Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Evangeline Downs
Wednesday - April 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EVD-1   04/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARCTIC ROSE Mar03         (modica osc)ALBERT S 115 4.50    
WAYPOINT Mar04 Jan15       (larrosa jua)MORALES ROBERTO 123 6.00 15% 5.80    
SCR  HE'S A LUCKY MAN Apr14 Mar04 Jan07     (chatters bena)SMITH J 123 10.00    
MY GUITAR Apr07 Mar17 Feb25 Feb04 Jan10 (alonzo)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 2.00 17% 5.00    
TIN DELAY Apr14 Mar17 Feb23 Feb05 Jan07 (charles keith)FUSILIER C 120 2.50 33% 2.10    
CUSTOM KAT Apr06 Mar11 Jan10     (cox l)MCMAHON J 120 3.50    
 
EVD-2   04/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TUGBOAT Mar16 Feb18 Jan17 Jan07   (ducoing sturge)THORNTON G 115 1.80 41% 1.40    
MY SWEET SOPHIA Apr08 Jan19       (chatters bena)SMITH J 115 6.00 10% 8.80    
EVE'S DELIGHT Feb23 Jan28 Jan17     (goins )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 12.00    
TENSAS VIRGINIA Mar19 Mar01 Jan14     (alberto antonio)STOKES J 115 3.00 18% 4.60    
MADAME JANE Apr15 Mar16 Mar01 Jan19   (richards co)DEL-CID VICENTE 110 2.50    
SCR  GIRL IN BLACK Apr02 Mar13 Feb23 Jan20   (ali a)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 5.00    
 
EVD-3   04/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOUNG BULL Apr07 Mar05 Feb12 Feb02 Jan08 (white dale)MORALES ROBERTO 120 4.50 20% 4.00    
C'MON VE Mar16 Mar04 Feb11 Jan28   (landry jacoby)THORNTON G 117 10.00    
TAPIZARS SECRET Jan27 Jan06       (bourgeois ke)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 6.00    
SLITHER Apr14 Feb19 Jan08     (ward ron)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 3.50 20% 4.00    
BLACK SWORD Mar27 Feb19 Feb05     (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 112 2.50    
HIGH CRUISE Apr07 Jan22 Jan03     (brinkman brett)BARNES JOSE 123 2.00 22% 3.50    
 
EVD-4   04/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY GIRL SWEET         (modica osc)ALBERT S 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
CUPIE CUTIE Apr06 Mar02 Feb16 Jan29   (gelner scott)RIVERA JOSEAN 118 6.00 7% 14.20    
HER GREAT GRANDPA Apr09         (guilbeau charles)FUSILIER C 123 20.00    
ROUX BANDIT Apr08 Mar02 Feb10 Jan07   (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 3.00 46% 1.20    
MY DEPOSIT Feb24 Feb03 Jan12     (zenon shelton)BARNES JOSE 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
ALLEN'S JUDY Apr06         (core barney)SMITH J 123 15.00    
SWIFT N' STORMY Apr06 Mar25       (bernard )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 20.00    
SCR  LA JAZZ Apr06 Mar04 Feb02     (zenon shelton)MCMAHON J 123 4.00 15% 5.70    
STOP SHOP N DROP Mar25 Mar09 Feb18 Jan30 Jan14 (castille n)STOKES J 118 8.00    
10  HAIRTRIGGER HEART Apr06 Mar12 Feb04     (flugence henry)BOURQUE J 123 12.00    
11  TANTALIZING TEN Feb24         (thomas lee)MARQUEZ L 123 15.00    
12  MAC LEGACY Apr16 Feb26 Jan28 Jan17 Jan08 (huval brian)THORNTON G 123 5.00    
 
