Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - April 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   04/29/2022 5400ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT-12:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOK FURY         (fennessy john)WALES GARY 124 10.00    
KATY AND EMMA Apr10 Mar25 Mar05 Feb18 Jan22 (davis rich)ROWLAND MADELINE 119 1.20 35% 1.80    
MARYMOTHEROF JESUS Apr08 Mar05 Feb05 Jan05   (es)SCALDAFERRI ROSANA 126 30.00    
FABIOLA PRINCESS Apr22 Apr08 Mar25 Mar05 Feb11 (tsirigotis jr)DIAZ S 126 3.50    
THAWED Apr24 Apr10 Mar13 Jan22 Jan05 (schistl rafae)CHAVES ELIONE 126 4.00    
LADY MANHATTAN Apr10 Apr03 Mar13 Mar05 Feb19 (escobar aliso)DELGADO DAVID 126 3.50 21% 3.80    
AWESOME WINNA Apr08 Mar27 Mar16     (wasiluk pet)SPANABEL SKYLER 126 15.00 18% 4.50    
 
TAM-2   04/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT-12:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORTH CAUCASUS Mar05         (burns pa)STRANDBERG MALLORY 125 15.00 6% 16.80    
O DANNY BOY Apr06 Mar04 Feb18 Jan23   (rieger harr)SPANABEL SKYLER 125 10.00    
REGAL EAGLE Apr10         (ashmore co)MITCHELL RICHARD 125 20.00 6% 16.80    
M V SPEED Feb18 Jan21       (davis richard)SANTOS ADEMAR 123 3.00 27% 2.60    
KINGSWOOD Mar18 Feb23       (harty eoin)GARCIA A 125 1.20 31% 2.20    
EDMUND FITZGERALD Apr15 Mar19       (hayford jennifer)DIAZ S 125 4.50    
THE SKIPSTER Apr10 Mar30 Mar13 Mar04 Feb13 (raymond ro)ROWLAND MADELINE 116 4.50    
 
TAM-3   04/29/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 3 ALL PT- 1:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FEDERAL OFFENSE Mar25         (shaw john)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00    
URBAN BEACH Apr09         (dini mi)DE CRUZ 120 10.00 8% 11.80    
SCR  TAX CODE Mar05         (harty eoin)GARCIA A 120 2.00 52% 0.90    
EL POLICIA Apr20 Apr03       (bordis rob)ALONSO LUIS 120 3.00 9% 10.10    
LYING JEFF Apr02         (blanco g)CHAVEZ DEIVY 120 10.00    
AS DE ORO COCO Apr15 Mar26 Mar12     (morales gui)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
BALLINDERRY Apr10 Mar25 Mar06 Jan05   (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 113 6.00    
CHEF MENTEUR Apr16         (laurato micha)CHAVES ELIONE 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CALZONE Apr10         (rarick lynn)DELGADO DAVID 120 8.00    
10  NOICATTARO         (reardon c)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 12.00    
11  HE'SSOSUBTLE Apr20 Apr02 Mar18     (wasiluk pet)GARCIA A 120 4.00    
12  SOLAR SHIELD         (foley thomas)ALENCAR WALBER 120 15.00    
SCR  SIDNEY'S BID Apr03 Feb16 Jan01     (duncan chr)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 20.00    
SCR  WIZARD SERRAT Apr01 Mar12 Feb13 Jan13   (barboza victor)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.50    
 
TAM-4   04/29/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHILL HAZE Apr15 Feb18 Feb05 Jan29   (romero raf)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 4.50    
KRAMDEN Apr13 Mar30 Mar04 Jan23   (jones douglas)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 6.00    
BODIE CODY Mar16 Feb25 Feb06 Jan05   (torres pablo)GARCIA GEOVANY 120 20.00    
INTERNET OF THINGS Apr08 Feb20 Jan23     (ferraro m )ROWLAND MADELINE 116 2.00 14% 6.30    
MALIBU MAX Apr01 Mar06 Jan27 Jan09   (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 120 1.60 57% 0.80    
SCR  PICCADILLY BEAU Apr22 Apr08 Mar11 Feb13 Feb02 (gatis chris)SOSA LAUREANO 110 10.00    
WHISTLE ME HOME Apr15 Mar30 Mar16 Jan28 Jan16 (guciardo ka)GARCIA A 120 10.00    
 
TAM-5   04/29/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE DUNGEON Apr09 Feb18 Jan19     (foley d)CAMACHO SAMY 118 10.00    
SOAKING WET Mar19         (galvan balt)GARCIA A 125 12.00    
DYNAMORE Feb25 Jan21       (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 118 10.00    
DIVINE CONTROL Apr06 Mar09 Feb19 Jan28 Jan05 (march william)CHAVES ELIONE 125 2.00 23% 3.40    
THE WILD FLYER Apr09 Mar26 Feb16     (ochoa gera)ORDONEZ R 125 12.00    
FORMAL TREASURE         (parra hernan)JIMENEZ MANNY 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MOONLIGHT GRAHAM Apr16         (schistl rafae)SANTOS ADEMAR 125 8.00    
FEISTY KITTEN Feb25 Feb06 Jan15     (rarick lynn)MENDEZ KEVIN 125 6.00    
OUR GREY GHOST         (bell michael)BISONO J 125 20.00    
10  SECLUDE Apr06 Feb05       (lerman roy )SPANABEL SKYLER 125 3.00 50% 1.00    
 
