Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Oaklawn Park
Saturday - April 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
OP-1   04/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
APPRAISAL Apr16 Mar24 Mar12 Feb11 Jan15 (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 2.50 13% 6.70    
OUTCOME Apr01 Mar17 Feb25 Feb13 Jan01 (morse randy )MEDELLIN ERICK 114 3.50 36% 1.80    
BRODY BOUCHER Apr10 Mar26 Mar04 Feb12 Jan01 (jacquot gene)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 8.00    
GRAVES MILL ROAD Apr10 Feb27 Feb11 Jan15   (villafranco f)GARCIA MARTIN 119 4.50    
BOLD MINISTER Apr10 Feb17 Jan29 Jan01   (richard c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00    
FUNANDFUNNY Apr16 Apr08 Mar24 Mar12 Feb18 (loy dewain)JORDAN R 114 6.00    
VIOLENT PASS Apr07 Mar24 Mar12 Feb18   (hewitt michae)BAILEY CHEL-C 112 5.00 13% 6.80    
BITCOIN BANKER Apr16 Feb12 Jan14     (deville j)HIRALDO JOHN 115 8.00 8% 12.20    
 
OP-2   04/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($29.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYAL D D         (williams bla)CULP BRIANNE 114 30.00 6% 15.30    
TAPPED OUT Apr01 Mar12 Jan30     (prather john)MEDELLIN ERICK 114 6.00    
CYBERTOWN Apr16 Apr01 Mar25     (mar)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 6.00 20% 4.00    
PERIPATETIC Apr10 Mar31 Mar19 Mar04   (witt ii)WALES T 125 10.00    
MORE THAN HAMAZING Apr15 Apr03       (jackson richa)COURT J 125 10.00    
CONCOCTION Mar25 Mar04 Jan28     (moquett ronal)CANCHARI ALEX 121 12.00    
MAX'S HEART Apr08 Mar12 Feb19 Jan29 Jan01 (smith ken)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 3.00 28% 2.60    
OTHER TIMES Apr15 Apr01 Mar24 Mar13   (rhea sherry)BAILEY CHEL-C 118 20.00    
YOUNG O' DAINE Apr16 Apr01 Mar19 Feb19   (loy dewaine)ALICEA JEREMY 111 30.00    
10  BOSTON WALLY Mar24         (fires william)PEREIRA TIAGO 125 8.00    
11  RISKY SITUATION Apr08 Mar25 Mar17 Feb13 Jan30 (cline n)HARR KELSI 125 4.50    
12  KISSOFTHENILE Apr10 Mar26 Mar11 Feb12   (calloway bry)JORDAN R 116 5.00 8% 10.90    
SCR  LOU'S ARROW Apr16 Mar25 Mar12 Feb19   (martin timot)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 4.00 11% 8.00    
 
OP-3   04/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUBIGINOUS Mar20 Feb18 Jan15     (morse randy )CASTILLO ISAAC 125 3.50    
RUSTY CAGE Mar27 Feb10       (richard chris)BAILEY CHEL-C 115 12.00    
FIVE O ONE Mar27 Mar17 Feb26 Jan16 Jan02 (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 122 3.00 32% 2.20    
C H JAY Mar27 Jan28       (loy dewaine)CULP BRIANNE 115 30.00    
TROPHY DADDY Feb04 Jan07       (antwine michae)HIRALDO JOHN 122 12.00    
LEO DEL REO Apr24 Apr03 Mar17 Feb26 Jan22 (jacquot gene)JORDAN R 117 20.00    
MARVELOUS THUNDER Mar27 Mar12 Jan28     (cline n)QUINONEZ S 122 5.00 8% 12.10    
REEF'S DESTINY Apr03 Mar20 Mar05 Feb13 Jan16 (cline n)HARR KELSI 122 3.50 12% 7.20    
MY DOMINATOR Mar26 Mar12 Feb18     (riecken bruc)MEDELLIN ERICK 118 4.50 17% 4.90    
10  FUNNY ACTOR Apr01 Mar12 Feb26 Feb11 Jan27 (garcia ge)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 125 20.00 6% 15.10    
 
