Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Louisiana Downs
Tuesday - May 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LAD-1   05/17/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPRY CHARLIE May05         (thomas lee)LOZADA CARLOS 121 2.50    
1A  CATALINA LATRINA Jan17 Jan01       (thomas lee)COTTO L 115 2.50 43% 1.30    
BUTWAITTHERE'SMORE Feb19 Jan26 Jan13     (kanhai joseph)SINGH R 124 8.00    
GOOD BYE CHARLIE Apr23 Apr03 Mar26     (milligan all)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 8.00    
RODESSA FLASH Mar03 Jan19       (gomez rafae)FLORES S 121 12.00    
ROYAL D D Apr30         (williams b)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 20.00    
MR. K W May09 Mar24 Feb24 Jan27 Jan08 (zenon charles)CULP BRIANNE 110 3.50 31% 2.20    
SPEEDY G Apr20 Mar19 Mar05 Feb04 Jan16 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 1.60    
 
LAD-2   05/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KINLEE'S SONG Mar11 Feb12 Feb02     (kanhai joseph)SINGH R 122 15.00    
ADRENALINE Mar19 Feb24 Feb04 Jan09   (hatcher )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 10.00 8% 11.30    
SILKY'S DANCE         (lara jorge)GUZMAN JORGE 120 8.00    
LILRASCALMAN Feb04 Jan09       (cummings dav)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 4.50    
GRIEF Mar13 Feb20 Feb04 Jan09   (tracy greg)LOZADA CARLOS 122 1.40 37% 1.70    
NO QUARTER Mar02 Feb03       (delany sarah)ROSENDO J 122 1.60 24% 3.10    
 
LAD-3   05/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAYOU SARGE Mar18 Jan29       (turner patt)FLORES S 116 20.00    
THE THIMBLE Feb18 Feb02 Jan20 Jan06   (ramirez e)GUZMAN JORGE 122 2.50 23% 3.30    
OUR SEXY A. P. Feb28 Feb11       (foster joseph)LOZADA CARLOS 122 5.00    
TOOL BOX Mar05         (cuccia j)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 2.00 48% 1.10    
COOL FIRE         (r)GARCIA-ALFARO AROLD 122 15.00    
CALLEN FEELS GOOD May07 Apr15 Mar04 Jan30 Jan16 (gibson jona)MORALES ROBERTO 116 3.00 8% 11.00    
BROOK IS GOLDEN Feb28 Feb11 Jan29 Jan20   (singh s)SINGH R 122 30.00    
SODBUSTER Feb23 Jan20       (gomez )GUERRERO ANDRES 122 12.00    
 
LAD-4   05/17/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VISIONOFWILDTIMES Mar20 Mar04 Feb23 Jan03   (gomez david )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 8.00    
JUBELLA Apr21 Mar05       (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 122 2.00 32% 2.10    
PLATINUM QUEEN Mar25 Mar04 Feb17 Jan17 Jan03 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
B'S LIL' BUMBLEBEE Apr29 Feb20 Jan23     (vincent jarvis)CULP BRIANNE 117 6.00    
TINCANDANCE Feb18 Jan29 Jan01     (lara jorge)GUZMAN JORGE 119 10.00    
COURTLY DOC Apr15 Mar26 Feb25 Feb12 Jan22 (cart d)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 116 4.00 29% 2.40    
JUST PASSING THRU May07 Mar27 Feb03     (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 2.50 8% 10.80    
 
LAD-5   05/17/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOLLYS FLYIN HIGH Feb18 Feb02 Jan21     (turner)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 10.00    
SARAH ADRIANA Jan08         (thomas lee)COTTO L 122 8.00    
LADY BE GONE Feb18 Jan28       (cates al)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 6.00    
CHATAIN'S FLYER         (vincent jar)FLORES S 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
TENSAS VIRGINIA Apr27 Mar19 Mar01 Jan14   (alberto ant)DEL-CID VICENTE 111 3.00 35% 1.80    
LONE STAR SECRET Mar05 Feb23 Jan27     (delany sarah)BACA L 122 10.00    
SUSAN JONES Feb09         (beavin judy)GUZMAN JORGE 122 6.00    
ZEATRICAL May08 Mar18 Mar02 Feb02 Jan22 (dison phillip )CULP BRIANNE 119 2.50 37% 1.70    
THE MISSING PIECE Mar27 Mar13 Feb17 Jan17   (hargrave kenn)VARGAS P 122 6.00    
 
LAD-6   05/17/2022 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MISTER STRANGE Jan07         (delany sarah)SMITH J 122 15.00    
HONORING MAJOR Mar03 Feb16 Jan22     (delany sarah)ROSENDO J 122 1.80 66% 0.50    
SCR  SECRET VISTA Feb28 Jan28 Jan07     (reeves jeffery)CULP BRIANNE 114 5.00    
CAMEO DANCER Apr21 Mar18 Mar01     (gomez c)VARGAS P 119 8.00    
BEAUREGARD Feb25 Feb05       (gomez c)LOZADA CARLOS 119 5.00    
DRILLING REPORT Mar18 Mar01 Jan14     (cuccia j)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 3.00    
SCR  GOTTA GO May06 Mar23 Mar03 Feb02 Jan12 (henry eric)STOKES J 122 6.00    
 
LAD-7   05/17/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEALING APRIORITY Mar05 Feb20 Jan20     (thomas lee)COTTO L 121 8.00 10% 9.30    
SCR  CHARLIE'S TOWN Mar11 Feb17 Jan05     (thomas lee)COTTO L 121 8.00    
JR'S PACIFICO Feb25 Feb03 Jan12     (ramire)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 4.50    
TRIPPER JOHN Apr27 Mar23 Mar05 Feb20 Jan23 (melancon do)FLORES S 121 8.00    
SCR  DOUBLE BOGEY         (vincent )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
ROYAL TAP Apr29 Mar31 Mar16 Feb25 Jan13 (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 113 6.00    
PAYNT YOUR WAGON Apr20         (diodoro robert)BACA L 118 5.00    
TWO B Mar12 Feb19 Feb10 Jan08   (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 3.00 26% 2.80    
HOG WILD Mar10 Jan14       (duhon joseph )LOZADA CARLOS 124 3.50 36% 1.80    
HONUS Apr08 Mar10       (winslow j)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.