Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Oaklawn Park
Friday - April 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
OP-1   04/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($29K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TROPINKA Apr09 Mar12 Feb13     (anderson doug)BAILEY CHEL-C 114 6.00 27% 2.70    
DIAL IT UP A NOTCH Mar17 Feb18 Jan03     (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 125 3.00 8% 10.80    
FINAL TABLE Apr07 Mar27 Feb27     (combs bentley)PEREIRA TIAGO 121 15.00    
MILANA Apr09 Mar24 Mar06 Feb20   (dixon tim)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 4.50 22% 3.50    
MAGGIE'S WILL Apr15 Mar27 Feb27 Feb13   (barrett rodd)JORDAN R 116 15.00    
BEYOND THE HYPE Apr07 Mar13 Jan30     (martin willi)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 4.50 11% 8.10    
SCR  MOONSHINE LILY Apr07 Mar24 Feb25     (loy dew)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 125 20.00    
KATHYS CUP OF JOE         (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 3.50    
SCR  TIZMISSBETTY Mar12 Feb18       (brennan terry)HARR KELSI 121 20.00    
10  CANDY'S STORY Apr15 Mar27 Feb27     (milligan allen)QUINONEZ S 121 6.00 8% 11.50    
 
OP-2   04/29/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($29K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CYPRIANO Mar25 Mar13 Feb06 Jan23 Jan03 (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 124 1.80    
1A  CALIFORNIA SWING Mar13 Feb18 Jan29 Jan07   (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 118 1.80 49% 1.00    
SCR  TEZ Mar26 Feb19       (esp)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 4.00 16% 5.10    
STOCK DEAL Apr10 Mar25 Mar11 Feb21 Jan30 (barkley jaso)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 3.50    
PROMISING SHOES Apr10 Apr01 Mar11 Feb26 Jan28 (brobe)MANRRIQUE JOSE 113 6.00    
IKE Apr10 Jan01       (moquett ronal)CANCHARI ALEX 118 8.00 11% 8.00    
SCR  EGOMANIAC Apr16 Mar26 Mar11 Jan30   (mason ingrid)GARCIA MARTIN 113 15.00    
MAJOR KONG Mar25 Mar06 Feb20 Jan30   (petalino joe)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 6.00    
PRAETORIAN Apr03 Mar12 Feb19 Jan30 Jan08 (hewitt michael)HARR KELSI 118 15.00    
 
OP-3   04/29/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOURBON DELIGHT Mar24 Jan28 Jan09     (divito james )CANCHARI ALEX 120 8.00 24% 3.10    
RIFT VALLEY Mar20 Mar05 Feb18 Jan16   (donaldson jer)COURT J 119 12.00    
PURE ROCKET Feb12 Jan22 Jan08     (garcia ge)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 117 6.00    
DEALMEINBUD Feb11 Jan16 Jan01     (cat)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 114 4.50    
STAYIN' OUT LATE Mar19         (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 2.50 27% 2.70    
RIVER REDEMPTION Mar27 Mar18 Feb12     (garcia genar)JORDAN R 117 8.00    
MOTION PICTURE Feb12 Jan02       (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 122 3.50 25% 3.10    
JUNESANDRA Mar18 Feb12 Jan08     (rosin cot)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 12.00    
SCR  OUTCOME Apr01 Mar17 Feb25 Feb13 Jan01 (morse l)BAILEY CHEL-C 110 8.00    
 
OP-4   04/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($107K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY ASTRID Mar05 Feb12       (cline n)HARR KELSI 122 8.00    
SULWE Mar25 Feb25 Jan29     (moque)MANRRIQUE JOSE 125 4.00 8% 11.30    
OOCHIE Mar27 Feb21       (nelson eric )JORDAN R 117 20.00    
MOCHA KISS Mar27 Mar13 Feb21 Jan23   (stuart shea)BAILEY CHEL-C 115 3.00 29% 2.40    
HEATED ARGUMENT Mar27 Mar13 Jan08     (gonzalez jai)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 8.00 22% 3.70    
EURO ME Feb20 Jan23       (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 125 2.00    
MY DAMS ATITUDE Apr08 Mar13 Feb21 Jan28   (westerman)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 6.00 16% 5.10    
TAPIT RIGHT Mar27 Mar13 Jan30 Jan08   (deville j)HIRALDO JOHN 122 10.00    
 
OP-5   04/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPURWINK LANE Mar18 Feb20 Jan30     (villafranco f)GARCIA MARTIN 125 3.00 23% 3.40    
FIVE QUEENS Apr15         (mcbride d)HARR KELSI 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
PROUD VICTORIA Apr15 Mar11 Feb20 Jan23   (milligan allen)HIRALDO JOHN 122 6.00    
B'S LIL' BUMBLEBEE Feb20 Jan23       (mckellar )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 15.00    
TIGER BAIT Apr15 Mar11 Feb20 Jan23   (williams mat)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 4.50 16% 5.30    
TRULY A ROCKET Apr09 Mar11 Feb21 Jan30 Jan07 (witt ii)QUINONEZ S 121 6.00    
ROSE MARIE B Apr15 Mar13 Feb21 Jan23   (wilson melton)CANCHARI ALEX 122 30.00    
DENALI ROCKET Mar31         (martin timot)JORDAN R 117 10.00    
FLOWERSFORSHANTELL Mar27         (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 125 2.50 37% 1.70    
10  WARM BEAUTY Mar31 Mar24 Jan14     (rhea sherry)BAILEY CHEL-C 115 12.00    
 
