Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fonner Park
Saturday - April 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FON-1   04/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FREUDIAN SIP Apr08 Mar18 Feb24 Jan26   (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 124 4.00 ★    
2  GONE PREACHIN Apr15 Apr09 Feb26     (sorensen mike)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 3.50 36% 1.70    
3  BREAKIN DAYLIGHT Apr15 Apr02 Mar19 Mar05   (black marissa)TOHILL S 124 8.00    
4  YANK CRIME Apr09 Mar26 Mar05 Feb19 Feb03 (lafferty duane)JUDE JOHN 124 4.50 33% 2.10    
5  FAYETTE WARRIOR Apr09 Mar19 Mar06     (compton james )OLESIAK JAKE 124 6.00    
6  EL CENTENARIO Apr16 Apr01 Mar13 Mar06   (bethke troy )BETHKE A 124 4.00 ★    
7  TIGER THE MAN Mar26 Feb26       (roberts m)HAAR NATHAN 124 5.00 ★    
 
FON-2   04/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($10.45K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  L B GOLD Apr10 Mar26 Mar13 Feb26   (krause bill)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 4.00 ★    
2  WANT TO BE COWBOY Apr24 Mar26 Mar12 Feb26   (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 3.00 ★    
3  BUMPY GAME Mar05         (reynolds carolyn)RAMOS B 124 10.00    
4  NAME THE PRICE Mar26 Mar12 Feb26     (martinez kelli)JUDE JOHN 124 5.00 ★    
5  BARTENDERS MISTAKE Apr10 Mar26 Mar12 Feb26   (condon schuyler)TOHILL S 124 4.50 12% 7.10    
6  PHLASH DRIVE Mar12 Feb26       (anderson david)OLESIAK JAKE 124 2.00 60% 0.70    
7  KENHEDOIT Mar26 Mar12       (dieter dalton)ROMAN KEVIN 124 15.00    
 
FON-3   04/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EVEN PANDURA Apr10 Mar04       (sanderson br)BETHKE A 124 6.00    
2  A BUNCH FOR LUNCH Apr16 Mar04       (ness john)TOHILL S 124 12.00    
3  JAZZ BRUNCH Feb18 Jan14       (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 4.50 ★    
4  NEON DREAMS Apr15 Apr02 Mar18 Mar04 Feb20 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 3.00 39% 1.60    
5  QUEENS GIFT Apr02 Mar18 Mar04     (hoffman robert)OLESIAK JAKE 124 6.00 ★    
6  HARLONS COMMISION Apr10 Mar11 Jan21 Jan01   (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 124 1.60 18% 4.60    
7  LONG MONDAY Apr10 Apr02 Mar11 Mar05   (condon schuyle)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 12.00 7% 12.60    
 
FON-4   04/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAPA JOE Apr23 Apr01 Mar26 Mar19 Mar12 (ducheneaux jam)CHICKENESS S 124 20.00 ★    
2  FRONT OFFICE Apr15 Mar04 Feb19     (donlin d)RAMOS B 124 3.50 15% 5.70    
3  ROYAL OUTLAW Apr16 Apr01 Mar11 Feb12   (anderson david)OLESIAK JAKE 120 4.50    
4  SUBSCRIPTION Apr16 Mar26       (rivera gregorio )TOHILL S 124 5.00 19% 4.30    
5  TAP ATTACK Mar19 Mar06 Jan08     (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 124 2.50 24% 3.10    
6  FEISTY BIRD Mar26 Mar20 Mar06     (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 2.00 21% 3.90    
7  NEXTPORTOFCALL Apr09 Mar19 Feb26     (hawley joe)HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00    
8  PACK'N IRON Apr09 Mar19 Mar12     (black marissa)JUDE JOHN 124 20.00    
 
FON-5   04/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  THREE BALL Apr24 Mar05 Feb19     (montano wilfri)CHICKENESS S 124 15.00    
2  TAP A MIRACLE Apr23 Apr02 Feb19     (ness john)TOHILL S 124 8.00    
3  SAILING JETT Apr06 Mar12 Feb24 Feb03 Jan12 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 124 3.50    
4  SIDE STREET DAVE Apr10         (sanderson bruce)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  MY TRUE REWARD Apr16 Apr01 Mar12 Feb26   (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 2.50 ★    
6  DAYS OF GLORY Apr23 Mar26 Mar13     (bethke troy )BETHKE A 124 4.00 25% 3.10    
7  JIMMIE T Apr16         (haar j)JUDE JOHN 124 15.00 ★    
8  DRYSPELL Apr16 Apr09 Mar19 Mar12 Feb25 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ A 124 3.00 44% 1.30    
 
