Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lone Star Park
Saturday - May 07, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LS-1   05/07/2022 3300ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KITTY CAT BLING Apr07 Mar12       (ewing e)HUGHES CARLY 119 30.00    
2  UPTOWNEAGLESLANDED Feb16 Jan30 Jan07     (padilla carlos)MORA GERARDO 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  SECRET HOLIDAY Apr28 Apr08       (duhon paul)MELANCON JANSEN 121 3.50 ★    
4  WHEELS Feb10         (broberg ka)ERAMIA E 124 2.00 21% 3.90    
5  DESERT ORYX Feb26 Jan28       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 1.60 44% 1.30    
6  WILTON Mar12 Feb10 Jan29 Jan07   (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 6.00 9% 9.70    
7  PAYNTED LOVER         (uballe adam)HAMILTON WESTON 124 30.00    
8  HEZA FREAK Mar23 Feb16 Jan28     (villafranco)WETHEY JR 121 15.00    
 
LS-2   05/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KIMBELL'S STRATEGY Apr02 Mar12 Feb24 Jan27 Jan13 (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 120 1.20 51% 1.00    
SCR  CHERISH THE DAY Feb23 Jan29 Jan08     (villafranco)WETHEY JR 123 12.00 ★    
3  MIDNIGHT FLYER Mar03 Jan21       (pish danny)ERAMIA E 120 3.50 25% 3.10    
4  VENUS ISLAND         (tuley rhonda)HUGHES CARLY 118 15.00    
5  CASTING PEARLS Apr28 Mar31       (hurle)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 118 4.50 ★    
6  SARATOGA KAREN Mar15 Feb12       (keithan rac)HAMILTON WESTON 120 3.00 ★    
 
LS-3   05/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($36.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLD PILOT Mar26 Feb19 Jan15     (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 124 4.50 13% 6.60    
2  WARRIOR'S MAP Apr09 Feb25 Feb11 Jan08   (barton aman)HAMILTON WESTON 120 6.00 ★    
3  SHERIFF BROWN Apr02 Mar05       (fincher w)LUZZI J 124 1.60 22% 3.50    
4  NUMBER ONE DUDE Apr12         (craddoc)GONCALVES R 124 3.00 ★    
5  HUNKA BURNING LOVE Apr16 Mar26 Mar06     (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 120 2.50 34% 1.90    
 
LS-4   05/07/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  METALLIC SILVER Mar26 Mar11 Feb17 Jan20   (r)DE CRUZ 123 15.00 ★    
2  IT'S MY MONEY Apr28 Mar26 Mar05 Jan14   (bald)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 1.80 ★    
3  MISS M J Mar31 Mar16 Feb12     (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 6.00    
4  HAPPY SAILOR Mar23 Mar10 Feb19 Feb05   (jacks k)GONCALVES R 119 4.50 ★    
5  TOLONDA Mar26 Feb09       (gustafson aus)EIKLEBERRY RY 120 1.40 68% 0.50    
6  DIXIE CARROUSEL Apr08 Mar18 Feb11     (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 119 12.00 ★    
 
LS-5   05/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAPAGE Mar28 Feb11 Jan08     (trac)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 6.00 12% 7.30    
2  TASHKENT Mar31 Mar12 Feb20 Jan22 Jan09 (villafranco)WETHEY JR 122 4.50    
3  BIZZY LEGS Apr09 Mar12 Feb25 Jan21   (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 122 5.00 ★    
4  VANGILDER Apr12 Mar19 Feb16 Jan21   (ashford)GONCALVES R 122 3.00 31% 2.30    
5  UNRESTRICTED May01 Mar27 Mar06 Feb13 Jan07 (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 120 3.50 ★    
6  ALLEGE Apr23 Mar18 Feb25 Jan28 Jan01 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 2.50 20% 4.10    
 
LS-6   05/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RUSSET MOON Apr07 Mar23 Mar03     (duhon paul)HAMILTON WESTON 121 12.00    
2  DEL MOON Apr09 Mar23       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 1.40 41% 1.40    
3  SCREENPLAY Apr07 Mar23 Jan28     (davis shaw)ERAMIA E 124 2.50 31% 2.30    
4  TWIST OF FATE Apr28         (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 121 20.00    
5  COUNTRY BRAVE Apr09 Mar10 Feb18 Jan07   (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 124 4.00 6% 15.80    
6  STORM THREAT Mar25 Feb24       (caldwell r)LUZZI J 121 5.00 ★    
7  BOLD MOON         (duhon paul)MELANCON JANSEN 121 12.00 ★    
 
