Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Prairie Meadows
Sunday - May 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRM-1   05/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAYOUADRINK         (anderson )DE CRUZ 116 1.80 52% 0.90    
2  BODYMOOR HEATH May08 Mar17 Mar05 Feb17 Jan30 (gustafson austin)BIRZER E 116 3.00 ★    
SCR  GHOST ART May01 Apr01 Mar25 Jan13   (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 114 2.00 ★    
4  VISION OF ELIAS May01 Apr01 Mar19 Feb13   (martin timot)JORDAN R 114 5.00 ★    
5  TROMPO         (ibarra jose)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 8.00    
6  FEISTY BIRD Apr30 Mar26 Mar20 Mar06   (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 119 10.00 22% 3.60    
 
PRM-2   05/15/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOTTA LOVE IKE Apr02 Mar20 Mar12 Mar06 Feb25 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 119 3.00    
2  PLUMBAGO May07 Apr24 Apr15     (arceo salvad)JORDAN R 114 10.00 23% 3.30    
3  PROMISING SHOES May07 Apr29 Apr10 Apr01 Mar11 (broberg karl)CANCHARI ALEX 124 1.80 25% 3.00    
4  MUNNYCANTBUYMELOVE May03 Apr01 Mar11 Feb26 Feb04 (williams f)TOHILL S 116 3.50    
5  MAKABIM Apr29 Apr08 Mar12 Feb26   (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 119 8.00 11% 7.80    
6  HUNK OF A HIT Apr01 Mar24 Mar02 Feb24 Feb09 (lemburg m)TRIANA JR 124 10.00 9% 9.80    
7  BIG HEARTED FACTOR Apr23 Apr09 Mar27 Mar19   (lemburg mark)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 4.00 ★    
 
PRM-3   05/15/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  I'M NASTY TOO         (gustafson au)JORDAN R 111 3.50 23% 3.40    
2  FRUGAL BETTY Apr27 Apr13       (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 15.00    
3  TOMS MAXIMILLIAN Apr15 Apr02 Mar12 Mar05 Feb27 (lemburg m)TRIANA JR 124 5.00 ★    
4  JOE G'S PAYBACK Apr24 Mar27 Feb19     (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 124 1.60 ★    
5  STERN Apr29 Apr02 Mar04     (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 2.00 33% 2.00    
6  BLUEBIRD DAY (IRE) Feb26         (arceo salvador)TOHILL S 119 15.00 20% 4.10    
 
PRM-4   05/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($41.933K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS PEACH         (von kelly)CORBETT W 119 6.00 ★    
2  LET'S GO LACEY         (von ke)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 2.50 ★    
3  GARBO SPEAKS         (fett brandi)BIRZER E 124 2.00 60% 0.70    
4  RAINBOW SUREBET         (anderson l)TOHILL S 119 6.00    
5  AMERICAN SUE Apr02         (condon schuyler)ROMAN KEVIN 119 15.00    
6  JUST LIKE TRISTA         (anderson )DE CRUZ 119 3.50 ★    
7  CAN'T MAKE ME         (mcshane david)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 8.00 12% 7.10    
 
PRM-5   05/15/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($41.933K) 3 F PT- 6:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KAYLOR         (chleborad lynn)BIRZER E 120 3.50 21% 3.70    
2  KAYLA Apr24         (chleborad lyn)CANCHARI ALEX 120 1.60 38% 1.70    
3  IVY ABAD GIRL         (wellington tom)ROMAN KEVIN 120 15.00 ★    
4  RUTHIE RULES         (mcshane d)TOHILL S 120 15.00    
5  FREEIA TAP         (young sco)TRIANA JR 120 8.00 ★    
6  SHEMEANSBIZNESS         (von ke)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 2.50 18% 4.50    
7  PRAIRIE FIREBALL May06 Apr22 Apr08 Mar25 Mar11 (lemburg m)DE CRUZ 120 12.00    
 
PRM-6   05/15/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($41.933K) 3 ALL PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EVIL KNIEVEL         (wellington tom)ROMAN KEVIN 120 15.00    
2  FRANKLY EPIC         (mcshane david)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 2.50 21% 3.80    
3  SAW THE SUNRISE Apr23         (condon sc)TRIANA JR 120 12.00    
4  FREDDY J         (tracy tanner)BIRZER E 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  AMERICAN POSSE         (young scott )GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 3.50 ★    
6  SHIPS ON FIRE         (wellington tom)TOHILL S 120 5.00 ★    
7  SWEET WHEAT         (von kelly)CORBETT W 120 2.00 46% 1.20    
 
PRM-7   05/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($47.174K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. LOVEJOY Apr30 Mar12       (schnell don)TOHILL S 119 2.50 13% 6.90    
SCR  JAYSKER         (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 119 15.00    
3  SIR WALLY WALLY         (von ke)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 15.00    
4  TOPPER T Mar05         (martin willia)CANCHARI ALEX 119 3.50 5% 19.00    
5  BASIC CHANCE Apr16         (martin will)GARCIA A 119 5.00 11% 8.10    
6  TIME GOES ON         (von kelly)ROMAN KEVIN 119 8.00    
7  MINECRAFT MANIAC         (anderson doug)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 10.00    
8  SCRUTINIZER         (martin wi)DE CRUZ 119 6.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  CHACHA REAL SMOOTH         (jacquot gene)JORDAN R 114 15.00    
10  MOLLIES ROCKET         (wellington tom)CORBETT W 119 4.50 22% 3.60    
11  HEZA WILD RIDE         (birzer bo)TRIANA JR 119 20.00    
12  GREEDY CREEDY         (murphy swan)NOLL S 119 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.