Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charlotte
Saturday - April 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CHL-1   04/30/2022 11880ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOSS MAN         (kingsley a)SCULLY ELIZABETH 153   53% 0.90    
2  CHETZERON (FR)         (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 157      
3  HIGH MOUNTE (IRE)         (kingsley ar)GALLIGAN GERARD 153   ★    
4  DREWSCOURT (IRE)         (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 157   ★    
5  GAYE BREEZE (IRE)         (mcdermott se)MCDERMOTT SEAN 157   19% 4.30    
SCR  BASSMATCHI (FR)         (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 157   ★    
 
CHL-2   04/30/2022 11220ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEOWULF (IRE)         (dowling william)NEILD JAMIE 141   13% 6.50    
2  LOWCOUNTRY         (boucher lilith)BOUCHER MELL 139   13% 6.50    
SCR  ZARKALLANI (FR)         (fisher r)BARGARY JAMIE 154      
4  ETERNAL STORY (FR)         (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 154   ★    
5  ANCIENT TIMES         (kingsley ar)GALLIGAN GERARD 154   ★    
6  SPRING HEELED JIM (IRE)         (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 146   13% 6.50    
 
CHL-3   04/30/2022 12540ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DECISIVE TRIUMPH         (beecher mark)BARGARY JAMIE 153   38% 1.70    
2  FRENCH LIGHT (FR)         (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 153   29% 2.40    
3  PERFECT TAPATINO (FR)         (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 150   ★    
4  MR. ALEC         (kingsley ar)GALLIGAN GERARD 150   ★    
 
CHL-4   04/30/2022 11220ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WEBB         (elliott jan)GALLIGAN GERARD 146   13% 6.50    
2  PENICILLIN SUCCESS         (fisher r)BARGARY JAMIE 146   13% 6.50    
3  KING OF TSAVO (GB)         (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 146      
4  HURTGEN FOREST         (kingsley archiba)WATTS MARK 146   ★    
5  FREDDY FLINTSHIRE         (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 146   ★    
6  PROVEN INNOCENT         (fisher r)NEILD JAMIE 141   13% 6.50    
 
CHL-5   04/30/2022 10560ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOLD QUEST         (fisher r)BARGARY JAMIE 156   ★    
2  ALWAYS COOL         (boucher lilith)BOUCHER MELL 143   ★    
3  MEKONG         (elliott jan)GALLIGAN GERARD 156      
4  CAINUDOTHETWIST         (kingsley a)SCULLY ELIZABETH 136   11% 7.70    
SCR  MOJAVE (GB) Apr25 Apr08 Mar03 Jan05   (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 156   11% 8.00    
6  SEVILLE BARBER         (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 150   24% 3.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.