Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lone Star Park
Friday - May 06, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LS-1   05/06/2022 3300ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VICENZA GOLD         (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 120 10.00 ★    
2  NO SPIN Feb09 Jan05       (jenkins bra)HAMILTON WESTON 120 30.00    
3  RELIANT         (green greg)ERAMIA E 123 3.00 66% 0.50    
SCR  INCLUDE THE LOVE Apr05         (padilla a)DIEGO V 123 20.00    
5  COLORATURA Jan22 Jan08       (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 120 3.50 5% 19.00    
6  GOOD LIQUOR Mar11 Feb05 Jan06     (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 123 2.50 7% 12.90    
7  IZEADISTORTEDLADY Mar25 Mar04 Feb12     (keen dallas)MELANCON JANSEN 120 12.00    
8  LADY CHURCHILL Feb05         (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 12.00    
9  FIRE AND SPEIGHT         (roub)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 30.00 ★    
10  CANDY ANNE Mar31 Feb04 Jan14 Jan03   (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 5.00    
 
LS-2   05/06/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET BABY SHAE Apr02 Feb16       (echeverria hect)BENAVIDES D 123 20.00    
2  AMANTE DE SARA Apr02 Mar19 Mar11 Feb10 Jan29 (cast)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 4.50 ★    
3  PEEK FACTOR Feb16 Jan14       (peek kevin)ERAMIA E 123 2.50 11% 8.00    
4  SHE'S A RIDGE Apr02 Mar19       (kotara ronald)MORA GERARDO 123 20.00    
5  MORO NALA Apr02         (glover trace)ALVAREZ L 123 4.00 60% 0.70    
6  TOOTIE Mar25 Mar10       (dupuy allen)LUZZI J 120 3.00    
7  BERINGS LIGHT         (davidson sa)HAMILTON WESTON 123 12.00 ★    
8  L L COOL GREY Apr02 Mar03       (gusta)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 115 5.00 ★    
 
LS-3   05/06/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  IMPERIAL RED BIRD Mar25         (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 121 2.00 33% 2.00    
2  RICHARD'S TX BLING Apr08 Feb19 Feb11 Jan27 Jan07 (govea cesar)MORA GERARDO 121 20.00    
3  RUSH THE COLORS Apr07 Feb17 Jan15     (calhoun willia)LUZZI J 124 2.50 43% 1.30    
4  BLING ME THE MONEY         (young bob)GARCIA G 121 4.50 ★    
5  KING ARTHUR RIDGE Apr29 Apr09 Mar26 Mar03 Feb12 (kotara ronal)PIVARAL GERBER 121 30.00 ★    
6  GET WITT GONE Mar26 Mar09 Feb19     (barton aman)HAMILTON WESTON 121 15.00    
7  REYNARDINE         (dupuy allen)EIKLEBERRY RY 121 6.00    
8  ASTA LAVISTA HONEY         (pish danny)SORENSON D 124 5.00 ★    
 
LS-4   05/06/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHANGHAI'S DREAM Apr09 Mar05 Jan21     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 12.00 ★    
2  FINDING SILVER Mar31 Mar17 Feb16 Feb04 Jan22 (villafranco)MELANCON JANSEN 124 10.00    
3  RELEASE THE BEAST Apr28 Apr07 Feb28 Feb06 Jan16 (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 124 2.00 9% 9.80    
4  INTHEALY Mar24 Feb20 Feb10 Jan29 Jan01 (glover trac)HAMILTON WESTON 124 15.00    
5  AUTOCRATIC Mar31 Feb26 Feb10     (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 121 15.00    
SCR  SUNDAY BLING Mar26 Feb26 Jan06     (pish danny)SORENSON D 124 8.00 ★    
7  MISTER K Apr09 Mar16 Jan28 Jan08   (cravens ronn)ALVAREZ L 124 1.80 63% 0.60    
8  DECLARATIONOFSPEED Apr07 Feb23 Jan27     (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 15.00    
9  FRESH ONE Mar24 Mar05 Feb10 Jan21   (cald)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 6.00 5% 17.50    
 