OP-6   04/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($12.5K) Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WIN WITH PRIDE Mar19 Mar05 Feb18     (diodoro r)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 12.00 9% 10.40    
SKYSCANNER Apr09 Mar19 Feb26 Jan29 Jan01 (shorter aaron)CANCHARI ALEX 124 3.00    
SHACKS WAY Apr07 Mar05 Feb12 Jan07   (compton greg)JORDAN R 119 4.50    
WILD BEHAVIOR Mar27 Jan29 Jan07     (sharp joe)GARCIA MARTIN 121 2.00 66% 0.50    
SECRETARY AT WAR Apr10 Mar26 Feb26 Feb12 Jan22 (ashauer norman)HIRALDO JOHN 124 6.00    
CAN IMAGINE Apr10 Mar27 Mar04 Jan30 Jan02 (brennan terry)BAILEY CHEL-C 117 10.00    
CARL G Apr16 Apr03 Mar05 Feb18 Jan22 (vil)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 6.00    
MR. ANKENY Mar19 Mar05 Feb12 Jan02   (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 12.00    
 
OP-7   04/29/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIVER CACTUS Feb26 Jan09       (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 124 4.00 24% 3.20    
1A  COLOSI Mar20 Feb21 Jan09     (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 121 4.00    
SCR  MOLIERE Mar27 Feb26 Jan27     (warpool shane)HARR KELSI 124 6.00    
RED AGAIN Mar25 Jan23       (wilson melton)PEREIRA TIAGO 118 8.00 7% 13.70    
MR. DOUGIE FRESH Feb26 Jan30       (hartman chris)BAILEY CHEL-C 114 8.00    
LOOKIN FOR EIGHT Mar31 Feb12       (vance tho)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00    
SCR  GRAND DESIGN Apr09 Feb18 Jan30 Jan16   (barkley jason)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 3.00 35% 1.90    
BELIEVEINHOLIDAYS Apr09         (mar)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 10.00    
SEAU Mar19 Mar05 Jan29     (mcknight nor)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
JUSTIN'S QUEST Feb20 Jan16 Jan02     (van thom)CANCHARI ALEX 118 10.00    
10  PEPPER PIKE Apr08 Mar06 Jan23 Jan08   (schultz linds)GARCIA MARTIN 118 6.00    
 
OP-8   04/29/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($106K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUNDIAL Apr08 Mar19       (asmussen steve)QUINONEZ S 121 8.00    
TEXAS RAIN Mar26 Mar11 Jan28     (broberg k)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 6.00    
A BROKEN BREEZE Mar04         (mcknight norma)HIRALDO JOHN 125 8.00    
C. C. HARBOR Mar13 Jan07       (cates al)HARR KELSI 114 12.00    
WARRIOR'S BATTLE Mar13 Jan22 Jan07     (cox h)COHEN DAVID 119 3.50 26% 2.80    
SWANAGE Apr08 Feb26 Feb11 Jan03   (frazee larry)JORDAN R 120 15.00    
MARIAH'S FORTUNE Apr02 Feb18       (cox)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 117 5.00    
DUPLICITOUS Apr08 Mar19 Feb20 Jan23   (hawley wesle)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 6.00    
TAP FOR ME Apr08 Feb13 Jan07     (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 125 3.00 46% 1.20    
10  LADY VALENTINE Feb27         (diodoro rober)GARCIA MARTIN 118 12.00    
 
OP-9   04/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN FEARLESS Mar25 Feb11 Jan28 Jan02   (fires h)HARR KELSI 125 8.00    
MIRACLE SHOES         (swearingen to)BAILEY CHEL-C 114 15.00    
CALYPSO STREET         (mason ingrid)GARCIA MARTIN 121 15.00    
PRINIA Mar25 Mar06       (ortiz joh)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 4.00    
HAMAZING DEBATE Mar25 Mar06 Feb25 Feb11 Jan07 (gonzalez jai)JORDAN R 116 10.00    
SWEETNESS TO Apr15 Mar25 Mar06 Feb25 Feb11 (westermann ronald)BOREL H 125 10.00    
RUNNINTHESTREETS Mar25         (anderson dou)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 12.00    
MAY DISCO         (westermann ron)HIRALDO JOHN 121 15.00    
ARDEN AR         (nelson er)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  GOLD STRATEGY Apr09 Mar25 Mar06 Feb18 Jan23 (hornsby tammy)WALES T 121 6.00 12% 7.30    
11  PATTERN BET Apr09 Mar06 Feb11 Jan07   (moque)MANRRIQUE JOSE 121 2.50 61% 0.60    
12  RIVERCREST GIRL         (pish danny)QUINONEZ S 121 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.