Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Prairie Meadows
Friday - May 20, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRM-1   05/20/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($20.704K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YEARS FLY BY         (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 120 3.00 ★    
SCR  WAR RON         (anderson )DE CRUZ 120 3.50 29% 2.50    
3  KNIGHT COMMANDER         (clark r)CORBETT W 124 2.00 39% 1.50    
4  MR. SOLO         (martinez kell)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 6.00    
5  CAESARTHERULER Apr08 Mar26 Mar19 Mar06 Feb20 (condon schuyler)ROMAN KEVIN 122 8.00 ★    
6  LUCKY LOUIE         (jordan todd )JORDAN R 121 5.00 ★    
 
PRM-2   05/20/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($41.933K) 3 F PT- 7:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAINBOW DASH         (dieter dalton)ROMAN KEVIN 120 10.00 15% 5.50    
2  GOTTA HAVE FAITH         (clark r)CORBETT W 120 6.00 ★    
3  STREAKIN' EASY         (chleborad lyn)CANCHARI ALEX 120 3.00 17% 5.00    
4  FIREBAUGH         (clark r)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 8.00    
5  NAUTICAL MISS         (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 115 2.50 ★    
6  CENTERFOLD         (mcshane d)TOHILL S 120 1.60 32% 2.20    
 
PRM-3   05/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($16.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAX'S HEART Apr30 Apr08 Mar12 Feb19 Jan29 (smith p)CANCHARI ALEX 116 2.50 9% 9.80    
2  MEGATAP May06 Apr07 Mar24     (loy dewain)JORDAN R 116 1.40 39% 1.60    
3  MY NOAH Apr29 Feb17       (schnell don)TOHILL S 116 4.00 29% 2.40    
4  GALACTIC EMPIRE May08 Apr10 Mar18 Jan16   (martin e)BIRZER E 116 6.00 ★    
5  KILGORE May01 Apr16 Mar24 Feb27 Feb13 (villafranco )GONZALEZ ELVIN 116 3.00 ★    
 
PRM-4   05/20/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PINSON May01 Feb20 Jan09     (morse l)CANCHARI ALEX 119 8.00 6% 15.60    
2  ATTAIN SUCCESS Mar31 Mar17 Feb24 Jan28 Jan14 (caldw)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 2.00 39% 1.60    
3  SNAP HOOK Apr27 Apr13 Mar16 Feb18 Jan23 (arnett g)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 3.00 ★    
4  SPEEDY FELLAR Mar26 Mar19 Jan20     (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 119 10.00 28% 2.60    
5  BROADWAY PETE Apr13 Mar20 Feb27 Feb04 Jan05 (arnett jon )GARCIA A 119 2.50    
6  DOBBINS G Mar17 Feb09       (gustafson austin)BIRZER E 119 3.50 ★    
 
PRM-5   05/20/2022 5490ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DARE TO FAIL Apr28 Mar23 Feb16     (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 119 3.50    
2  CONTRABANDISTA Apr08 Mar19 Feb11     (morse l)CANCHARI ALEX 119 2.50 22% 3.60    
3  LUCKY DUDE Feb18         (anderson dou)JORDAN R 114 10.00    
SCR  CODE CLEAR Apr23 Mar25 Mar04 Feb23 Jan01 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 119 12.00 8% 11.70    
5  PINCH HITTER Apr30 Mar17 Feb20 Jan15   (loy dewain)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 4.00 16% 5.30    
6  PREGAME Apr08 Feb18 Jan09     (martin wi)DE CRUZ 124 3.00 25% 3.00    
7  ARISTOCAT May07 Apr09 Mar05 Feb11 Jan08 (martin e)BIRZER E 119 5.00 ★    
 
PRM-6   05/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($16.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIXIE PENNY Apr23 Apr03 Feb11 Jan23   (smith kenny )JORDAN R 116 2.50 ★    
2  GLAMOROUS LIFE Apr03         (martinez kell)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 4.00 51% 1.00    
3  SNAP AWAY         (murphy tr)DE CRUZ 116 3.00 11% 8.00    
4  WINZE Mar20 Feb19       (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 121 5.00 7% 13.70    
5  ACELA EXPRESS Apr26 Apr05 Mar22     (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 116 4.50 ★    
6  MISS ALPHA BELLA Apr07 Mar24 Feb25 Jan09   (jacquot gene)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 3.50    
 
PRM-7   05/20/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS INVASIVE Apr18 Mar28 Feb17 Jan29   (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 119 4.00 ★    
2  HATCHET GURL         (caldw)MANRRIQUE JOSE 119 2.50 37% 1.70    
3  JACK'S PARTY GIRL Apr29 Mar18 Mar04 Feb19   (condon schuyler)TOHILL S 116 8.00    
4  BREW CASA Apr29 Apr02 Mar11 Jan14   (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 119 6.00 8% 11.00    
5  NEW YEARS LOVE Apr29 Apr15 Apr02 Mar18 Feb19 (lemburg mark)JORDAN R 114 10.00    
6  LOTS OF GOLD Apr22 Apr08 Mar25 Mar11 Feb23 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 119 3.00 15% 5.60    
7  FASHION FACT Apr08 Mar25 Mar12 Feb25   (condon sc)TRIANA JR 119 3.50 15% 5.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.