Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lone Star Park
Thursday - April 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LS-1   04/28/2022 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZARELDA Mar26 Feb19 Feb02     (gomez c)DIEGO V 117 15.00 ★    
2  IT'S MY MONEY Mar26 Mar05 Jan14     (bald)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 117 30.00    
3  TAKE CHARGE WOMAN Mar30 Mar10 Mar02 Feb11 Jan22 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  SHES OUR FASTEST Mar26 Mar04 Feb19 Jan20   (gelner jay)ERAMIA E 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  IMA SKY TRAVELER Mar26 Mar18 Mar03 Feb18 Jan29 (cravens ronn)ALVAREZ L 114 20.00    
6  LADY AVE Mar26 Mar02 Feb05 Jan06   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 2.00 24% 3.20    
7  IMA DISCREET LADY Mar26 Feb25 Jan20 Jan07   (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 1.80 46% 1.20    
8  ITS MY MONEY TOO Mar18 Mar04 Feb05 Jan07   (baldill)GONCALVES R 121 30.00    
9  BOERNE Mar26 Feb19 Jan20     (diodoro rob)WETHEY JR 121 2.50    
10  HEAVENLY RHYTHM Mar26 Feb16       (hurley re)MORA GERARDO 117 20.00    
 
LS-2   04/28/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GORDON ANTHONY Apr09 Mar16 Feb05 Jan08   (lucarelli frank)MONTALVO C 122 3.00 10% 9.20    
2  D TOWN BABY Mar24 Mar02 Jan29     (duhon paul)DIEGO V 124 15.00    
3  ELUSIVE D'ORO Mar25 Feb16 Jan29     (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 122 4.00 ★    
4  GOLD VERMILION Mar17 Feb05       (keen dallas)MELANCON JANSEN 122 2.00 60% 0.70    
5  THE INFLUENCER Apr13 Mar17 Feb26     (young scott)WETHEY JR 124 15.00    
6  NANAS BOY Apr07 Feb05       (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 122 6.00 ★    
7  SUNRISE KITTEN Mar31 Mar17 Feb26 Feb04   (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 10.00 5% 17.50    
8  AMERICAN MADE Mar02 Feb05 Jan20     (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 122 8.00    
 
LS-3   04/28/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FANCY BLAZE Apr08         (t)DE CRUZ 121 10.00 9% 10.10    
SCR  EMOTIONAL INTEL Mar11 Feb11       (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 6.00 ★    
3  COSTANARMANDALEG Mar31 Feb23       (silva miguel)MORA GERARDO 123 4.50 12% 7.10    
SCR  LADY ABRIL Mar30 Feb09       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 4.00 12% 7.70    
5  FEARLESS FACTOR         (caldwell j )MELANCON JANSEN 121 8.00    
6  TAY TAY'S BABY Apr08 Mar30 Mar02 Feb09   (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 120 3.50 34% 1.90    
7  BONUS BABY Feb25 Jan22       (caldwell r)LUZZI J 121 2.50    
 
LS-4   04/28/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  J M SKY CLASSIC Mar18         (m)DE CRUZ 120 30.00    
2  NOT THIS LUNA Feb24 Jan27 Jan14     (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 15.00    
3  CASTING PEARLS Mar31         (hurle)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 118 20.00 ★    
4  GETONOUTTAHERE Mar24 Mar03 Feb11 Jan22   (cravens ronn)ALVAREZ L 120 8.00 15% 5.80    
5  SOUL SET FREE Apr07 Mar24 Jan29     (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 120 2.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  CANDY ANNE Mar31 Feb04 Jan14 Jan03   (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 0.60 46% 1.20    
SCR  APPRECIABLE Apr01         (brobe)MANRRIQUE JOSE 120 12.00 ★    
 
LS-5   04/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILVER AND GOLD Apr07 Mar18 Mar09 Feb11 Jan30 (j)DE CRUZ 122 6.00    
SCR  ON MY LIST Mar25 Mar09       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 8.00    
3  BOSQUE Apr08 Mar11 Feb19 Jan30 Jan07 (villafranco)WETHEY JR 121 5.00    
4  STANS HOME RUN Feb11 Jan27 Jan07     (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 121 3.00 45% 1.20    
5  READY EDGE Jan30 Jan15       (gelner jayd)MELANCON JANSEN 124 2.50 26% 2.90    
6  TOP HAT CAT Mar31 Jan30       (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 121 10.00 ★    
7  TEXAN BOY Apr01 Mar17 Feb25 Feb11 Jan30 (kotara ronald)MORA GERARDO 122 15.00    
8  A HUNK OF HEAVEN Apr09 Feb25 Feb11 Jan21   (baldillez a)HAMILTON WESTON 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
9  MANI SURPRISE Apr01 Mar17 Feb25 Feb05 Jan13 (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 124 10.00 ★    
10  WINGS FOR ENO Mar25 Mar09 Feb04 Jan06   (johnston johnny)DIEGO V 122 15.00    
 
