Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - May 06, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   05/06/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
U KNOW I B LION Apr23 Apr06 Mar19 Mar09 Feb09 (gatis chri)ROWLAND MADELINE 112 1.50    
SUSIKIN Apr06 Mar19 Jan30 Jan22   (carrascojr victor)BISONO J 119 2.00    
TRUE ATKA Feb09         (ochoa gera)ORDONEZ R 119 4.50    
PEACEFUL WAY Apr06 Mar19 Feb18 Jan22   (bennett gerald)ALLEN D 119 3.50 35% 1.80    
SCR  FUN PADDY Apr15 Mar18 Feb20 Jan07   (axmaker cody )SANTOS ADEMAR 119 10.00 26% 2.90    
 
TAM-2   05/06/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FELIX THE FOX         (hendry stac)SPANABEL SKYLER 124 3.50    
LIL BULL Apr10 Mar27 Mar02 Feb02 Jan16 (w)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 124 5.00    
EXCELLENT MARK Mar12 Feb13 Jan15     (yanez mois)ALONSO LUIS 124 5.00    
CHROME FINISH Apr10 Mar13 Feb10 Jan21 Jan02 (sweezey k)QUINONEZ ALONSO 124 1.50 61% 0.60    
TEDDY'S HONOR Apr22 Apr08 Mar18     (wasiluk peter )MORENO ANGEL 124 6.00    
STAYIN OR STRAYIN Apr23 Apr08 Mar19 Mar05 Feb02 (poole jeff)ROWLAND MADELINE 117 6.00 11% 7.70    
 
TAM-3   05/06/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGIC BOMB Apr01 Feb06 Jan09     (lorito mario)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 15.00    
JOHNNIE GOT JETS Apr22 Apr10 Mar23 Mar04 Feb06 (dominguez luis)MENDEZ KEVIN 122 8.00    
PRAKRITI Apr08 Mar23 Mar06 Feb25   (mejia maria )SUAREZ ANTHONY 122 12.00    
MISTER FERNANDO Mar25 Mar02       (azpurua ed)ORDONEZ R 122 12.00 10% 8.90    
RAGING WHIRLWIND Apr01 Mar04       (viands gre)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 15.00    
AGENT MULGANNON Apr27 Apr16 Apr10     (de)SCALDAFERRI ROSANA 122 20.00    
WICKED MOMENT Apr01 Feb27 Feb06     (o'connell kat)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 8.00    
BOURBON BROWN Apr22 Mar04 Jan15     (ferraro m )ROWLAND MADELINE 115 1.60 14% 5.90    
MOSES BY A NOSES         (schistl rafae)CHAVES ELIONE 122 10.00 5% 17.20    
10  ANALYZEYOURVISION Apr22 Mar13 Feb16 Jan09   (o'connell k)SPANABEL SKYLER 122 2.50 39% 1.50    
SCR  BLACK LIMO Apr08 Mar13       (hayford jennifer)DIAZ S 122 8.00 8% 11.00    
 
TAM-4   05/06/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($20.45K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALMONASTER         (tsirigotis j)BISONO J 124 10.00    
JACKS WILLIE         (raven kerri)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 12.00    
BOCA GUY         (alvarado d)ROWLAND MADELINE 117 4.50    
RULING FRONT Mar09 Feb20 Jan30     (munoz carlos)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 3.00 34% 2.00    
RASMALAI         (cordero antoni)HENRY WESLEY 119 3.50 10% 8.60    
MONEY SONG Apr06 Jan21       (ochoa gera)ORDONEZ R 124 1.60 33% 2.10    
 
TAM-5   05/06/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUBURN Apr24 Apr16 Mar13 Feb27 Feb13 (bagwandeen per)HENRY WESLEY 120 15.00    
SIMONELA Mar14 Feb26 Jan30     (d)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 120 12.00    
SCR  JUST STAY HOME Mar25 Feb20 Jan26     (o'connell )ROWLAND MADELINE 113 6.00    
GO YEOWOMEN Apr16 Mar26 Feb20 Feb05 Jan02 (gr)SCALDAFERRI ROSANA 120 2.50 47% 1.10    
NO SNIVELING Apr16 Mar30       (galvan baltaz)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 5.00    
PLAY THAT TONE Apr24 Mar06 Jan01     (paramo mart)MARIN A 120 20.00    
GIVEITSOMEWELLIE Mar30 Feb26 Feb20 Jan01   (rarick lynn)MENDEZ KEVIN 120 8.00    
NOBLE INTENTIONS Mar24 Mar19 Feb10 Feb02 Jan16 (sano antonio)BISONO J 120 12.00    
CHARGE IT JENN Apr16 Mar23 Feb27 Jan29 Jan16 (carrascojr )QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 3.00    
10  PLATINUMCENTS Apr24 Apr16 Mar23 Mar06 Jan30 (wasiluk pet)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 10.00    
11  AFFICIONADO (FR) Apr07 Mar19 Feb02 Jan13   (barboza vict)MENESES MARCOS 120 8.00 25% 3.00    
 