EVD-5   04/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRAPPE THE CAT Feb24 Jan28       (larrosa jua)MORALES ROBERTO 123 12.00    
1A  MISS MIRACLE GIRL Apr13 Jan26       (larrosa jua)MORALES ROBERTO 123 12.00    
TIME TO SLEEP Apr06 Jan29 Jan13     (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 10.00 12% 7.40    
BEAR TOOTH PASS Apr08 Feb10 Jan26     (zenon shelto)TAYLOR BETHANY 123 20.00    
SISTER CHLOE Apr08 Mar03       (woodley j)STOKES A 123 15.00    
CRIDER CHASE Apr06 Mar04 Feb09 Jan19 Jan05 (zenon )RUIZ GARCIA 123 2.50 35% 1.90    
SANDY'S WAGER Apr08 Mar03 Feb17 Jan05   (simien willi)ATEMPA LIANDRO 123 8.00    
ABIGAIL G Apr06 Mar04 Jan19     (castille n)STOKES J 123 4.00    
HOLY WAR Apr08 Mar04 Feb10     (roberts kenneth)MCMAHON J 123 3.00 12% 7.20    
TAKENFORGRANTED Apr08 Feb24 Jan26 Jan05   (breaux samue)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 5.00 16% 5.40    
 
EVD-6   04/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OCTOBER SURPRISE Apr07 Mar17 Feb04 Jan14   (prejean raymond)STOKES A 118 6.00    
1A  FRIENDOFTHECOURT Mar23 Feb09 Jan15     (henry eric)STOKES J 117 6.00    
UNDERDOG Apr08 Feb19 Jan12     (gelner)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 12.00    
ROCK ON COWBOY Feb19 Jan12       (chatters bena)SMITH J 117 4.00 16% 5.20    
BIRTHDAY PARTY Apr14 Mar20 Feb05 Jan02   (latour nicholas)MCMAHON J 123 2.50 37% 1.70    
LIAM SKYE Mar12 Feb16 Jan26 Jan07   (gallaway eddie)BARNES JOSE 117 15.00    
WISE GUY Apr16 Mar03 Feb09 Jan12   (hebert dori)DEL-CID VICENTE 112 2.00    
JEHA Apr07 Mar05 Feb19     (grudzien ryl)MAGNON H 120 4.50 24% 3.20    
 
EVD-7   04/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAHAN Apr09 Mar11 Jan28     (noel dane)BARNES JOSE 123 1.80 59% 0.70    
1A  HYPERBOLIST Apr06 Mar26 Mar10 Feb26   (noel dane)MCMAHON J 118 1.80    
DIXIE STAR Apr09 Feb25 Feb02 Jan05   (white dale)MORALES ROBERTO 120 2.50 17% 4.70    
THAT ONE GUITAR Mar19 Feb19 Jan20     (henry eric)STOKES J 115 6.00    
SCR  RICKY BOBBY         (schwandt em)DEL-CID VICENTE 113 4.50    
FLAT OUT AMERICAN Mar18         (williams k)ALBERT S 118 3.50    
KING DOODLE Mar26 Jan29       (courville rick)THORNTON G 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
EVD-8   04/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOURBON SKY Mar06 Feb20 Jan30 Jan03   (bourgeois ke)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 15.00    
HENNING Mar01 Feb06 Jan23 Jan07   (delhomme jeff)THORNTON G 123 8.00    
PALANTE Feb19 Jan14       (landry ray)STOKES J 123 10.00    
LIONS HOT MESS Apr09         (nichols bes)LEDET THEODRICK 123 20.00    
YOUNG TUSCAN Jan08         (thomas lee)MARQUEZ L 118 20.00    
MR. CURLIN Apr16 Apr08 Mar02 Feb05 Jan26 (mojica a)MCMAHON J 123 4.00 7% 12.70    
CARLOS PUNCH Apr06 Mar02       (zenon shelt)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 2.50 22% 3.60    
M AND M'S CUSTOM Feb23 Feb04       (hebert)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 3.50 5% 17.90    
TRIPPER JOHN Mar23 Mar05 Feb20 Jan23   (melancon)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 123 4.50 39% 1.50    
10  OAK HILL LG Apr08 Mar13       (larrosa jua)MORALES ROBERTO 118 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.