Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lone Star Park
Saturday - May 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LS-1   05/14/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWANKY (GB)         (r)DE CRUZ 119 20.00    
SCR  HAWKEYE GIRL May07 Apr02 Mar11 Feb17 Jan29 (echeverria h)ALVAREZ L 119 20.00    
SCR  SHACKLELACKALACKA May07 Feb18 Feb10 Jan27   (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 4.00    
4  SUMMER SANGRIA Apr01 Feb18 Jan06     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 2.00 ★    
SCR  IGNIS Apr01 Feb18       (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 119 12.00 16% 5.40    
6  ZOE'S GOLDLADY Apr30 Mar31 Mar16 Feb24 Feb12 (garcia teofilo )BENAVIDES D 119 30.00    
7  CHIKARA Apr30 Mar09 Feb24 Feb10   (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 119 2.50 17% 4.80    
8  MISS AGGIE BLING May01 Apr01 Mar23 Mar09 Feb23 (villafranco ma)LUZZI J 123 12.00 9% 9.80    
9  COBRA CASABLANCA Apr20 Apr01 Feb24 Feb03 Jan06 (brob)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 1.80 35% 1.90    
 
LS-2   05/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLEXATI         (bravo franc)HAMILTON WESTON 122 12.00 ★    
2  PIKNITUPLAYNITDOWN Apr13 Mar24 Mar02 Feb10   (hjort donna)MELANCON JANSEN 124 10.00 15% 5.90    
3  SILVER WINGS Apr09 Mar23 Feb26 Feb10 Jan22 (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 1.80 33% 2.00    
4  CHARLIECANDO May08 Apr24 Mar26 Feb20 Jan16 (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 124 3.00 ★    
5  CHIEF BRADY Mar26 Feb19 Jan15     (k)DE CRUZ 121 6.00    
6  SPEIGHT AND MALICE Mar23 Feb23 Jan20     (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 124 2.00 30% 2.30    
 
LS-3   05/14/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REVENIR Apr01 Feb05 Jan06     (gustafson austin)SORENSON D 119 8.00    
2  FEEL THE BERNING Mar15 Jan25 Jan04     (f)DE CRUZ 122 4.00 12% 7.70    
3  RESOLVE NOW Mar09 Feb10       (eoff terry)MEDELLIN ERICK 117 12.00 ★    
4  SKYWAVE Apr28 Mar19 Feb26 Jan30   (young scott)WETHEY JR 124 4.50 29% 2.40    
5  GENOMIC Mar10 Feb10       (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 124 6.00    
6  READY EDGE May07 Apr28 Jan30 Jan15   (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
7  TRUE DIAMOND Mar10 Feb16       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 3.50 10% 8.90    
 
LS-4   05/14/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEHIND THE CURTAIN Apr30 Apr01 Mar23 Feb26   (davidson m )MELANCON JANSEN 121 30.00    
2  TOP HAT CAT Apr28 Mar31 Jan30     (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 119 20.00    
3  HE'S A BOMB May07 Mar24 Mar04 Feb17 Jan22 (govea ces)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 5.00 ★    
4  IRONICAL Mar26 Feb25       (gustafson aust)MORA GERARDO 119 12.00    
SCR  MAGNA PUNCH Feb05         (eoff terry)MEDELLIN ERICK 117 12.00 8% 11.20    
SCR  BRAHMS BOY Apr28 Mar25 Mar12 Feb10 Jan27 (stevens w)STEINBERG GARRETT 124 15.00 19% 4.40    
7  SALADO Apr15 Mar05 Feb11 Jan01   (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 122 0.60 29% 2.40    
8  JACKMAN'S RIDE Feb23 Jan22       (craddoc)GONCALVES R 122 4.50 21% 3.70    
9  CURLINS CAPO May01 Apr09 Apr01 Mar10 Feb04 (sayre d)BENAVIDES D 122 30.00    
 
LS-5   05/14/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMOOTHEE LEE Apr29 Mar17 Feb23 Feb05 Jan20 (bilbrey k)DIEGO V 124 4.50 23% 3.30    
2  AVAILABLE STAR Apr01 Mar12 Feb26 Feb05 Jan01 (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 2.00 29% 2.40    
3  DECLINED Apr01 Mar10 Mar02 Feb10 Jan22 (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 122 3.00 13% 6.50    
4  ROCKO'S WHEEL         (garza joa)STEINBERG GARRETT 120 15.00 11% 8.40    
5  RANCHO BARGO May01 Mar25 Mar04 Feb16   (bryant geor)MELANCON JANSEN 124 6.00    
6  TENSAS TODDY Apr30 Mar17 Feb05 Jan07   (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 124 2.50 ★    
SCR  LIL BIG MAN Apr09 Mar31 Mar04     (j)DE CRUZ 120 20.00    
 
