Handicappers' Racing Form

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Lone Star Park
Friday - April 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
LS-1   04/29/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MALIBU MIDNIGHT Mar16 Feb25 Feb16 Jan13   (dupuy allen)LUZZI J 121 10.00 6% 16.20    
SWEET PERFECTION Apr08 Feb25 Jan29     (duhon paul)DIEGO V 121 15.00 5% 18.90    
GURKHA GOLD (IRE)         (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 121 3.00    
EMPTY NET Apr02 Feb21 Jan30 Jan09   (broberg karl)MORA GERARDO 123 2.50 46% 1.20    
THOUGHTSANDPRAYERS Mar12 Feb24 Jan13     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 8.00    
WILD PROSPECT Feb16 Jan13       (davidson sarah)PIVARAL GERBER 121 15.00    
CHEROKEE SUMMER Mar16         (eoff terry)ERAMIA E 121 12.00    
XYLOPHONE Mar31 Mar22 Feb02 Jan14   (fincher t)GONCALVES R 123 2.00 14% 6.20    
 
LS-2   04/29/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:03
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYAL TAP Mar31 Mar16 Feb25 Jan13   (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 119 2.00 17% 4.80    
CRIMSON STORM Feb09         (gelner j)LUZZI J 122 2.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  HEARTTHROB HALO Mar23 Mar09 Feb19 Feb05 Jan08 (duhon paul)MELANCON JANSEN 121 15.00    
TENOR Apr08 Mar17 Mar04 Feb18 Jan28 (stevens wes)STEINBERG GARRETT 124 3.50    
STRIKING OIL Apr01         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 5.00 11% 8.30    
EUROEAST Apr08 Mar17 Feb23 Feb12 Feb04 (davidson sarah)PIVARAL GERBER 122 6.00    
GEMINATOR Feb23 Jan29 Jan14     (martinez el)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 20.00 9% 10.60    
 
LS-3   04/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:31
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HE'S A SUITOR Mar26 Feb16       (caldwell r)MELANCON JANSEN 120 8.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  DR. BOEHRER Mar26 Feb11       (dodson cl)GONCALVES R 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PICKNNGRINN Mar26 Feb26 Feb05 Jan22 Jan07 (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 120 5.00    
MR MONEY BAGS Mar26 Feb19 Jan30     (clary )VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 0.50 60% 0.70    
ALGEBRA Mar26 Feb19 Jan08     (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 3.50    
 
LS-4   04/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3 F PT- 8:59
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAUSE FOR LOVE Mar31 Mar18 Mar03     (jenkins brand)HAMILTON WESTON 120 30.00    
MY FRIEND AMY Mar23 Mar01 Feb05 Jan23   (gelner j)SORENSON D 120 3.00 65% 0.50    
AMERICAN COALMINER         (offolter joe)ERAMIA E 120 5.00    
TYPO Feb04         (asmussen )GONCALVES R 120 3.50    
TAIGA         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 4.00 6% 15.50    
JJ'S AMERICAN DIVA Mar12         (calhoun willia)ALVAREZ L 120 4.50    
JOY IN THE BATTLE Mar24 Mar12       (clary jaylan)MORA GERARDO 120 6.00    
 
LS-5   04/29/2022 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEXAS BLUEBONNET Apr07 Mar03       (hebert matt)SORENSON D 118 10.00    
STELLACZAR Apr02 Feb19       (lucarelli frank)ELLIOTT S 121 2.50 25% 2.90    
SMART LASSIE Mar09 Feb19 Jan06     (craven)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 15.00    
LIGHT SHIFT Apr07 Mar09 Feb09 Jan21   (davidson m )STEINBERG GARRETT 121 15.00    
PAYDIEM Mar17 Feb25 Jan28     (pish danny)WETHEY JR 121 3.00 32% 2.10    
CROSS BOSS LADY Feb12 Jan21       (cla)DE CRUZ 121 20.00    
BASIC Apr02 Mar02 Feb17     (green greg)MONTALVO C 118 15.00    
GRASS QUEEN Feb12 Jan13       (eoff terry)ERAMIA E 120 30.00    
MAVE RUNNER Mar04 Feb10 Jan21     (duhon paul)DIEGO V 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
10  MAGICAL STARDUST Mar17 Feb23 Jan27     (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 20.00    
11  SUMMERJUSTBET HER Apr07 Feb25       (tracy greg)MELANCON JANSEN 118 4.50    
12  AUSTIN CITY GIRL Apr02 Mar04 Feb10     (ashford h)GONCALVES R 120 8.00 16% 5.40    
 
