Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lone Star Park
Thursday - May 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LS-1   05/12/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ATHENIAN PRINCESS Mar19 Feb25 Jan29     (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 5.00 20% 4.10    
2  SHES NAKED Apr30 Mar11 Feb17     (triana alfredo)MORA GERARDO 120 6.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  CANDY ANNE May06 Mar31 Feb04 Jan14 Jan03 (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 0.50 22% 3.60    
4  DA COACH'S WIFE Mar11 Feb09 Jan14     (villafranco ma)HUGHES CARLY 115 20.00    
5  J M SKY CLASSIC Apr28 Mar18       (m)DE CRUZ 120 15.00    
6  HOT CAVIAR Apr28 Mar19 Feb12 Jan27   (villafranco )MEDELLIN ERICK 115 15.00 ★    
7  BLUEGRASS DIXIE Feb16 Jan14       (ortiz jav)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 20.00 9% 9.70    
8  GRANDIOSE SUMMER Mar11         (silva miguel)MONTALVO C 120 20.00    
 
LS-2   05/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOW AND ARROW Mar17 Feb12 Jan20 Jan08   (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 8.00 33% 2.00    
2  PINCH ASSAULT Apr09 Mar16 Feb24 Feb12 Jan20 (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 124 3.00 ★    
3  LEMON KICK Apr09 Mar24 Feb16 Jan21   (castellanos ja)MORA GERARDO 120 15.00    
4  BANDIT SWANSON Apr16 Feb16 Jan15     (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 124 5.00 ★    
5  PALUXY Mar19 Feb17 Jan30 Jan06   (calhoun wi)ERAMIA E 124 1.40 39% 1.60    
6  TAPIT WISE         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 4.00 ★    
 
LS-3   05/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWO ANGELS Apr02 Mar19 Mar03 Feb17 Jan14 (davidson m )MELANCON JANSEN 120 5.00 8% 11.70    
2  CAUSE FOR LOVE Apr29 Mar31 Mar18 Mar03   (jenkins b)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 120 30.00 ★    
3  BRADEE CASH Mar31         (pish danny)HAMILTON WESTON 120 1.60 42% 1.40    
4  IT'S PERSONAL UN Apr02 Mar12       (ewing e)HUGHES CARLY 118 30.00    
5  ADELE'S BLING Apr15 Mar24       (durham danele)LUZZI J 123 15.00    
SCR  SI QUERE Apr30 Apr09 Mar12 Feb18   (castellanos ja)MORA GERARDO 123 1.20 30% 2.40    
7  FLYINGJ CUPCAKE         (johnson thun)PIVARAL GERBER 123 12.00 ★    
 
LS-4   05/12/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIFTEEN LOVE BACK Apr29 Apr01 Mar04 Feb19   (t)DE CRUZ 124 12.00 ★    
2  IRISH EXPECTATIONS Apr01 Feb19 Jan20     (hebert matt)LUZZI J 120 8.00    
3  MR. UNUSUAL Apr29 Mar04 Feb24 Feb04 Jan28 (govea cesar)MORA GERARDO 122 20.00    
4  ALTERNATE TIME Apr09 Mar09 Feb17 Jan21   (calhoun wi)ERAMIA E 124 1.20 40% 1.50    
5  CONATIVE Apr29 Apr09 Mar09 Feb24 Jan29 (jenk)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 5.00 16% 5.40    
6  EYES ON RED Mar05 Feb19 Feb04 Jan15   (eoff terry)MELANCON JANSEN 120 12.00    
7  WESTFEST Apr01 Mar04 Feb09     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 6.00 10% 8.80    
8  FRANK THE MAYOR Apr07 Feb19       (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 124 4.50 13% 6.90    
 