LS-7   05/07/2022 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($36.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXCESS MAGIC Mar19 Jan22       (calhoun willia)LUZZI J 122 1.40 38% 1.60    
2  CAN HE STORM         (silv)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 20.00    
3  BOB'S BAD BOY Mar17 Feb18       (willis )GONCALVES R 120 5.00 12% 7.60    
4  J C'S NIGHTCAP Mar17 Feb11       (willis mindy)MORA GERARDO 120 10.00 11% 8.10    
5  ADIOS CARLOS Mar03 Jan12       (johnson he)ERAMIA E 120 15.00    
6  ROBO Mar26 Mar03 Feb19 Feb05   (govea cesar)MONTALVO C 124 15.00    
7  BOBBY BRINKLEY Mar26 Mar03 Feb11     (lucarelli fra)EIKLEBERRY RY 120 12.00 ★    
8  ARCHIDUST Mar19 Jan30       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 2.00 16% 5.20    
9  HE'S A BOMB Mar24 Mar04 Feb17 Jan22   (govea ces)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 120 30.00    
 
LS-8   05/07/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DARYLSLITTLEDIABLO Mar25 Mar09 Feb11 Jan30   (castellanos ja)LUZZI J 124 15.00    
2  SILENCE D'ORO Mar24 Feb19 Jan21     (keen dallas)ALVAREZ L 122 2.50 ★    
3  MAC B QUICK Mar09 Feb12 Jan30     (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 124 10.00 ★    
SCR  LUCKY'S SPECIAL Mar26 Mar04 Jan30 Jan07   (whitelaw mi)HAMILTON WESTON 121 2.00 61% 0.60    
5  LUCKY PROMISE         (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 15.00 7% 13.10    
6  MORO WOLF Apr09 Mar09 Feb17     (gustafson aus)EIKLEBERRY RY 124 15.00    
7  MY GOLDEN M Mar26 Feb19 Jan30 Jan06   (echeverria)ERAMIA E 124 4.50 ★    
8  TEXAS THUNDER Mar26 Feb19 Jan20 Jan06   (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 116 8.00    
9  READY EDGE Apr28 Jan30 Jan15     (broberg)GONCALVES R 124 12.00    
 
LS-9   05/07/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRE OF GOLD Jan20 Jan06       (eoff terry)MEDELLIN ERICK 114 15.00    
2  JUS MY IMAGINATION Mar11 Feb26 Feb18 Jan26   (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 3.50 ★    
3  MY GOLDEN BLING May01 Apr01 Mar23 Mar09 Feb12 (chacaltana dom)MORA GERARDO 121 30.00    
4  LADY AVE Apr28 Mar26 Mar02 Feb05 Jan06 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 2.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  ITSNOTMYJOB Feb05 Jan14       (brobe)MANRRIQUE JOSE 121 10.00 11% 8.40    
6  DOHA (ARG) Apr08 Mar16 Feb18     (e)DE CRUZ 123 30.00    
7  PICK UP THE FONE Mar30 Mar09 Feb11 Jan20 Jan06 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 1.60 49% 1.00    
8  SHACKLELACKALACKA Feb18 Feb10 Jan27     (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 20.00 ★    
 
LS-10   05/07/2022 4950ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY BABY BLUE Mar17 Feb24 Feb12     (cruz eduardo)HUGHES CARLY 116 30.00    
2  AIRLINE DRIVE Apr08 Mar18 Mar02 Feb05 Jan07 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 10.00 8% 11.10    
3  DIAMONDS N ACES Mar26 Mar03       (whitelaw mi)HAMILTON WESTON 120 8.00    
4  SALTAMONTES DIVA Apr08 Mar04 Feb11 Jan14   (padilla carlos)MORA GERARDO 123 12.00    
5  HONOR GIVEN Apr08 Mar02 Feb04     (pish danny)SORENSON D 123 6.00 15% 5.50    
6  MISS B Apr08 Mar02 Feb25     (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 121 2.00 33% 2.00    
7  TUDELA Apr30 Mar26 Mar11 Feb25 Jan28 (cast)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 2.50 22% 3.70    
SCR  WHIPUM NAENAE Mar26 Mar16 Mar10 Feb19 Jan27 (dupuy allen)LUZZI J 121 20.00    
9  HAWKEYE GIRL Apr02 Mar11 Feb17 Jan29   (echeverria hect)BENAVIDES D 121 30.00    
10  TRUE RUNNER         (hurle)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 116 20.00 ★    
11  MRS. KRINKLES Mar24 Mar18 Mar04 Feb04 Jan14 (echeverria hecto)MONTALVO C 123 30.00    
12  TURN ON THE BLING Apr08 Mar10 Feb18     (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 120 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.