FON-6   04/30/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OMEN OF CHANGE Mar25 Mar12 Feb26     (bethke troy )BETHKE A 124 6.00    
2  DANZ A REBEL Apr15 Feb19       (bolinger micha)LUARK T 124 10.00 7% 12.90    
3  ROCK CITY ROADHOG Apr24 Mar27 Mar19 Mar05 Feb20 (condon schuyler)HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00    
4  DAAHER'S SUCCESS Apr09 Feb26       (davis frank)JUDE JOHN 124 2.00 45% 1.20    
5  DARE FELIX Apr23 Apr03 Mar26 Mar12 Mar06 (ducheneaux jam)CHICKENESS S 124 3.50 ★    
6  ASTUTE WARRIOR Apr10 Feb20       (ness john)TOHILL S 124 8.00 6% 15.90    
7  FENDER BENDER Apr01 Mar12 Feb25     (hawley joe)RAMOS B 124 15.00    
8  SWINGIN' SAM Apr16 Apr01       (anderson david)OLESIAK JAKE 124 2.50 13% 6.80    
 
FON-7   04/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  D L'S GIRL Apr10 Mar27 Mar11 Feb20   (anderson david)OLESIAK JAKE 124 3.00 ★    
2  AQUATICA Apr16 Apr01 Mar18 Mar04 Feb19 (compton jesse)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 32% 2.10    
3  RHINE FALLS Apr08 Feb25       (ness john)TOHILL S 124 15.00    
4  POLLY WAR CRY Apr16 Mar04       (hall l)BETHKE A 124 15.00    
5  HIGH COST OF LIVIN Apr15 Apr01 Mar18 Mar05 Feb19 (black marissa)MARTINEZ A 124 2.00 29% 2.40    
6  PRUD AS PUNCH Apr09 Apr01 Mar18 Feb25   (dieter dalton)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 20.00    
7  ULTRA CORDIAL Apr16 Apr01 Mar05 Feb25   (anderson c)RAMOS B 124 10.00 11% 8.00    
8  POSEIDON'S MAGIC Apr16 Mar18 Mar12 Jan01   (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 124 4.00 ★    
9  THEWHISKEYWORKED Apr16 Mar16 Feb18 Jan07   (gourneau jerry)CHICKENESS S 124 15.00    
 
FON-8   04/30/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($4.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGIC REVOLUTION Apr02         (bethke troy )BETHKE A 120 5.00 5% 17.20    
2  KING WITT Apr15 Mar23 Feb10 Jan28   (gourneau jerry)CHICKENESS S 120 8.00    
3  GABBY TOM Apr02 Mar19 Mar05 Feb25   (ecoffey gilber)OLESIAK JAKE 124 2.00 26% 2.90    
4  BOLD IMPACT Apr23 Mar19 Mar05     (mitchell stets)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 15.00    
5  PERVASIVE Apr16 Mar26 Feb25     (muckey john)LUARK T 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  RUN FOR MATTY Apr02 Mar19       (foley p)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.00 15% 5.60    
7  CARIOCA Apr16 Apr02 Mar12 Mar05 Feb25 (bliss dean)MARTINEZ A 124 2.50 31% 2.20    
8  KID WINMOR Apr02 Mar18       (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 124 12.00    
9  R DEJA VOO Apr15 Mar18       (rivera p)RAMOS B 124 15.00    
10  SIR BARNABUS         (thomsen paula)JUDE JOHN 124 15.00    
 
FON-9   04/30/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 GOOD nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STEPHEN'S ANSWER Apr09 Mar26 Mar06 Feb12 Feb02 (gonzalez isa)BETHKE A 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  CONVENTION (IRE) Apr22 Apr02 Mar05 Feb12 Jan23 (lebsock greg)OLESIAK JAKE 124 3.50 ★    
3  INTREPID HEART Mar24 Mar01 Jan02     (hawley joe)TOHILL S 118 1.40 68% 0.50    
4  WRATH Apr23 Apr02 Mar26 Mar12 Feb26 (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 118 8.00 ★    
5  HOLD TIGHT Apr09         (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 120 12.00    
6  ITS A WRAP Apr09 Mar26 Mar06 Feb11 Jan08 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 124 1.80 ★    
 
FON-10   04/30/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($4.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WACO KID Apr16         (donlin d)MARTINEZ A 124 5.00    
2  MASTERFUL STRIDE Apr16 Apr03 Mar20 Mar12 Mar06 (raver nick)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 12.00    
3  JERRYS PRIDENJOY Apr16 Mar04 Feb19     (thomsen paula)JUDE JOHN 124 12.00    
4  MAYHAWK Apr16 Feb19       (arceo salvad)BETHKE A 124 8.00 11% 8.00    
5  SENOR BLAIR Apr03 Mar20 Mar12     (mitchell stetson)TOHILL S 124 2.00 14% 5.90    
6  DREAM BABY DREAM Apr16 Apr09 Mar26 Mar20 Mar06 (bliss dean)RAMOS B 124 4.00 26% 2.90    
7  RENVYLE Apr10 Mar26 Mar12 Feb20   (hawley joe)CHICKENESS S 124 12.00    
8  I CALL SHOTGUN Apr16 Apr03 Mar20     (wise jason)OLESIAK JAKE 124 3.50 18% 4.40    
9  BURGAMEISTER Apr15 Mar26 Mar05     (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 20.00    
SCR  HORSE FLY Apr16 Apr02 Mar12 Feb25   (hoffman robert)LUARK T 124 20.00 7% 12.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.