LS-5   05/06/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($36.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHIRLEY'S TEMPLE Mar24 Feb19 Jan30 Jan15   (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 15.00    
2  NO MAS TEQUILA Mar26 Feb19       (jacks k)GONCALVES R 123 2.50 ★    
3  LAVENDER (IRE) Mar18 Jan30 Jan15     (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 121 10.00 14% 6.00    
4  VALENTINES DAY Mar10 Jan30       (calhoun willia)LUZZI J 119 15.00    
SCR  UNBURNT Mar24 Mar19 Feb04 Jan14   (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 4.50 ★    
6  CHAMPAGNE AFFAIR Apr09 Mar24 Feb25 Jan30   (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 12.00    
7  GOLDEN CURL Mar12 Jan30       (davis shaw)ERAMIA E 119 1.80 ★    
8  ISLAND HIDEAWAY (GB) Mar10         (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 2.00 61% 0.60    
 
LS-6   05/06/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANCIN ALL ALONE Mar30 Feb19 Jan22 Jan07   (david)MANRRIQUE JOSE 121 15.00 7% 14.00    
2  TEXAS RED BEL Mar31 Mar10 Feb26 Feb05 Jan14 (payne w)MORA GERARDO 119 8.00 26% 2.80    
3  BRIGHTEST Mar19 Mar02 Feb05 Jan28   (prather john)MEDELLIN ERICK 116 15.00    
4  ITS MY MONEY TOO Apr28 Mar18 Mar04 Feb05 Jan07 (baldill)GONCALVES R 123 15.00    
5  VEILAZIG Mar20 Feb25 Jan10     (glover trac)HAMILTON WESTON 119 20.00    
6  ROSIE JANE Mar26         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 1.80 32% 2.10    
7  BEBOP BABY Mar26 Mar16 Feb11 Jan22 Jan07 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 5.00    
8  SASSY KENZIE GIRL Mar18 Mar03       (keen dallas)MELANCON JANSEN 119 20.00 10% 9.00    
SCR  BOLD LEGEND Apr30 Apr08 Mar23 Mar11 Feb12 (broberg kar)WETHEY JR 119 15.00    
10  SET THE PACE Mar12 Feb05       (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 119 2.00 ★    
 
LS-7   05/06/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($36.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ERNIE BANKER Apr02 Mar20 Mar05 Feb27 Feb11 (brobe)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 5.00 11% 8.00    
2  EMERALD FOREST Feb03 Jan09       (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 4.50    
3  FLASH OF MISCHIEF         (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 122 2.00 11% 7.80    
4  EMPIRE OF GOLD Apr16         (eoff terry)ERAMIA E 120 3.00 45% 1.20    
5  FLAP JACK Apr15 Mar12 Feb17     (villafranco)WETHEY JR 124 15.00    
6  DIGITAL Mar18 Jan28       (calhoun willia)LUZZI J 120 6.00 7% 13.90    
7  IT MAKES SENSE Mar03 Feb12       (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 120 15.00 6% 16.80    
8  RED N WILD Mar03 Jan30 Jan15     (eoff terry)MEDELLIN ERICK 117 20.00    
9  OLIVER Mar05 Feb09       (davis h)ELLIOTT S 124 20.00    
 
LS-8   05/06/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT-10:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  D C HERO Mar26 Mar16 Feb25 Feb10   (villafranco)WETHEY JR 122 4.00 6% 16.40    
2  INVINCIBILITY Apr07 Mar10 Feb17 Jan17   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 3.00    
3  LET'S GO ALAMO Feb11 Jan22       (willis mindy)MORA GERARDO 124 6.00 9% 9.50    
4  GOLDEN ALE Mar24 Feb16       (lucarelli f)MELANCON JANSEN 119 15.00    
5  MR HANDS ON Mar25 Feb17 Jan15     (keen da)GONCALVES R 122 20.00    
6  MORRICONE Apr07 Mar09 Feb09 Jan15 Jan06 (morris row)ERAMIA E 122 20.00    
7  BELEWS GOLD Mar26 Feb17 Jan28 Jan08   (w)DE CRUZ 122 8.00 28% 2.50    
SCR  RIDE RICHIE RIDE Apr07 Mar25 Mar16 Feb09 Jan16 (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 122 20.00    
9  HIGH TONE Mar26 Mar10 Feb12 Jan29 Jan07 (castellanos jaime)DIEGO V 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
10  SIGN OF WAR Mar26 Mar02 Feb05 Jan29   (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 2.50 31% 2.20    
11  LIL CARPE Mar23 Jan20       (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 20.00    
12  HIJO GALANTE         (lucarelli frank)MONTALVO C 119 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.