Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lone Star Park
Friday - May 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LS-1   05/13/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLD VERMILION Apr28 Mar17 Feb05     (keen dallas)MELANCON JANSEN 122 6.00    
2  OLD SOT Apr07 Feb17 Jan30 Jan08   (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 10.00 5% 17.80    
3  UNCLE ARTIE Apr09 Mar24 Mar11 Feb24 Feb05 (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 122 5.00 14% 6.40    
4  TRULY DANZIG Apr07 Feb11       (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 124 12.00    
5  GO SPEED RACER GO Mar17 Feb26 Feb05 Jan08   (villafranco)HAMILTON WESTON 122 4.00 10% 9.30    
SCR  ELUSIVE D'ORO Apr28 Mar25 Feb16 Jan29   (pish danny)LUZZI J 122 15.00    
SCR  COST AVERAGE Mar23 Feb23 Jan27     (gustafson aust)MORA GERARDO 122 12.00    
SCR  CANIHAVEITLIKETHAT May08 Mar25 Mar10 Feb04 Jan07 (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 122 3.00 19% 4.20    
9  PAYNTER PARTY Apr07 Jan30 Jan08     (duhon paul)DIEGO V 122 3.50 24% 3.20    
10  READY TO ROLL (IRE) Mar18 Feb20 Jan13     (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 3.00    
 
LS-2   05/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VALENTORO Mar26 Mar03 Feb11 Jan07   (g)DE CRUZ 121 3.50 ★    
2  MR. G T O Apr01 Jan27 Jan07     (guzman ad)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 121 5.00 ★    
3  WITT AMERICA May01 Apr08 Mar23 Mar05 Feb11 (barton aman)HAMILTON WESTON 121 8.00 ★    
4  FINAL NARRATIVE May01 Apr07 Mar04 Feb10 Jan27 (pish dann)STEINBERG GARRETT 124 1.80 67% 0.50    
5  STONEMEISTER May01 Apr09 Feb18 Jan21   (davidson m )MELANCON JANSEN 124 8.00    
6  TEXAS REMINGTON Mar05         (johnson thun)PIVARAL GERBER 124 4.00    
7  CORD'S KOKO NIGHT         (garci)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 117 10.00 12% 7.60    
 
LS-3   05/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COSMETOLOGY Apr08 Mar18 Mar04 Feb11 Jan22 (pish danny)HAMILTON WESTON 121 5.00 8% 11.10    
2  WHITE WOMAN CREEK Apr30         (caldwell r)ELLIOTT S 123 2.00    
3  IMA SKY TRAVELER Apr29 Mar26 Mar18 Mar03 Feb18 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 6.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  DIXIE CARROUSEL May07 Apr08 Mar18 Feb11   (gustafson aust)MORA GERARDO 121 3.00    
5  HIGH DEF RIDGE Apr08 Mar17 Feb24 Feb05 Jan20 (kotara ronal)PIVARAL GERBER 121 20.00 ★    
6  WHIPUM NAENAE Mar26 Mar16 Mar10 Feb19 Jan27 (dupuy allen)LUZZI J 121 6.00 11% 8.50    
7  ITS A GEE THING Apr29 Apr08 Mar24 Mar03 Feb19 (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 118 4.00 35% 1.80    
 
LS-4   05/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARKUP Mar31 Feb24       (diodoro rober)EIKLEBERRY RY 121 4.00 ★    
2  THORNY ROSE Mar31 Mar09 Feb16 Jan28   (villafranco)WETHEY JR 121 3.50 47% 1.10    
3  STILL CARRYING ON Mar03 Feb11       (gustafson aust)MORA GERARDO 120 8.00    
4  LOVEY DOVEY May01 Apr07 Mar10 Feb24   (rossi j)MONTALVO C 121 5.00    
5  FLEW BY YOU Feb24 Jan22 Jan06     (baldillez a)HAMILTON WESTON 121 2.50 14% 6.40    
6  GEM KEY Apr10 Feb27       (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 121 6.00 ★    
7  BECKY'S TATTOO Mar30 Feb24 Jan13     (scholl kevi)MELANCON JANSEN 118 10.00 8% 11.70    
 
