Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Thursday - June 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   06/30/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT-11:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLLYWOOD HONEY Jun02         (lanum crys)ALONSO LUIS 118 20.00    
WHAT A KNOCKOUT May29 Apr27       (puckett dwight)CAMACHO SAMY 125 6.00 7% 13.30    
SUWANNEE CHICK May07 Apr23 Apr02 Mar11 Feb19 (hemingway ian)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 4.00 14% 6.20    
BASHFUL MARIE Apr23 Apr06       (schuh tim)URDANETA J 118 12.00    
TEA'S DREAM May07 Apr24 Apr06 Mar23 Mar05 (wasiluk pet)SPANABEL SKYLER 118 3.00    
UNMARKED MONEY May07 Apr16 Feb18     (romero r)FIGUEROA HERIBERTO 125 6.00 54% 0.80    
BACKSPARK Jun19 May04 Apr23     (smith g)DIAZ S 125 8.00    
SCR  BLUE KENTUCKY GIRL May08 Apr14 Mar23 Feb26 Jan26 (barboza vict)MENESES MARCOS 125 2.50    
SCR  LLUVIA Feb24 Feb06 Jan26     (rodrigue)FIGUEROA HERIBERTO 118 12.00    
SCR  MORENA DANCER Apr17 Apr03 Mar09 Jan28   (rodriguez ange)COA J 125 10.00    
SCR  FAR HEART Jun11         (cascallares ne)BORACO DAVID 118 15.00    
 
TAM-2   06/30/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT-12:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUNNYMEDE DREAM Jun10 Apr29 Mar17     (schuh tim)MENESES MARCOS 124 8.00    
PROMISE ME Jun12 May15 Apr28     (barbazoniii le)CAMACHO SAMY 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
SMOOTH PEBBLE May12 Mar16 Feb09     (alvarado )CAMACHO JR 124 4.00 47% 1.10    
INFLUENCING Jun12 Apr16 Feb27 Jan02   (proctor thomas)COA J 118 2.50    
IMAHONKYTONKGIRL Apr13 Mar11       (cook devin)SUAREZ ANTHONY 124 30.00    
SCR  JOYA DEL SUR         (skinner ga)URDANETA J 124 4.50    
JEFF'S ANGEL Jun17 May04 Apr08 Feb18 Jan08 (exposito a)ALONSO LUIS 118 12.00    
ASTERS D'ORO May13 Apr24 Apr09 Mar09 Feb09 (smith rober)SPANABEL SKYLER 124 3.50 30% 2.40    
SCR  FREE DATA Jun18 May21 Apr16     (proctor thomas)COA J 124 1.20    
 
TAM-3   06/30/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($14.45K) 3UP M/F PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIPHARAH Apr24 Apr10 Apr02 Mar06 Feb13 (lusk r)CAMACHO SAMY 118 12.00    
EUTERPE Jun12         (laurato )STRANDBERG MALLORY 124 15.00    
SCR  BALI MOON Jun02         (alvarado )CAMACHO JR 118 2.00    
STARE IF YOU MUST         (rodrigue)FIGUEROA HERIBERTO 118 6.00 8% 11.30    
GIGI'S DIAMOND Apr23         (ubide max)ALONSO LUIS 118 20.00    
HARD CHOICE Jun11 May07 Apr15 Mar27 Jan28 (o'connell kath)COA J 118 3.50 8% 11.90    
WINDY REIGN May06 Apr15 Mar19     (manchan bertra)HENRY WESLEY 124 4.00 33% 2.10    
FIRST FAITH         (smith rober)SPANABEL SKYLER 124 5.00 31% 2.20    
ALL BIZZ May07 Apr22       (fisher david)MENESES MARCOS 118 6.00    
SCR  LYLA'S MARK May06 Apr24 Mar06 Feb16 Jan30 (paramo mart)MARIN A 124 10.00    
SCR  PROTULLIO         (knoll d)WALES GARY 124 10.00    
 
TAM-4   06/30/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIVINE CONTROL Apr29 Apr06 Mar09 Feb19 Jan28 (dye steven)MARIN A 124 15.00    
MOTATAABEQ Jun19 Jun10 May07 Mar26 Feb26 (escobar alis)SUAREZ ANTHONY 124 3.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  CALL CURT Apr10 Mar27 Mar12 Feb27 Jan30 (barboza vict)MENESES MARCOS 124 2.00    
OVERPRAISE May04 Apr16 Mar19 Feb25 Feb06 (lorito mario)DIAZ S 124 12.00    
IT'S FATE Jun11 Apr27 Apr15 Mar30 Mar16 (agostini arth)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 15.00 7% 13.80    
SCR  VINTNER May04 Apr10 Mar19 Mar04 Feb13 (yanez mois)ALONSO LUIS 124 8.00    
SWIFT KID May06 Apr27 Mar13 Feb06 Jan09 (rodriguez ange)CAMACHO SAMY 124 12.00    
SCR  STIRLING DRIVE May07 May01 Apr10 Mar13 Mar02 (sanche)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 2.50    
POSEIDEN May04 Mar23 Feb27 Feb05 Jan12 (smith rober)SPANABEL SKYLER 124 10.00 34% 2.00    
SCR  JOJO'S DREAM May07 Jan12       (cordero anton)CARDOSO DAVID 124 10.00    
SCR  ED'S DOG Jun19 Apr22 Mar23     (lorito)GONZALEZ JR 124 30.00    
 