LS-6   05/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAB THE MUNNY Apr28 Mar10       (uballe adam)SORENSON D 120 15.00    
2  BIG MONEY MACHINE May01 Mar31 Feb16 Feb09   (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 120 2.50 18% 4.40    
3  COMEDIAN Mar31 Mar17 Feb24 Feb09 Jan20 (pish danny)MONTALVO C 122 2.00 36% 1.80    
4  ANALYZE THIS JET         (eoff terry)MEDELLIN ERICK 115 12.00    
5  FLIP THE COIN JAN Apr29 Apr09 Mar24     (castellanos )PIVARAL GERBER 120 8.00 9% 9.80    
6  VICTORY BOULEVARD Apr09 Mar17 Feb24 Jan21   (pearson m)MORA GERARDO 122 5.00 ★    
SCR  GORDON ANTHONY May08 Apr28 Apr09 Mar16 Feb05 (brob)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 3.50 10% 9.40    
 
LS-7   05/14/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HE'S A RANGER Apr29 Mar24 Feb05 Jan07   (eoff terry)MEDELLIN ERICK 117 30.00 5% 19.00    
2  ARYESCELESTIC MAN Mar25 Mar11 Feb11 Jan28 Jan20 (garcia teofilo )BENAVIDES D 120 8.00    
3  WAR DETONATOR Apr09 Feb25 Jan07     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 10.00    
4  MAGIC BOW Mar04 Jan06       (s)DE CRUZ 120 30.00    
5  SAMURAI CAUSE Mar02 Jan15       (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 4.50 5% 18.60    
6  RIVER RULER Apr09 Mar17 Feb24 Feb04 Jan07 (willis )GONCALVES R 122 12.00    
7  AGENT MCGEE Mar24 Feb10 Jan21     (offolter j)ERAMIA E 122 3.50 16% 5.20    
8  SAMS TIME May01 Apr07 Feb19 Jan20 Jan06 (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 124 2.00 28% 2.50    
9  SATURDAY'S GOLD Jan28         (thomas lee)MORA GERARDO 120 4.50 28% 2.60    
 
LS-8   05/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PAPA MOLLY May08 Mar03 Feb18     (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 124 6.00    
2  POPEYES HEART Apr29         (gustafson au)ALVAREZ L 119 0.80 50% 1.00    
3  MORO WARRIOR May01 Feb28       (glover trac)HAMILTON WESTON 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  SILVER AND GOLD May08 Apr28 Apr07 Mar18 Mar09 (j)DE CRUZ 122 8.00    
5  TEXAS TITAN Apr29 Apr01 Mar09 Feb12 Jan30 (johnston johnn)MORA GERARDO 124 15.00 25% 3.00    
6  WITH THE BAND Apr29 Apr09 Mar25 Mar18 Mar03 (davidson m )MELANCON JANSEN 122 5.00 ★    
SCR  TEXAN BOY May08 Apr28 Apr01 Mar17 Feb25 (kotara ronald)MONTALVO C 122 15.00    
8  RUNNIN THE RED Apr09 Mar09 Feb11     (fullerton kris)HUGHES CARLY 117 30.00 ★    
9  GOLIATH RIDGE May01         (kota)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 20.00    
 
LS-9   05/14/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 2 F PT- 6:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANNA B         (cravens)GONCALVES R 119 6.00    
2  KAYLEE'S SHADOW         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 10.00    
3  GLITZ AND GLAMOUR         (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 119 3.50 25% 3.00    
4  BIG TOUCH         (smith jos)STEINBERG GARRETT 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  LET FREEDOM BLING         (caldwell j )MELANCON JANSEN 119 4.00    
6  FAST TRACK         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 2.50 28% 2.60    
7  DESTRON BAY         (smith p)SORENSON D 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  GOLD MEMORIES         (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  DUCHESSOFLOCHWOOD         (dodwell jimmy )MORA GERARDO 119 10.00    
10  QUEEN OF BEERS         (pish dann)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 119 8.00    
 
LS-10   05/14/2022 4950ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLACK CHEETAH Apr05 Feb23       (ramirez r)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 120 30.00    
2  SHERRYS BABY Apr30 Mar31 Mar19 Feb25 Feb04 (kotara ronald)MORA GERARDO 123 30.00    
3  JUST CLAIRE Mar19 Mar02 Feb04     (pish danny)WETHEY JR 123 8.00 ★    
4  EXPECT CANDY Apr30 Apr02 Mar18 Mar03 Feb17 (echeverria )HAMILTON WESTON 120 30.00    
5  MADAME RUE Mar25 Mar02 Jan29     (whit)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 30.00    
6  EXPECT THE BOSS Apr02 Mar10 Jan06     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 2.50 22% 3.60    
7  COLD NIGHT AIR Apr02 Mar25 Mar02 Feb12 Jan27 (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 120 3.00 15% 5.80    
SCR  OLGA'S GOLD DANCER Apr30 Mar25 Mar02 Feb04 Jan06 (garcia teofilo )BENAVIDES D 120 30.00    
9  OPTIMISTIC COWGIRL Mar25 Jan29       (cruz eduar)ERAMIA E 120 1.80 41% 1.40    
10  LUMBERJACK LESLIE Apr02 Mar19 Mar02 Feb04 Jan14 (jacks k)GONCALVES R 123 15.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.