TAM-6   04/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 3 F PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MISS INEZ Apr09 Mar20 Feb12     (marrero nest)SUAREZ ANTHONY 120 3.00    
BAYOU MELODY Mar30         (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 1.60 43% 1.30    
WHITEROSE SPIRIT Apr02 Mar09       (rhone bernell)ARROYO MIGUEL 120 8.00    
AMOR COCO Mar12         (morales gui)GARCIA A 120 20.00    
GIO'S MY DAD         (allen lisa)ALLEN M 120 12.00    
IT IS WHAT IT IS Apr08 Apr02       (machado an)ORDONEZ R 120 10.00    
HOT OMELET         (davis rich)ROWLAND MADELINE 113 10.00    
FABULOUS PHILLY Apr16 Apr03 Mar09 Jan07   (rarick lynn)MENDEZ KEVIN 120 8.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  BRINC AWAY Apr06 Mar16       (stewart j)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00    
 
TAM-7   04/29/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLIDAY DANCER Apr08 Mar26 Feb25 Feb13 Feb02 (march will)ROWLAND MADELINE 118 15.00    
JOE PHILLIPS Apr03 Feb12 Jan12     (sweezey kent)CAMACHO SAMY 125 2.50 9% 10.10    
OHANA EMPIRE Apr16         (nunn dougla)GARCIA A 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
RAMIRIN Apr16 Mar30 Mar20 Mar04 Feb19 (galvan baltaz)ALVARADO JR 125 8.00    
WILD IRISHMAN Apr03 Feb18       (hendry stac)MARIN A 118 15.00    
SCR  RIP IT RYAN Apr23 Mar27 Mar11 Feb16 Jan29 (tsirigotis )SPANABEL SKYLER 125 20.00    
CLEVER FELLOW Mar16 Feb25 Feb04 Jan21   (carra)DIAZ RAFAEL 125 2.00 52% 0.90    
G FRIDAY Apr03 Mar26       (foley thomas)ALENCAR WALBER 125 20.00    
LUIS TWO GUNS         (lorito mario)WALES GARY 125 20.00    
10  NIP OF BOURBON Apr08 Mar16 Mar04 Feb25   (schistl rafae)CHAVES ELIONE 125 4.00 13% 6.40    
 
TAM-8   04/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($31K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRSTCADETE Apr15 Apr01 Mar18 Feb11 Jan21 (machado an)ORDONEZ R 123 6.00    
CODETOWIN Apr02 Feb27 Feb09 Jan26   (arnett jon )GARCIA A 119 5.00    
NOVGOROD THE GREAT         (gulick jame)SPANABEL SKYLER 119 15.00    
SCR  LORD BERRIER Mar09 Jan21       (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 123 4.50    
ARCADIA CALLS Mar16 Feb11       (bennett)DE CRUZ 119 3.00 38% 1.60    
ELLAS MY LOVE Feb19 Jan29       (arriagada )ROWLAND MADELINE 112 3.50    
WELD Apr01 Mar11 Jan29     (nichols prisc)SOSA LAUREANO 109 12.00    
FORWARD MOTION Apr01         (ferraro anth)CAMACHO SAMY 119 12.00 32% 2.10    
DOCTOR K Mar23         (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 6.00    
 
TAM-9   04/29/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19.45K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THUNDER BUGGY Apr03 Mar23 Feb19     (machado antoni)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00 10% 8.70    
AMERICAN EMPRESS Mar20 Feb23 Jan30 Jan14   (philipp kar)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 12.00    
CIDSTAYINURLAINE Apr09 Mar11       (axmaker cody )SANTOS ADEMAR 123 12.00 8% 11.70    
GOODBYE CAROLINA Apr13 Mar20       (galvan baltaz)ALVARADO JR 123 3.50 59% 0.70    
GOLDEN OLDIE         (dini mi)DE CRUZ 120 6.00    
SASSY CAT Apr22 Apr10 Mar02 Jan07   (axmaker co)ROWLAND MADELINE 113 6.00    
SUNNYMEDE DREAM Mar17         (schuh tim)BISONO J 120 10.00    
SCR  MAJESTIC QUEEN Apr20 Apr09 Mar18 Mar02   (harris keit)GARCIA A 120 10.00    
TWISTED TREASURE Apr20         (schistl rafae)CHAVES ELIONE 120 10.00    
10  AUDRINA'S CITY         (fennessy john)WALES GARY 120 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.