4.40    
SCR  FOURSWEETNIECES Feb16 Jan27       (white dale)ALBERT S 110 10.00    
OPPS MY BAD Jun10 May14 Apr06 Mar11 Feb17 (ramirez eduardo)HERNANDEZ V 115 2.00 19% 4.20    
HARLANS WARRIOR Apr15 Mar03 Jan12     (latour nicholas)STOKES J 118 4.50    
DA DUE RUN RUN May28 May14 Apr15 Feb25 Feb10 (grudzien ryl)MAGNON H 115 2.50    
VELVET ISLE Jun16 May26 May04 Apr15   (grudzien ry)LEDET THEODRICK 118 8.00 14% 6.30    
 
EVD-3   07/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLAZING CHARM Jun18 May27 Feb17 Jan13   (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 3.00 48% 1.10    
GEORGIA DAWN Jun18 May14 Apr14 Feb25 Feb10 (grudzien ry)LEDET THEODRICK 115 8.00    
TOTAL MALICE May28 May13 Apr13 Mar20 Jan30 (schwandt emile)STOKES J 118 1.60    
CATCAKE Jun23 Jun01 May12 Apr23 Mar30 (grudzien ryl)MAGNON H 115 2.50    
SCR  VARSITY FLYGIRL Jun26 May24 May05 Apr14 Mar13 (faucheux ron)THORNTON G 118 5.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  MEMORY MAGIC May05 Apr06 Feb19 Feb10 Jan21 (white dale)FUSILIER C 115 15.00    
 
EVD-4   07/07/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOUGH START Jun10 May19 Apr15     (brinkman brett)BARNES JOSE 115 12.00    
DARK MATTER Jun11         (brinkman b)ALBERT S 115 15.00 6% 16.20    
CONQUISTADOR GOLD Jun22 May25 May04 Apr08 Mar05 (richard russell )STOKES A 120 3.00 10% 8.60    
ROYAL SOLUTION Jun11         (rogers andy)HERNANDEZ V 115 8.00    
I'M A FLASHY KID Jun23 Jun10 May18 May05 Apr14 (dettwiller )LEDET THEODRICK 123 5.00    
CHARLIE'S STAR May05         (thomas lee)MCMAHON J 120 3.50    
MARVINS GOLD Jun16 May27 May05     (gelner jayde)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 1.40 60% 0.70    
 
EVD-5   07/07/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ENCHANTED MOON Jun24 Jun01 May14 Apr08 Mar24 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 2.00 39% 1.60    
MINISTER'S MEDAL Mar24 Feb24 Feb02 Jan06   (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 1.80 28% 2.60    
SR. CLARKY Jun15 Jun03 May12 Apr23 Apr09 (landry jacoby)STOKES A 117 8.00    
SCR  END ZONE Jun15 May27 Apr29 Apr15 Jan14 (cox l)FUSILIER C 120 15.00    
SUNNYONASTORMYDAY Jun09 May28       (cox l)MCMAHON J 117 4.00 6% 16.10    
BUNKIE'S SONG Jun02 May07 Apr22 Feb17 Jan26 (landry ray)STOKES J 117 5.00    
DESIARD Jun02 May06 Apr15 Feb24 Feb12 (vance terr)ALBERT S 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
EVD-6   07/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HILLCREST DRIVE Jun17         (marechal merlin)MELANCON G 123 5.00    
QUADRAJET May14         (trahan walte)ATEMPA LIANDRO 120 15.00    
SCR  HYPERBOLIST Jun17 Apr27 Apr06 Mar26 Mar10 (noel dane)MCMAHON J 118 1.60 44% 1.30    
PEANUT N IKE         (rosier)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 115 8.00 6% 17.10    
BRYKEN N MITCHELL Jun24 Jun03       (broberg karl)THORNTON G 115 2.00 24% 3.10    
LUCK OF THE STARS Jun16 May21 Apr30 Apr13 Mar17 (mojica edith)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 4.00    
 
EVD-7   07/07/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CAJUN TWO STEP Jun09 May12 Apr14 Mar11 Feb19 (fuselier j)ALBERT S 108 15.00    
LUTIE MO Jun11 May12 Mar10 Feb05 Jan22 (landry ray)STOKES J 113 8.00    
HERE COMES LOVIE Jun17 May12 Apr16 Feb25 Feb11 (cordero angel )THORNTON G 118 3.00    
MS. CAJUN QUEEN Jun17 Jun03 Apr28 Apr09 Feb13 (breaux samue)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 1.80 10% 9.10    
START WELL Jun21 May12 Apr08 Mar18 Feb25 (ramirez eduardo)MELANCON G 113 4.50 35% 1.80    
MIZZEN MONARCH Jun11 May12 Mar04 Feb11 Jan16 (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 118 2.50 30% 2.40    
 
EVD-8   07/07/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SABERFIGHT Jun16 May13       (averett ronn)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 20.00    
DIAMONDS SHINING Jan06         (gelner j)MCMAHON J 118 15.00    
LA LOLA Jun17 May25 Apr13 Jan07   (meaux h)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 4.00    
T J'S SUNSHINE Jun18 Jun04 May20 Apr30   (harrison cor)MAGNON H 123 4.50 13% 6.70    
RESPECT ALL Jun09 May12       (landry ray)STOKES J 123 1.80 39% 1.50    
CUSTOM GUITAR Jun16 May28 May07 Mar25 Mar10 (schwandt emile)THORNTON G 118 2.00 26% 2.80    
COZZY KISS Jun25 Jun10       (guillo)RUIZ GARCIA 123 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.