LS-5   05/13/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEDUIN FIGHTER Mar26 Mar12 Feb24 Jan28 Jan01 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 1.60 23% 3.40    
2  PUTMAN May01         (vazquez m)DIEGO V 120 12.00    
3  REBEL POSSE         (hebert matt)ALVAREZ L 120 10.00 ★    
4  SUPER BRADY Apr02 Mar17 Feb18     (caldwell r)LUZZI J 120 3.00 20% 4.00    
5  MOVER Mar24 Feb17 Jan28     (cravens)GONCALVES R 124 20.00    
6  QUARKY Feb18 Jan21       (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 120 3.50 22% 3.60    
7  TOUGH CHARLIE Feb10         (thomas lee)WETHEY JR 120 6.00 14% 6.10    
8  CAPT. ST. JACQUES Mar26 Mar11 Feb24 Jan22   (willis mindy)MONTALVO C 120 20.00    
 
LS-6   05/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAST ROO Apr08 Mar16 Feb05 Jan13   (young scott)WETHEY JR 121 5.00    
2  WEIRD YEAR Mar04 Jan28       (hebert matt)MORA GERARDO 121 12.00 10% 9.10    
3  RAISEBEFORETHEFLOP Apr03 Mar06 Jan18     (fincher w)ELLIOTT S 122 2.50 28% 2.50    
SCR  FEEL THE BERNING Mar15 Jan25 Jan04     (f)DE CRUZ 122 3.50 18% 4.50    
5  FINISH LINE Mar03 Jan28       (gustafson au)ALVAREZ L 121 6.00    
6  HORN OF PLENTY Apr28 Mar23 Feb17 Jan20   (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 122 3.00 ★    
7  TWICE THE PRICE Apr04 Mar23 Mar04 Feb18   (ashford)GONCALVES R 124 10.00 14% 6.10    
8  MALIBU THUNDER Apr08 Mar04 Jan30     (eoff terry)MELANCON JANSEN 119 15.00    
 
LS-7   05/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT-10:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GIOVANNI'S HEAT Apr08 Mar03       (pish da)GONCALVES R 121 4.50 6% 14.80    
2  MORO FLYBOY         (gusta)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 119 5.00 13% 6.50    
3  STORMIN HANK Apr01 Mar23       (w)DE CRUZ 121 6.00 ★    
4  LAMP OIL         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 1.40 59% 0.70    
5  MORO CODE Feb19 Jan20 Jan07     (gelner jayd)MELANCON JANSEN 121 10.00    
6  VALDINA DREAMS May01 Apr01 Mar11 Feb19   (payne w)MORA GERARDO 121 15.00 ★    
7  LECTERN Apr08         (padilla a)DIEGO V 121 20.00    
8  WITTS SHOWTIME Mar05 Feb17       (barton aman)HAMILTON WESTON 121 20.00    
9  DUDA MATT Apr07 Feb17       (swift a)BENAVIDES D 124 20.00    
 
LS-8   05/13/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT-10:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRA MAURO Apr03 Feb09 Jan08     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 4.50 9% 10.60    
2  ENGLANDER May08 Apr07 Mar17 Feb19 Jan08 (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 122 6.00    
3  WHISKEY NOT WINE Apr07 Jan29       (lucarelli fran)MORA GERARDO 122 4.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  EVIE'S PRINCE Mar10 Feb25 Jan22     (dodwell dal)DIEGO V 122 8.00    
5  STANS HOOKIN BULL Apr07 Mar26 Feb19 Jan30   (j)DE CRUZ 122 3.50 23% 3.30    
6  DYNA STRIKE Feb12 Jan22       (eoff terry)MEDELLIN ERICK 117 30.00    
7  AQUIMINE Apr28 Feb26 Jan28     (gustafson au)ALVAREZ L 122 12.00    
8  CAIRO WARRIOR Apr28 Apr08 Mar17 Feb12 Jan22 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 10.00 6% 15.30    
9  BROCK ON BY Mar17 Mar09 Feb23 Feb12 Jan14 (ashford)GONCALVES R 122 5.00 12% 7.60    
10  MUNDACIOUS Mar31 Feb26       (calhoun willia)LUZZI J 122 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.