Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Saturday - April 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   04/30/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JANE'S GOLD TOUR Apr17 Apr02       (cook brian)RIVERA BRYAN 111 8.00 ★    
2  AH LEAH Apr17         (hernandez arman)BOWEN ROCCO 121 2.00 20% 4.00    
3  NAUGHTYNAUGHTY Apr09 Jan12       (rivelli larry)BAIRD T 115 3.50 ★    
4  TAP N TWINE Apr09         (ryan a)TAVARES JAVIER 121 8.00    
5  PRINCESS CONSUELA Apr17 Apr09       (cook brian)GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 4.50 ★    
SCR  CHICKADEE Apr17 Apr02       (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 2.50 49% 1.10    
 
HAW-2   04/30/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLD ME GIRL Jan09         (mickelson judy)LOPEZ A 124 15.00    
2  SHEZA HOOT Apr09         (zawitz joel)LOPEZ E 118 8.00    
3  SURE SHOT ANNIE Apr09         (thurman rhonda)EMIGH A 124 6.00 ★    
SCR  MEET YOUR MAKER         (zawitz joel)BOWEN ROCCO 118 4.50 15% 5.60    
5  DANCING BARBIE Apr09         (ryan a)TAVARES JAVIER 124 5.00 10% 8.80    
6  HARD LIKE HOLLY Apr24 Apr09 Mar11 Feb23 Jan25 (hughes ear)URDANETA J 118 3.50 8% 11.00    
7  JOY ENAMORADA Apr09 Mar09       (lopez elias)MOJICA O 118 1.80 44% 1.30    
 
HAW-3   04/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIVIN UP NONE Feb15 Jan12       (hughes earl )TAVARES JAVIER 121 6.00 9% 9.90    
SCR  FLEETWAY Apr16 Apr03       (hernandez )GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 4.50 ★    
3  POWER CRY         (slager m)LOPEZ A 121 2.50 ★    
4  RENEGADE BOB Apr23 Apr09 Apr02     (hughes ear)URDANETA J 121 5.00    
5  CONTRACTION Apr16 Apr02       (candelas b)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.50 26% 2.80    
6  W W KAN DO Apr16 Apr02 Mar13 Feb10 Jan20 (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 121 4.00 35% 1.90    
 
HAW-4   04/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DARE GOES DA DEVIL Apr16 Apr10 Jan14     (perez mann)VILLASANA CARLOS 115 8.00 ★    
2  ON THE MUSCLE Apr17         (hughes w)LOPEZ A 121 6.00    
3  WHERE'S LUCKY Apr02 Mar19 Mar04 Jan09 Jan01 (perez manny)BOWEN ROCCO 115 3.50 ★    
4  ALPINE GHOST Apr10 Apr01 Mar18 Feb12 Jan08 (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 6.00 12% 7.20    
5  JUST RIGHT MIKE Apr10 Mar02 Feb09     (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 1.80 31% 2.30    
6  SIR ACEALOT Apr10 Feb25 Feb12     (hughes earl )TAVARES JAVIER 121 3.00 26% 2.90    
 
HAW-5   04/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARSOVERPARADISE Apr19         (lynch e)BOWEN ROCCO 118 3.50 10% 8.60    
2  WANDA STRONG         (miller pa)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 118 10.00    
3  FEATURED POWER Apr09 Mar18       (rodriguez hugo)EMIGH A 124 8.00 ★    
4  LONGLIVEROCKNROLL         (childers v)URDANETA J 118 5.00 ★    
5  SUMMER BELLE Mar27         (mitchell anthony)LOPEZ E 118 1.80 17% 4.80    
6  MISS HIGH N MIGHTY Apr09         (slager m)LOPEZ A 124 3.00 48% 1.10    
 
HAW-6   04/30/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HAPPY CAMPER Apr16 Apr01 Mar18 Jan07   (manley steve)BAIRD T 121 4.00 ★    
2  LAVENDER EARL Apr16 Mar09 Feb16 Jan15   (reavis mic)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.50 42% 1.40    
3  YOUR TIME'S COMING Mar23 Mar06 Jan20     (scherer gary)FELIX E 121 15.00 8% 11.10    
SCR  MR. PETERKIN Mar13 Feb20 Jan28     (lopez elias)MOJICA O 121 15.00    
SCR  DUCHOSSOIS Mar19 Feb26       (vanden britt)EMIGH A 121 4.50 9% 10.00    
6  JIMMY D Mar26 Mar12 Feb18 Jan23   (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 121 5.00 17% 5.00    
7  JUST GUN IT Apr16 Feb24 Jan30 Jan09   (rodriguez eduar)BOWEN ROCCO 121 8.00    
8  FIRST MASAMUNE Apr10         (slager leona)TAVARES JAVIER 121 10.00    
SCR  CLARESTOWN         (block chr)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 8.00    
SCR  TALLESTOFTHETALL Mar02 Feb10 Jan29     (campbell jo)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 15.00    
 
HAW-7   04/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($32.5K) Purse ($44K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUJU'S SPECIALGIRL Jan16         (hernandez armando)MOJICA O 121 15.00 ★    
2  LILY'S WOOFY         (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.50 ★    
3  GIRL NAMED PATSY Apr09 Apr01 Jan02     (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 121 12.00    
SCR  ROYAL'S GIRL Apr09         (becker scott)BAIRD T 124 4.50 8% 10.90    
5  JOLINA Apr09 Mar25       (mitchell anthon)BOWEN ROCCO 121 8.00 23% 3.30    
6  MOM'S RED LIPSTICK Mar13 Feb13 Jan16     (block chris)LOPEZ E 121 2.50    
7  JETS A GINNIN Apr09 Mar11 Jan02     (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 3.00 44% 1.30    
 
HAW-8   04/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILD AMERICA Jan08         (stidham michael)BOWEN ROCCO 121 3.00 ★    
2  HONEY MUG Apr09 Apr02       (hernandez )URDANETA J 124 2.50 63% 0.60    
3  PALM COURT Apr17 Feb23 Jan21     (brooks e)MOJICA O 121 12.00 ★    
4  SHE'S WANDAFUL         (miller pa)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 8.00    
5  MONTGOMERY PARK Apr09 Mar25 Feb27 Feb12   (contreras cipr)SANJUR SANTO 121 3.50 11% 7.90    
6  KHOZYS CROWN Apr17 Apr02 Mar11     (hernandez ja)TAVARES JAVIER 121 15.00    
7  WHITE LIES         (miller r)BAIRD T 121 8.00    
SCR  HER GOLD MINE Apr16         (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.