Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Louisiana Downs
Sunday - May 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LAD-1   05/22/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEE WHAT'S WHAT Apr15 Mar03 Feb11 Jan06   (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 116 1.40 21% 3.80    
LULUMARU Apr23 Jan29       (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 1.60 47% 1.10    
SUSAN STRONG Mar23 Mar03 Feb18 Feb04 Jan03 (reeves jeffery)GUZMAN JORGE 124 10.00    
BOBBIES REASON May09 Mar20 Feb12     (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 4.50 10% 9.10    
HONEST WOMAN Mar03 Jan29 Jan01     (turner patt)FLORES S 121 12.00    
KONA KATIE Mar01 Feb06       (savoie sherman)SINGH R 124 10.00    
 
LAD-2   05/22/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MILU ROCKET May06 Apr24       (espinoza edgar)TORRES HUGO 113 5.00 10% 9.20    
APPRECIABLE Apr01         (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 113 6.00    
ZANDY DEE         (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 118 20.00 9% 10.40    
MADAM PIE Feb25 Jan09       (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 1.40 56% 0.80    
BEACH BODY Apr16 Mar27       (milligan)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 2.00    
SCR  CHARLIE'S GAL May04 Jan20       (turner patt)FLORES S 118 6.00    
 
LAD-3   05/22/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  WENDY WILECAT Mar19 Feb11       (thomas lee)COTTO L 124 1.80 49% 1.10    
SCR  FLOWERS APRIORITY May14         (thomas lee)COTTO L 124 1.80    
CHARGED TEMP Mar16 Feb11       (camejo m)ROSENDO J 118 1.50    
2B  BOX OF PICTURES Mar17 Feb06 Jan15     (camejo m)ROSENDO J 124 1.50 29% 2.40    
ALYS EPISODE Mar03 Feb09       (beavin judy)CULP BRIANNE 119 12.00    
TWN MS MIDSHIP Mar02 Feb16 Jan22 Jan01   (nixon thomas)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 3.50    
SCR  DEAL ME A PENNY Feb25 Feb05       (ward ronnie)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 8.00    
ARROGANT GIRL Jan19         (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 12.00    
 
LAD-4   05/22/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GTUONE BUCK         (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 3.00    
HALF A DOODLE Mar24 Mar09       (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 1.80 59% 0.70    
LULLABY BANDIT Apr22 Jan15       (shamsie randy)STOKES A 124 8.00    
HALF A BUCK Feb24 Feb11       (ward ronnie)SMITH J 118 8.00    
MR. TIN MAN         (romero g)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 6.00    
THUNDERTAKESDALEAD         (melancon do)FLORES S 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
CHIEFWEAVE May14         (clark d)COTTO L 124 3.50    
 
LAD-5   05/22/2022 5490ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PAYNTED LOVER May07         (uballe adam)FLORES S 121 15.00    
BIG JABOT Feb19 Feb05 Jan12     (dunn ray)COTTO L 115 10.00    
A MILLION LIGHTS Mar19 Jan19 Jan01     (johnson henry )GUZMAN JORGE 115 6.00    
MR. B CAUSE May09 Feb18 Jan28     (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 118 8.00 14% 6.40    
HE'S GOT THIS May09 Mar11       (meyers errol)LOZADA CARLOS 118 2.00 38% 1.70    
CHROME RUN Apr22 Mar25       (milligan all)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 2.50 23% 3.40    
LUCKY CRUSADER Feb21 Jan17       (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 3.00    
 
LAD-6   05/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREWHUSTLE May07 Mar27 Feb24     (briley lonni)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.50 23% 3.40    
SCR  MOMENT OF STARDOM Mar01         (camejo m)ROSENDO J 122 3.50    
SOURNOIS May10 Mar05 Feb09 Jan26   (antwine mic)FLORES S 122 5.00    
ITELLYOUTHEFACTS Mar26 Mar06 Feb10     (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 116 8.00    
JIMI'S A STAR Mar27 Feb24 Feb05 Jan08   (johnson b)BOREL H 122 2.50 28% 2.50    
MAGAWILDTIME Apr22 Feb05 Jan12 Jan01   (cormier winst)SMITH J 122 3.00 21% 3.70    
 
LAD-7   05/22/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KNIGHTS KEY Jan01         (foster joseph)LOZADA CARLOS 124 4.50 42% 1.40    
ROBBER BARON May01 Mar26 Jan21 Jan01   (diodoro roberti)ROSENDO J 124 3.00    
HIP FOUR O FOUR May09 Feb26 Feb12 Jan27 Jan12 (nelson eric)FLORES S 124 15.00    
SCR  THE GRAY BLUR May10 Mar13 Feb20 Feb06 Jan15 (hatcher nathan)CULP BRIANNE 119 12.00    
UNWANTED INTRUDER Mar23 Feb26 Jan07     (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 6.00    
SI ES GOYA Apr09 Mar17 Feb18 Jan28   (delany sarah)SMITH J 124 2.50 33% 2.10    
LUCKY STREAKER May09 Mar23 Feb05 Jan15   (hatcher nathan)BACA L 121 12.00    
SCR  LET IT B         (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 6.00    
TUNE MY GUITAR May09 Feb11 Jan07     (bruno donald)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.