TAM-5   06/30/2022 3300ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KINGDOM'S SPIRIT Mar09         (cook devin)SUAREZ ANTHONY 124 20.00    
STRAWBERRY POINT         (stewart chad )SANTOS ADEMAR 118 2.50    
BYZANTINE EMPIRE         (burns pa)STRANDBERG MALLORY 124 12.00    
TALKIN TIPSY Jun10 Apr15       (gulick jame)SPANABEL SKYLER 118 1.60 26% 2.80    
SCR  BABY LUCK Feb19 Jan08       (ochoa ge)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 6.00    
SCR  STORMARELLA         (reardon c)DIAZ S 124 15.00    
FIRST IKIGAI         (mejia mari)URDANETA J 118 20.00    
TALK MUCH         (cordero anton)CARDOSO DAVID 118 4.00 19% 4.20    
OPEN SKY Apr22         (bordis rob)ALONSO LUIS 118 5.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  ROMAN PRINCESS         (scocca linda)JURADO EDDIE 124 15.00    
SCR  DUBSTEP         (knoll d)WALES GARY 118 10.00    
SCR  SLEEPWALK         (pickett g)DIAZ S 124 8.00    
 
TAM-6   06/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($14.45K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHIQUIRIN         (rodriguez ang)CARDOSO DAVID 118 15.00    
DAVID'S CUPID Apr27         (manchan bertra)HENRY WESLEY 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
AMERICAN DOLLAR May21 May07 Apr15 Apr06 Feb18 (romero rafael)CAMACHO SAMY 124 1.60 63% 0.60    
SEND D PACKAGE May07 Mar12 Jan30     (cascal)GONZALEZ JR 118 20.00    
AS DE ORO COCO May19 Apr29 Apr15 Mar26 Mar12 (morales gu)URDANETA J 118 15.00    
NOT A DANCE Jun10 May22 May07 Apr27   (smith rober)SPANABEL SKYLER 118 10.00    
MANUKA BOBBY Jun10 May07 Mar30 Mar04 Feb18 (lorito mar)ALONSO LUIS 124 3.50    
ABSOLUTIST         (schuster edwar)COA J 124 2.50 14% 6.00    
SCR  SPLASH OF FORCE         (rodrigue)FIGUEROA HERIBERTO 118 8.00    
SCR  J T'S MY BOY         (roque elis)URDANETA J 118 10.00    
 
TAM-7   06/30/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RASMALAI May06         (cordero anton)CARDOSO DAVID 123 1.20 57% 0.80    
LOVIN MAKES CENTS Apr24 Apr10 Mar31 Mar18 Feb16 (fisher david)DIAZ S 120 2.50 18% 4.50    
FOXY AUSTIN Jun11 May21 Apr10 Mar02 Feb13 (acker d)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 15.00    
BELLA ROMANCE May28 Apr15       (bordis rober)MENESES MARCOS 120 15.00    
LA BRODY Mar05 Feb23 Feb06 Jan23 Jan09 (rodriguez )URDANETA J 125 20.00    
HIGH ARABIAN Jun11 May21 Apr14 Mar19 Feb23 (escobar )FIGUEROA HERIBERTO 120 5.00    
MORE MUCHO May15 Apr15 Mar30 Feb23 Feb02 (smith rober)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
GREGS POSSE Jun19 May27 Apr30 Apr22 Mar17 (harris nan)ALONSO LUIS 123 10.00    
SCR  BUMBLELICIOUS Apr09 Mar18 Mar05 Feb16   (duffy sean)ALONSO LUIS 123 12.00    
SCR  TRULY AMBITIOUS Feb05 Jan12       (husted rachel)DIAZ S 123 15.00    
SCR  V K PRINCESS Apr10 Mar23       (ochoa ge)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 20.00    
SCR  SACRED SUNDAY Mar25 Feb25       (avila c)MENESES MARCOS 123 2.00    
 
TAM-8   06/30/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUNSPOT May14 Apr30 Mar27 Mar04   (deaton willi)MENESES MARCOS 118 12.00 7% 12.50    
JAQUE MATE COCO Jun19 May07 Apr27 Apr20 Apr06 (agostini ar)MARIN A 118 15.00    
GREAT JUNIOR May04 Apr20 Mar25 Mar06 Jan28 (roque elis)DIAZ S 118 2.00 15% 5.80    
SCR  HEAVY WEIGHT May06 Apr03 Mar26 Mar18 Feb23 (negrete javier)MATA F 118 10.00    
SOCIALLONGDISTANCE Jun19         (lusk brian)ALONSO LUIS 118 10.00    
RAGING WHIRLWIND May06 Apr01 Mar04     (roque elis)URDANETA J 125 15.00    
CHEF MENTEUR Jun25 Jun09 May19 Apr29 Apr16 (laurato )STRANDBERG MALLORY 118 1.60 45% 1.20    
STONE AGE (IRE) Jun19 May21 Apr30 Apr16 Mar19 (smith rober)SPANABEL SKYLER null      
SCR  SALTY BIRD         (fisher david)MENESES MARCOS 118 10.00    
SCR  O DANNY BOY Apr29 Apr06 Mar04 Feb18 Jan23 (rieger harr)MARIN A 125 10.00    
SCR  LORD OF THE NILE Jun25 May04 Mar25 Mar02 Jan23 (dobber w)WALES GARY 125 8.00    
SCR  EL POLICIA May22 Apr29 Apr20 Apr03   (bordis rob)ALONSO LUIS 118 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.