OP-4   04/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($108K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUTHERN GRAYCE Apr16 Mar20 Feb19     (cox brad)SANTANA JR 124 3.00    
JOY'S ROCKET Apr02 Mar11 Jan22 Jan02   (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 1.80 36% 1.80    
JOYFUL CADENCE Mar20 Feb12       (ortiz joh)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 2.50 30% 2.30    
HEADLAND Apr10 Mar11 Jan02     (hob)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 8.00    
SOMEONE SAID SO         (rosin w)CANCHARI ALEX 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
PERFECT HAPPINESS Mar20 Jan22 Jan02     (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 5.00    
 
OP-5   04/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($29.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY KINDA TETON Apr10 Mar31 Mar19 Mar04 Feb13 (rhea sherry)HARR KELSI 125 15.00    
ROYAL DE BE Apr22 Mar19 Feb26 Feb12   (williams bla)CULP BRIANNE 118 30.00    
HARDSCRABBLE Mar31         (moquett ronal)CANCHARI ALEX 125 3.50 31% 2.20    
HIGHTAIL COWBOY Apr16 Apr08 Mar04 Feb10   (stuart shea)CASTILLO ISAAC 125 8.00    
CATS GOTTA CHANCE Apr16 Apr08 Mar25 Mar13 Mar04 (hewitt micha)MEDELLIN ERICK 118 10.00    
HEART HEADED ARKY Apr08 Mar24 Feb26     (loy dew)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 30.00    
MO VODKA Apr08 Mar26 Mar11 Jan29   (milligan allen)QUINONEZ S 121 12.00    
CYBER MONDAY Apr16 Mar12 Jan30     (green aidan)JORDAN R 120 4.50    
SERENDIP RULER Apr08         (hale vi)ALICEA JEREMY 115 20.00    
10  MACHO RONNIE Apr03 Feb26       (mcbride burl )BAILEY CHEL-C 118 2.50 38% 1.60    
11  DIESEL FUEL Apr08 Mar25       (jackson richa)COURT J 125 20.00    
12  UCANTMAKETHISTUFUP Apr08 Mar19 Mar04 Feb13 Jan22 (schultz linds)GARCIA MARTIN 121 6.00 9% 10.50    
SCR  WARNING LABEL Apr16 Apr01 Mar24 Mar13 Feb25 (cline n)HARR KELSI 125 10.00    
SCR  AUX ARCS Apr16 Apr03 Mar25     (witt ii)QUINONEZ S 125 3.00    
 
OP-6   04/30/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEADING WEST Mar31 Mar06 Feb20 Jan16 Jan07 (ortiz alex)COHEN DAVID 122 3.00 22% 3.60    
EKATI'S VERVE Apr07 Mar17 Feb21 Feb04 Jan03 (com)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 125 12.00    
MR. THUNDERSTRUCK Apr03 Mar05 Feb13     (von ke)GONZALEZ ELVIN 117 6.00    
TIZ RYE TIME Mar31 Mar18 Feb09 Jan12   (van berg )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 2.00 46% 1.20    
TOMA TODO Apr07 Mar06 Jan16     (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 125 4.00 9% 10.80    
CENTURION Apr08 Mar04 Jan02     (schultz linds)GARCIA MARTIN 125 4.50    
UNIDENTIFIED MAN         (calhoun willia)HIRALDO JOHN 120 8.00    
 
