Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Saturday - May 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   05/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AKA LIONESS Apr17 Mar24 Mar11 Mar02   (schlenk k)EMIGH A 121 4.50 30% 2.30    
2  JANE'S GOLD TOUR Apr17 Apr02       (cook brian)GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 10.00 5% 18.50    
3  CHINA STAR Apr10 Apr02 Feb16 Jan01   (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 115 1.00 36% 1.80    
4  TAP N TWINE Apr30 Apr09       (ryan a)TAVARES JAVIER 121 5.00 ★    
5  PRINCESS CONSUELA Apr30 Apr17 Apr09     (sanchez oscar)BOWEN ROCCO 121 2.50 ★    
 
HAW-2   05/14/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAFE TRAVELS Feb19 Jan22       (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 2.50 ★    
2  COME WHAT MAE         (stidham michael)BOWEN ROCCO 117 3.50 40% 1.50    
3  WESTERN SKIES Jan22         (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 117 6.00 14% 6.20    
4  BOMBARRA GOLD Mar10 Feb10 Jan13     (scherer gary)FELIX E 117 5.00    
SCR  INTENSE COMPANY (IRE)         (scherer gary)CENTENO ALEXIS 117 4.50 ★    
6  SHE TAKES FLIGHT Apr30 Mar24       (butler ge)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 8.00    
SCR  BELLA ASTERN Jan08         (hernandez rey)MOJICA O 117 6.00 18% 4.50    
 
HAW-3   05/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HELEN MAE'S SONG May01 Apr16 Mar25 Jan14   (cook brian)BAIRD T 121 1.40 49% 1.00    
2  HEY HEY May01 Apr16 Apr10 Jan14   (candelas blanca)FELIX E 121 3.00 ★    
SCR  DARING DAMSEL May08 Apr24 Apr10 Mar03 Jan23 (hernandez ja)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 6.00 ★    
4  FLYING BUSINESS May01 Apr10       (candelas b)URDANETA J 121 4.50 27% 2.70    
5  G CITY WARRIOR Apr30         (watkins m)EMIGH A 124 8.00    
6  LADY ATLANTIC Apr16         (ryan a)TAVARES JAVIER 121 10.00 ★    
 
HAW-4   05/14/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMPTY HOLSTER May01 Apr16 Feb04 Jan08   (rodriguez hugo)EMIGH A 121 4.50 27% 2.70    
2  COMING UP ACES May01         (miller r)BAIRD T 121 5.00 7% 14.30    
3  SIR ACEALOT Apr30 Apr10 Feb25 Feb12   (hughes earl )TAVARES JAVIER 121 15.00    
4  ANDTHETHUNDERROLLS         (block chris)LOPEZ E 121 6.00 ★    
5  RIVER FINN Apr01 Mar12 Feb20 Jan30   (haran john)URDANETA J 121 20.00    
6  DRAMATIC KITTEN May01 Apr23 Apr09 Mar18 Feb24 (cook brian)MOJICA O 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  MISTER CHARMING May01 Apr16       (spagnola ida)RIVERA BRYAN 111 15.00    
8  FAMA Y DINERO May01 Apr17 Apr03 Mar17 Feb25 (rodriguez eduar)BOWEN ROCCO 114 15.00    
9  KENNESAW         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 1.20 42% 1.40    
 
HAW-5   05/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEW CHINA Apr24         (cook brian)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.50 26% 2.80    
2  CAIRO SUMMER         (matthews dou)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 5.00 16% 5.40    
3  DANCING BARBIE Apr30 Apr09       (ryan a)TAVARES JAVIER 124 8.00 ★    
4  JOY ENAMORADA Apr30 Apr09 Mar09     (vanden britt)EMIGH A 118 1.80 28% 2.60    
5  DRAGONFLY KISSES         (zawitz joel)BOWEN ROCCO 118 12.00    
6  HARD LIKE HOLLY Apr30 Apr24 Apr09 Mar11 Feb23 (hughes ear)URDANETA J 118 2.00 ★    
 
HAW-6   05/14/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMISKEY PARK Apr23         (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 124 5.00 19% 4.20    
2  DIVE DEEP Apr16 Apr02       (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.50 42% 1.40    
3  FROOME (IRE) Apr23 Apr02 Mar19 Feb17   (perez manny)BOWEN ROCCO 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  KID'S INHERITANCE         (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 6.00 9% 10.40    
5  ROMAN POET Mar24 Feb28 Jan27     (amoss m)BAIRD T 115 2.50    
6  ON K P May06 Apr02 Jan07     (rednour jr)MOJICA O 121 15.00    
7  IGNITED         (west ethan )SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 3.00 ★    
8  SUPRISE CAT May01         (young r)LOPEZ E 121 30.00    
9  TEE BURNS Apr23 Apr03 Mar19 Feb17 Jan16 (watkins m)FELIX E 118 15.00    
 
HAW-7   05/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HUEY ATTACK         (bahena fernando)MOJICA O 116 6.00    
2  DEVILEYE Jan09         (boyce michele)SANJUR SANTO 116 6.00 14% 6.00    
3  W W COOKIE MONSTER         (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 116 2.50 39% 1.60    
4  VALIANT VINNY Apr10         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.00 22% 3.50    
5  WHAT'S UP DUDE Apr17 Mar26 Feb26 Jan01   (cristel j)BOWEN ROCCO 121 4.50 ★    
6  GHAALEB'S BIG WIN Apr16 Apr03 Mar13 Feb21   (becker scott)EMIGH A 113 5.00 ★    
7  ARCHIEMYBOY Apr10 Jan29       (becker sc)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 116 6.00    
 
HAW-8   05/14/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THRILL RIDE Apr10         (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 4.00 11% 8.20    
2  LAPIS LAZULI Apr20 Mar16 Feb17 Jan17   (holsapple)ULLOA JOAN 115 4.50 ★    
3  ROCKET HOTSHOT Apr23         (spagnola ida)RIVERA BRYAN 111 12.00    
4  ALEBRIJE May03 Apr10 Mar12 Feb28 Jan02 (lopez elias)SANJUR SANTO 115 5.00 ★    
5  DUST DANCER (GB) Apr23 Apr03       (bentler do)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 8.00    
6  MARQUEE RIDE Apr23 Mar19 Feb28 Feb03 Jan17 (scherer gary)EMIGH A 115 6.00 29% 2.50    
7  TALKTOEACHOTHER Apr23         (candelas blanca)FELIX E 121 15.00    
8  COYOTE ROAD Apr23         (robertson hugh)MOJICA O 118 2.50 38% 1.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.