LS-5   05/12/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLITTERARY Apr02 Mar25 Mar06 Feb11   (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 121 4.00 ★    
2  GASTOWN Apr02 Mar05 Feb16 Jan13   (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 6.00 23% 3.40    
3  ENDLESS ROMANCE Apr02 Mar05 Feb16 Jan28   (craddoc)GONCALVES R 121 6.00 10% 8.60    
4  MIZONEY Apr09 Mar23 Mar09 Feb19 Feb05 (castellanos ja)MORA GERARDO 123 15.00    
5  CHA CHA MISSION Feb23 Jan19       (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 121 15.00    
SCR  MISS B May07 Apr08 Mar02 Feb25   (broberg kar)WETHEY JR 121 10.00    
7  LANDONS CONGO Mar26 Feb25       (pish danny)SORENSON D 121 4.50 ★    
8  WORLD WAR Mar20 Feb11       (faucheux r)ERAMIA E 123 2.00 42% 1.40    
9  SIP May01 Apr08 Feb25 Jan27 Jan02 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 121 15.00    
 
LS-6   05/12/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAMAICA JOY Mar22 Jan30       (ashford)GONCALVES R 121 4.00 ★    
2  RCAPTIVATING Mar22 Feb21 Jan06     (keithan rachae)LUZZI J 120 15.00    
3  XYLOPHONE Apr29 Mar31 Mar22 Feb02 Jan14 (finc)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 12.00    
4  SWEET BAY Mar31 Mar23 Mar04 Feb12 Jan14 (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 2.50 53% 0.90    
5  B'ESAME ME MUCHO Mar12 Jan28       (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 121 6.00 10% 9.20    
6  SHESMYBROKER Mar30 Mar19 Mar02 Feb12 Jan28 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 121 15.00 5% 18.30    
7  MISS EMPIREMENT Mar18 Jan29 Jan13     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 2.00    
8  TOO MUCH IRISH Feb16 Jan13       (pish danny)ERAMIA E 121 8.00 5% 17.70    
 
LS-7   05/12/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT-10:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARMINGSIDE Jan29         (pish danny)MONTALVO C 120 3.00 10% 9.30    
2  LUNAR LASS Apr30         (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 3.50 58% 0.70    
3  SILENT BELL         (stid)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 20.00    
4  TERE'SDRAMAQUEEN         (garcia teofilo )BENAVIDES D 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  KATHYS CUP OF JOE Apr29         (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 5.00    
6  MYSTERIOUS STAR Mar10 Feb18       (diodoro rob)WETHEY JR 120 2.50 6% 15.60    
7  RUN WITT RUN Mar02 Feb17 Jan29     (barton aman)HAMILTON WESTON 120 20.00    
8  GEE SHE'S FANCY Mar25         (pish danny)SORENSON D 120 6.00 ★    
9  TALTY         (ramirez r)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 120 30.00    
10  PHARME'S PHINALE Apr30 Mar19 Mar02 Feb25 Feb10 (j)DE CRUZ 123 15.00    
 
LS-8   05/12/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT-10:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREAT IN RED Apr02 Mar16 Mar05 Feb25   (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 4.00 22% 3.40    
2  MATH MYSTERY Mar16 Feb25 Jan06     (craddoc)GONCALVES R 121 15.00    
3  KEEP THE BLING Mar26 Mar02       (diodoro robert)LUZZI J 123 12.00 22% 3.60    
4  IMALUCKYCHARM Apr08 Feb17 Jan27 Jan06   (jacks e)DIEGO V 120 5.00 33% 2.00    
5  FETCHING May01 Mar23 Feb16     (b)DE CRUZ 121 6.00 ★    
6  NEEDS NO ALIBI         (whitton mark)ALVAREZ L 121 8.00    
7  STELLACZAR Apr29 Apr02 Feb19     (lucarelli frank)SORENSON D 121 8.00    
8  LUCK IS FICKLE May01 Mar12 Feb10     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 10.00    
9  TAHITIAN BREEZE Apr30 Mar26 Mar05 Feb19 Jan13 (hurley re)MORA GERARDO 121 2.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.