OP-7   04/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3 ALL PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIDER'S SPECIAL Apr02 Feb26       (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 3.00 29% 2.40    
RED DEVIL Apr07         (petalino joe)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 8.00    
BLAME ELI Apr02 Mar13 Feb26     (chleborad lyn)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 12.00    
PINCH HITTER Mar17 Feb20 Jan15     (loy dew)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 15.00    
WILDWOOD Z Apr07 Feb21       (broberg karl)JORDAN R 117 8.00    
PUDGE BOY PALACE Apr07 Mar12       (combs bentley)GARCIA MARTIN 122 10.00    
SPEED BIAS Apr02         (cox brad)SANTANA JR 122 3.00 9% 10.60    
MAGNIFICUS Mar19 Feb26       (moquett ronal)CANCHARI ALEX 122 2.50 33% 2.00    
PORTSMOUTH Apr23 Apr09 Feb21 Feb12   (dixon tim)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 10.00 6% 16.60    
 
OP-8   04/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($107K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROLLING FORK Apr09 Mar20 Feb26     (ortiz joh)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 117 6.00 13% 6.50    
CUMBERLAND AVENUE Mar11 Feb21       (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 125 6.00 15% 5.50    
HERD IMMUNITY Feb13 Jan16       (diodoro rober)GARCIA MARTIN 120 12.00    
JOE FRAZIER Apr09 Apr02 Feb20 Jan02   (martin timothy)HIRALDO JOHN 120 10.00    
REED KAN Apr09         (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 3.00 26% 2.80    
DEVIL'S TOWER Mar20 Feb25 Feb13 Jan16   (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 4.00 9% 10.10    
DEFLATER Mar20 Feb27 Feb18 Jan16   (cline n)HARR KELSI 120 30.00    
DERBY DATE Mar18         (contreras ci)JORDAN R 115 12.00    
WRONGWAYHIGHWAY Mar05 Feb21       (fires william)BAILEY CHEL-C 113 20.00    
SCR  RARE STRIPE Mar25 Mar17       (villafra)SANTANA JR 125 10.00    
11  STORM ADVISORY Apr09 Mar19 Feb18 Jan29   (mason ingrid)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 12.00 7% 12.50    
12  RIBBONS AND MEDALS Apr09 Mar27 Mar05 Feb13 Jan16 (mar)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 125 8.00    
 
OP-9   04/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3 ALL PT- 6:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNIFIED REPORT Apr08 Mar12 Feb05 Jan22   (stewart d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 3.50 14% 6.00    
AIN'T LIFE GRAND         (von ke)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 6.00    
CAIRAMA Apr10 Feb26 Jan01     (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 1.60 22% 3.60    
MOWINS         (lau)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 10.00    
COGBURN Mar25         (asmussen)SANTANA JR 121 2.00 41% 1.40    
WHELEN SPRINGS Apr09 Mar26 Feb27 Jan29 Jan09 (ortiz joh)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 8.00    
 
OP-10   04/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EV'S SHERMAN Apr09 Mar26 Mar11 Feb12 Jan09 (villafranco frederi)WALES T 121 3.50 29% 2.50    
ALLO ENRY Apr03 Mar24 Feb26 Feb13 Jan29 (deville )SANTANA JR 121 5.00    
BILLHILL Apr03 Mar11       (prather john )PEREIRA TIAGO 121 8.00    
DUDLEY Apr10         (stuart shea)BAILEY CHEL-C 114 8.00    
TRAFFIC CONTROL Apr15 Apr03 Feb27 Feb12 Jan22 (cangemi danie)CANCHARI ALEX 125 12.00    
SECRET SURVIVOR Apr03         (ashauer norman)HIRALDO JOHN 121 30.00    
MOONSHINE SURFER Apr01 Mar11 Feb13 Jan16   (dea)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 125 30.00    
SKYPED Apr03 Mar11 Feb13     (nelson r)HARR KELSI 125 3.50    
SALTY JONES         (schleis case)JORDAN R 116 30.00    
10  BETTYS CASH Apr09 Mar26 Mar11     (von donn)QUINONEZ S 121 3.00 46% 1.20    
11  MORNING DRIVE Apr10         (lauer michae)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.