TAM-6   05/06/2022 5400ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 3 ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TRUTH AND HONESTY         (vinson g)BISONO J 120 8.00 6% 16.50    
HEAVY WEIGHT Apr03 Mar26 Mar18 Feb23 Feb09 (negrete ja)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 10.00    
ARIES REIGNS Mar12 Feb25       (rarick lynn)MENDEZ KEVIN 120 10.00    
TELECAST Apr03 Feb27       (alvarado di)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 1.60 47% 1.10    
GOLDEN WONDER Apr20 Mar12 Feb23 Feb09   (dobber w)WALES GARY 120 12.00    
WOOTDAREITIS Mar16 Feb25 Feb02 Jan02   (dye steven)CHAVES ELIONE 120 4.50    
TAPINTOYOURBEER Apr23 Apr03 Feb23 Feb09 Jan22 (ubide max)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 2.00 22% 3.50    
 
TAM-7   05/06/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($20.95K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY WAY OR NO WAY Apr10 Mar04 Feb11 Jan26 Jan02 (munoz carlos)SANTOS ADEMAR 117 8.00    
SWIFT KID Apr27 Mar13 Feb06 Jan09   (machado an)ORDONEZ R 124 12.00 7% 12.80    
GUNMAN Apr22 Apr08 Mar23 Mar04   (manchan be)ROWLAND MADELINE 117 15.00 12% 7.30    
OUR STUIE Apr22 Feb25 Jan05     (c)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 124 2.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  ROCKY DICE Apr27 Mar30 Mar12 Feb04 Jan22 (raymond rob)SPANABEL SKYLER 117 20.00    
BARAHIN Apr13 Feb20 Jan21 Jan05   (escobar alison)BISONO J 124 2.50    
ASSERT DOMINANCE Apr22 Apr01 Mar13 Feb16 Jan28 (mcgoey monic)GARCIA GEOVANY 124 10.00    
SHED A TEAR Apr10 Mar26 Feb11 Jan16   (carrascojr )QUINONEZ ALONSO 117 8.00    
PRETTY DUDE Mar26         (dominguez luis)MENDEZ KEVIN 117 20.00    
10  MONETIZED Apr10 Mar25 Mar02 Jan23   (mcgoey moni)MARIN A 127 6.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  HELLFIRE BOB Apr27 Mar30       (negrete javi)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-8   05/06/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
J J MONET         (r)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 118 6.00 8% 12.10    
SCR  MAKIN IT LOOK EASY Apr09 Feb12       (o'connell k)SPANABEL SKYLER 118 2.50    
DOUBLE COSMO GIRL Apr22         (dominguez luis)MENDEZ KEVIN 118 2.00 57% 0.70    
DIAMONDS FOR LILY         (raymond ro)ROWLAND MADELINE 109 8.00    
LIL GRACE         (bordis robert)SANTOS ADEMAR 125 12.00    
AMOR Y CONTROL         (brownlee d)ALONSO LUIS 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
LADY FRIJOLES         (cordero anton)CARDOSO DAVID 125 6.00 8% 12.10    
WINDY REIGN Apr15 Mar19       (manchan bertra)HENRY WESLEY 123 20.00    
SCR  RISING FAITH Apr22         (jones douglas)CHAVES ELIONE 123 10.00    
SCR  DRILLS ECHO Jan08         (viands gre)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 125 30.00    
11  LYLA'S MARK Apr24 Mar06 Feb16 Jan30 Jan05 (paramo martin)SOSA LAUREANO 113 30.00    
 
TAM-9   05/06/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TREASURE TAILS         (holtzinger car)MORENO ANGEL 123 5.00 17% 4.80    
KATIES A LADY Apr27 Apr02 Mar09 Feb11 Jan22 (o'connell kat)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 2.50 32% 2.10    
BLUE NEITH Apr15 Mar23 Mar11 Feb23   (carrascojr )QUINONEZ ALONSO 116 8.00    
CAIRA Jan23         (arboritanza j)ALVARADO JR 123 15.00    
HUNTRESS MOON Mar18 Feb13       (lerman roy)ROWLAND MADELINE 116 4.50 15% 5.70    
LHEEAS JOY Mar27 Feb27       (machado an)ORDONEZ R 120 3.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  LADY TEUFLESBERG Apr30 Mar11 Mar02 Jan23   (azpurua e)HERRERA R 123 30.00    
TWELVE RED ROSES Mar09 Feb19 Jan26 Jan14   (banks chris)CHAVES ELIONE 123 12.00    
BEAUTY GENIUS Mar20 Mar02 Feb04     (smith rober)SPANABEL SKYLER 123 10.00    
10  IRAZU Apr03         (galvan baltazar)BISONO J 123 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.