Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Friday - May 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   05/13/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUNDOWN WARREN Mar18 Jan22       (hanson ryan)CEDILLO ABEL 118 5.00    
DOMINANT SOUL Jan14         (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 126 4.00 30% 2.40    
SCR  ARRABIATA Apr16 Mar13 Jan23     (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 2.00 12% 7.10    
WARRENS CANDY MAN Mar27 Jan23       (lewis crai)HERNANDEZ J 126 4.00 9% 9.60    
KIMMER Apr03 Mar11 Feb19     (hanson r)ELLINGWOOD A 111 12.00    
BUD KNIGHT Apr08 Mar12 Feb04     (powell leonard)VAZQUEZ A 126 3.00 27% 2.80    
PRIMER DIMER Apr17 Mar27 Feb11     (bell r)PYFER JESSICA 126 12.00    
 
SA-2   05/13/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 2 F PT- 4:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHIFT TO WIN         (deleon rafael)PYFER JESSICA 118 10.00 9% 10.50    
MISS LUCILLA         (solis walther)FREY KYLE 118 3.50    
SMOKEM FOR YOU         (alvarez g)BAZE C 118 4.00    
PADDLE ON POLLY Apr30         (bernard )ELLINGWOOD A 111 6.00    
IT'S SAUL RIGHT         (miyadi stev)HERRERA A 118 3.00 25% 3.00    
THE REIGN SONG Apr15         (solis walt)HERNANDEZ J 118 1.60 27% 2.70    
 
SA-3   05/13/2022 5940ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($32K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DERBY QUEST Apr03 Mar11 Feb12 Jan17   (gomez ruben)HERRERA A 126 15.00    
OCTANE (BRZ) Apr02 Mar11 Feb12     (drysdale n)HERNANDEZ J 126 2.00 36% 1.80    
KUORA (PER) Mar27 Feb12 Jan07     (cerin vladimir)FREY KYLE 126 2.50    
BESTRELLA (IRE) Apr09 Mar06 Feb12 Jan09   (knapp steve)VAZQUEZ A 126 3.00 14% 6.40    
SCR  ZEYARAAT May03 Mar27 Feb19     (cerin vladimir)CEDILLO ABEL 126 8.00 13% 6.70    
A NEW PEACE Apr09 Mar12 Feb18 Jan29 Jan17 (rheinford mark)BAZE C 126 3.00    
 
SA-4   05/13/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OFFSHORE AFFAIR Apr08 Mar13       (glatt mark)HERNANDEZ J 126 3.50 9% 10.50    
QUICK FINISH Apr15 Mar11 Feb21 Jan07   (dealba cesar)PAYERAS EDGAR 126 4.00    
SYNTHESIS Mar26 Feb13 Jan08     (yakteen tim)BAZE C 126 2.50 13% 6.50    
ZIMBA WARRIOR Apr16 Mar19 Jan28     (hess b)VAZQUEZ A 126 8.00    
OCTOPUS         (eurton peter)CEDILLO ABEL 126 4.00 35% 1.90    
FULL DRAW Feb26 Jan13       (s)ROJAS EDUARD 126 15.00    
JAMMING EDDY Mar06         (howey quinn)FREY KYLE 126 4.00 21% 3.90    
 
SA-5   05/13/2022 3960ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($50K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROOKIE MISTAKE Feb06 Jan15       (glatt mark)CEDILLO ABEL 126 6.00    
OLYMPIC LEGEND Mar18 Feb26 Jan30     (mendez luis)HERRERA A 118 15.00    
SOUTHERN HORSE (ARG) Apr01 Mar05 Jan21     (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 126 2.00 42% 1.40    
WHOOPING JAY Mar20 Feb05 Jan15     (papaprodrom)GUTIERREZ MARIO 126 3.50 15% 5.90    
CITY RAGE Mar05 Jan30       (glatt mark)VAZQUEZ A 126 3.00 13% 6.60    
CHAOS THEORY Feb20 Jan22       (hess b)SMITH E 126 2.50    
 
SA-6   05/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOYOUSTILLLOVEME         (alvarez edwin)PAYERAS EDGAR 118 20.00    
DUTCH BUS Apr09 Mar13 Feb06 Jan17   (yakteen )ELLINGWOOD A 119 5.00 22% 3.50    
IRONDALE         (headley karen)BRAVO J 126 8.00    
CREATIVE PEAK         (cerin vladimir)VAZQUEZ A 118 3.50 16% 5.20    
ARMAVEER         (scolamieri j)BAZE C 126 20.00    
TORRID TOMMY Apr08         (garcia vic)GONZALEZ RICARDO 126 4.00 8% 11.00    
SUPER CHIEF         (barocio lib)HERRERA A 126 6.00    
GRAZED         (glatt mark)CEDILLO ABEL 126 4.00 33% 2.00    
LEYAS CANDY         (glatt mark)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00    
 
SA-7   05/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($69K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LUXURY LINER Apr01 Mar18       (miyadi stev)HERRERA A 126 8.00    
RACE JUDICATA Apr01 Feb20       (d'amato phili)PYFER JESSICA 126 4.00 9% 10.00    
DRIZELLA         (bonde jeff)BAZE C 118 3.50 8% 11.00    
PRAY FOR MY OWNER Apr01         (glatt mark)VAN DRAYDEN 126 5.00    
NORAH'S PRINCESS Apr15         (lewis crai)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
TEDDY'S BARINO Apr03         (glatt mark)SMITH E 126 3.00 47% 1.10    
SMOOTHLIKEBUTTAH Apr16 Mar13 Feb20 Jan22 Jan16 (knapp steve)CEDILLO ABEL 126 5.00    
LI'L GRAZEN Apr16 Mar12 Feb11 Jan16   (alvarado ruben )VAZQUEZ A 126 12.00 8% 11.20    
 
SA-8   05/13/2022 5940ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXPLAIN THIS AUDIT Apr02 Feb13 Jan14     (oviedo p)ELLINGWOOD A 111 8.00    
GEBO Mar26 Feb19       (papaprodrom)HERRERA A 118 30.00    
SCR  CANDY FOR CARMEL Apr09 Mar19 Feb11     (baltas richard)VAZQUEZ A 118 8.00    
LOOKOUT POINT Apr09 Mar18 Feb19 Jan22 Jan14 (knapp stev)GONZALEZ RICARDO 118 15.00 6% 15.10    
AMADMADWORLD Mar27         (alvarado d)FREY KYLE 118 8.00    
NINEELEVENTURBO Apr02 Mar06       (drysdale neil)BAZE C 126 3.50 48% 1.10    
MO THEM DOWN Apr01 Feb26 Jan28 Jan22   (o'neill do)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 14% 6.30    
TIZ TACT TOE Mar18         (hess b)SMITH E 126 2.50 9% 10.20    
TODAY MATTERS Apr09 Mar18 Feb21 Feb06   (ruiz lorenzo)PAYERAS EDGAR 126 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.