LS-6   04/28/2022 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HORN OF PLENTY Mar23 Feb17 Jan20     (hebert matt)HAMILTON WESTON 122 3.50    
2  FULL DINNER JACKET Apr08 Feb20 Jan29 Jan02   (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 122 4.50    
3  SKYWAVE Mar19 Feb26 Jan30     (young scott)WETHEY JR 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  CAIRO WARRIOR Apr08 Mar17 Feb12 Jan22 Jan06 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 124 4.00 57% 0.80    
5  COURAGEOUS TIMMY Mar31 Mar09 Jan28     (silva miguel)MORA GERARDO 121 30.00    
6  LAB RAT Mar31 Mar16 Mar04 Feb10 Jan28 (davidson brent)ELLIOTT S 121 20.00    
7  EXCELLENCY Feb06 Jan20       (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 119 15.00    
8  BRAHMS BOY Mar25 Mar12 Feb10 Jan27   (stevens w)STEINBERG GARRETT 124 15.00    
SCR  ESCROW STYLE Apr01 Feb26 Jan28     (tracy g)GONCALVES R 121 15.00    
10  AQUIMINE Feb26 Jan28       (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 6.00 9% 9.90    
11  LIGHT CRUISER Mar18 Feb24 Feb12     (stua)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 5.00 7% 13.90    
12  AMERICAN NIGHTMARE Mar18 Feb26 Feb12 Jan22 Jan07 (govea cesar)DIEGO V 122 12.00 ★    
 
LS-7   04/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3 ALL PT-10:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MESABI Apr08 Mar16 Feb16 Jan13   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 4.00 38% 1.60    
2  DARE TO FAIL Mar23 Feb16       (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  DARE TO BE WILD Mar23 Feb26 Feb11 Jan13   (clary jaylan)MORA GERARDO 121 12.00    
SCR  SPIN TO WIN         (young scott)WETHEY JR 121 12.00    
5  BEYOND HELLO         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 121 8.00    
6  SECRET HOLIDAY Apr08         (duhon paul)DIEGO V 121 6.00    
SCR  BLING ME THE MONEY         (young bob)LUZZI J 121 5.00 ★    
8  TWIST OF FATE         (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 121 30.00    
9  UPTOWN BIGBADJON         (padilla car)HAMILTON WESTON 121 30.00    
10  GOLDEN QUALITY         (diodoro rober)EIKLEBERRY RY 121 3.50 35% 1.90    
11  SHARP DOUBLE EDGE Mar16 Feb11       (scholl kev)ERAMIA E 121 4.50 ★    
 
LS-8   04/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT-10:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KATS SECOND SILVER Mar24 Feb23 Jan06     (uball)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 117 15.00 14% 6.30    
2  DREAMS OF VALOR Apr07         (diodoro rob)WETHEY JR 122 2.00    
3  JACKMAN Jan21         (brob)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 8.00 ★    
4  GRAB THE MUNNY Mar10         (uballe adam)HAMILTON WESTON 122 15.00 22% 3.60    
5  RELEASE THE BEAST Apr07 Feb28 Feb06 Jan16   (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 124 1.40 ★    
SCR  ROSIE'S OUTLAW Apr13 Apr07 Mar10 Feb17 Jan28 (young scott)MELANCON JANSEN 124 3.00 22% 3.60    
 
LS-9   04/28/2022 4950ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT-11:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIONICA         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 4.50 17% 5.00    
2  IT'S ALL A BLUR Mar24 Feb25 Jan27     (hurle)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 115 30.00    
3  HOT CAVIAR Mar19 Feb12 Jan27     (villafranco)WETHEY JR 120 30.00    
4  JUST PEEK'N Mar24 Feb12       (willis )GONCALVES R 120 12.00 6% 16.60    
SCR  SMILING ANGEL Apr08 Mar05 Feb17 Feb04 Jan16 (dodson cl)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
6  FAYETTE BLUE Feb23 Feb05       (rossi j)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 3.00 16% 5.40    
7  LADY GOT MOVES Mar26 Feb26       (calhoun willia)LUZZI J 120 1.40 32% 2.20    
8  RVALENTINA Feb06 Jan20       (k)DE CRUZ 120 30.00    
9  HATZILU IVRIT Mar19         (chacaltana domi)BENAVIDES D 123 30.00    
10  BALI DANCER Mar24 Feb25       (keen dallas)MELANCON JANSEN 120 20.00    
11  MOTHERS DAY JEWEL Feb27         (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 12.00    
12  SO FULLY SUE Apr08 Mar05       (hebert matt)MORA GERARDO 120 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.