LS-6   04/29/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. UNUSUAL Mar04 Feb24 Feb04 Jan28   (govea cesar)MORA GERARDO 124 15.00    
SCR  SECRET BLARNEY Apr01 Mar12 Feb24 Feb09 Jan20 (pish danny)ERAMIA E 124 3.50    
FLIP THE COIN JAN Apr09 Mar24       (castellanos ja)PIVARAL GERBER 120 8.00 18% 4.70    
EUROEXIT Apr09 Mar04 Feb23 Feb09 Jan21 (castellanos ja)ALVAREZ L 122 10.00    
HOMEVIEW Apr01 Mar18 Feb19 Feb09 Jan20 (duhon paul)HAMILTON WESTON 122 10.00    
HE'S PRETTY LUCKY Apr09 Mar24 Mar04 Feb11 Jan20 (young e)WETHEY JR 124 5.00 15% 5.60    
MIGHTY MERLE Apr09 Feb24 Feb09 Jan20   (young e)MELANCON JANSEN 124 10.00    
HE'S A RANGER Mar24 Feb05 Jan07     (eoff terry)HUGHES CARLY 117 15.00 23% 3.30    
FIFTEEN LOVE BACK Apr01 Mar04 Feb19     (torrez)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 8.00    
10  SMOOTHEE LEE Mar17 Feb23 Feb05 Jan20   (bilbrey k)DIEGO V 124 12.00 8% 11.80    
11  CONATIVE Apr09 Mar09 Feb24 Jan29 Jan13 (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 122 4.00 13% 6.80    
 
LS-7   04/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT-10:23
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILVER LUKE SILVER Apr09 Mar18 Mar03 Feb12 Feb04 (barton am)GONCALVES R 124 10.00    
BOORNAZIAN Mar18 Mar09 Feb25     (barton)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 20.00    
SCR  KLIMCO Mar09 Feb19 Jan30     (caldwell r)WETHEY JR 121 15.00 14% 6.20    
TEXAS TITAN Apr01 Mar09 Feb12 Jan30   (johnston johnny)MORA GERARDO 124 30.00    
LEGALLY LETHAL Mar26 Mar11 Feb19     (caldwell r)LUZZI J 121 1.80 29% 2.40    
THE HUNK NEXT DOOR Apr01 Mar18 Feb22 Jan23 Jan07 (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 124 6.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  IRONICAL Mar26 Feb25       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 20.00    
WARRIORS HAVEN Apr09 Mar25 Mar17 Mar05 Feb17 (cravens iii)DIEGO V 124 20.00    
WITH THE BAND Apr09 Mar25 Mar18 Mar03 Feb04 (davidson br)MELANCON JANSEN 122 20.00    
10  AXEL STEEL Mar27         (fincher todd)ERAMIA E 121 1.60 19% 4.10    
11  POPEYES HEART         (gustafson aust)ALVAREZ L 119 20.00    
 
LS-8   04/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT-10:51
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORO LINGERIE Mar26 Feb18       (pish dann)GONCALVES R 120 10.00    
SCR  MISSISZIPPY BLING Mar26 Mar11 Feb24 Feb11   (davidson sarah)PIVARAL GERBER 123 12.00    
WHITE DIAMOND SKY Apr02 Mar19 Feb16     (echeverria hector)BENAVIDES D 123 30.00    
SCR  STAN'S GOLDEN PATH Mar26         (gustafson aust)ALVAREZ L 118 12.00    
THATSALOTOFBLING Mar26 Mar11 Feb11 Jan22 Jan07 (barton amanda)HAMILTON WESTON 121 30.00 7% 12.90    
SCR  WOO HOO Apr08 Mar16 Mar04 Feb10 Jan29 (villafranco m)WETHEY JR 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
ITS A GEE THING Apr08 Mar24 Mar03 Feb19 Jan20 (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 118 12.00    
EAGLE EXPRESS Mar26 Feb19 Jan20     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 5.00 21% 3.80    
TEXAS ASCOT QUEEN Mar26 Mar03 Feb09 Jan13   (caldwell r)MELANCON JANSEN 120 3.00    
10  KELLEY SAID READY Apr02 Mar10       (caldwell r)LUZZI J 120 3.50 27% 2.80    
SCR  WHIPUM NAENAE Mar26 Mar16 Mar10 Feb19 Jan27 (dupuy allen)MORA GERARDO 121 20.00    
12  IMA SKY TRAVELER Mar26 Mar18 Mar03 Feb18 Jan29 (craven)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 4.50 7% 12.80    
 
LS-9   04/29/2022 4950ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT-11:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MANOR BORN Apr09 Mar05 Feb16     (offolter joe)ERAMIA E 121 12.00    
HEMPSTEAD Apr09 Mar16       (hurley rena)LUZZI J 121 30.00    
OPTIMAL TRIP Mar31 Feb24 Feb12 Jan22   (rossi j)EIKLEBERRY RY 124 2.50 22% 3.50    
WIN IN THE CITY Apr09         (young e)WETHEY JR 121 30.00    
KING ARTHUR RIDGE Apr09 Mar26 Mar03 Feb12 Jan27 (kotara ronald)PIVARAL GERBER 121 30.00    
AIR FORCE ANGEL Mar31 Feb24 Jan29 Jan06   (jacks e)DIEGO V 124 4.00 16% 5.30    
HARD CANDY Mar12 Feb10 Jan22     (hernandez l)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 20.00 8% 11.00    
FLEET OF HOOF Apr09 Mar10       (pearson m)MORA GERARDO 121 5.00 11% 8.20    
SEEKING SPLENDOR Apr09 Feb19 Jan22     (silva )VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 12.00    
10  RVINDICATED Feb20 Jan13       (kei)DE CRUZ 121 2.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  C. F. CONGRESS Apr09 Feb26 Jan15     (coats j)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 116 50.00    
12  SMART BATTLE Mar17 Feb16 Jan28 Jan08   (duhon paul)HUGHES CARLY 116 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.