Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Prairie Meadows
Saturday - May 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRM-1   05/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LONESTAR CHROME Apr18 Mar16 Feb26 Feb10 Jan08 (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
GOD'S PICK Mar23 Mar10 Feb17 Jan07   (caldw)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 1.60 70% 0.40    
SCR  SACRAMENT Apr08 Mar25 Feb26     (martin timot)JORDAN R 114 10.00    
HELLO HEARTBREAKER Apr13 Mar30 Mar21 Feb17 Jan19 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 124 3.50    
WORTHTHEMONEY May01 Apr23 Mar26 Mar04 Feb13 (broberg karl)CANCHARI ALEX 124 2.00    
BENTLEY Apr23 Feb27       (ness john)ROMAN KEVIN 124 5.00    
 
PRM-2   05/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WANDAS CAFE Feb20         (smith p)CANCHARI ALEX 124 6.00    
DIXIE TRIXIE May01 Mar25 Mar11 Feb25   (dieter dalton)TOHILL S 121 2.00    
QUEEN OF THE SHIP Mar19         (pearson paul )PUSAC ALBERTO 121 10.00    
ZENCHUA SKY Feb24 Jan20       (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 119 5.00    
NO ONE CARES Mar06         (arceo salvador)MARTINEZ A 124 2.50 27% 2.70    
GREAT MILLS ROAD Mar05         (gaede )FLETCHER D 124 3.50 50% 1.00    
 
PRM-3   05/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FETCHING FURY Apr08 Mar23 Mar11 Feb23 Feb12 (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 3.50    
TAKE ME AS I AM Mar23 Mar13 Feb19 Jan30 Jan16 (arnett jon )GARCIA A 121 2.50 24% 3.10    
GOODNIGHTSUGAR Apr25 Mar22 Feb18 Jan29   (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 116 2.00 21% 3.90    
LONG MONDAY Apr30 Apr10 Apr02 Mar11 Mar05 (condon sc)TRIANA JR 119 5.00    
BIND ME UP Feb19 Jan27       (broberg karl)CANCHARI ALEX 119 3.00 26% 2.80    
 
PRM-4   05/14/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19.263K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAKE UP ANGEL         (wellington )CERVANTES URIEL 119 5.00 25% 2.90    
PRAIRIE WOLF Apr03         (tracy tanner)BIRZER E 124 2.00 25% 2.90    
MALIBU BAY BREEZE         (martin n)TOHILL S 124 10.00    
VAUDEVILLE MEWS         (guillory )DE CRUZ 119 5.00 23% 3.30    
KIDO'S SLING SHOT Feb25         (gaede les)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 2.50    
STROLL LIKN OUTLAW         (arnett jon )GARCIA A 119 4.00    
 
PRM-5   05/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROME'S BURNING         (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 119 4.00 12% 7.70    
ADRIA May01 Apr15       (chleborad lyn)CANCHARI ALEX 119 15.00    
KEEN CONTENDER Mar13 Feb19 Jan08     (anderson dou)JORDAN R 114 3.00 19% 4.20    
CALL KRYSTAL May01 Apr01       (von don)BIRZER E 124 2.50 12% 7.60    
DIAL IT UP A NOTCH Apr29 Mar17 Feb18 Jan03   (broberg karl)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 12.00    
RAINBOWS ARE FREE Mar13 Feb13       (smith p)ROMAN KEVIN 119 20.00    
NIFTY DAZE         (murphy tr)DE CRUZ 119 6.00    
ANIME DAY         (murphy swan)NOLL S 119 8.00 6% 15.20    
DREAM PIRE Apr08 Feb23 Feb04 Jan21   (caldw)MANRRIQUE JOSE 119 4.50 30% 2.30    
 
PRM-6   05/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($43.243K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAY IT NICELY         (hemba brad)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
TAP THE BRAKES         (jacquot gene)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 5.00    
ALLEN'S ROCKET         (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 114 2.50    
COWBOY CASANOVA         (chleborad lyn)CANCHARI ALEX 119 15.00    
KWAI CHANG Mar13 Jan26       (arnett jon )GARCIA A 114 3.00    
NOSBOR Mar29 Feb24 Jan29 Jan06   (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
TOO MANY BILLS         (anderson )DE CRUZ 119 4.50 37% 1.70    
A BRUSH OF LUCK         (murphy swan)NOLL S 114 6.00 14% 6.30    
LATE FOR LUNCH         (jacquot gene)TOHILL S 114 12.00    
10  NIGHT TERROR         (dieter dalton)ROMAN KEVIN 119 10.00 19% 4.30    
 
PRM-7   05/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($43.243K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
APOLLO BAY         (jacquot gene)CANCHARI ALEX 119 12.00    
DAAHERS BULLY Apr24 Apr02 Feb25     (martinez kel)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 15.00 8% 11.90    
FINISH UP         (young sco)TRIANA JR 114 3.00 33% 2.00    
PRIDEOFDIXIECREED         (guillory )DE CRUZ 119 10.00 7% 12.80    
RIDING THE TRAIN May01 Apr07       (pearson m)ROMAN KEVIN 119 20.00    
SHUT UP MAN         (murphy swan)NOLL S 114 5.00    
SNAP'N TAP         (wellington tom)TOHILL S 119 3.50 29% 2.50    
MY BOBBY MCGEE         (chleborad lynn)CORBETT W 119 15.00    
APPLICANT         (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 114 12.00    
10  STORMIN' J. J.         (hemba brad)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 8.00    
11  OUR LAST CHANCE         (anderson do)GARCIA A 119 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.