Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Hawthorne
Sunday - April 24, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HAW-1   04/24/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MADELYNS HEAT Apr16 Mar25 Feb11 Jan14   (watkins m)FELIX E 117 1.20 61% 0.60    
SCR  TEQUILA REVOLUTION Feb21 Jan22 Jan01     (mason ingrid)EMIGH A 117 2.50 9% 9.70    
TEA AFTER BALLET Apr03         (zawitz joel)TAVARES JAVIER 124 8.00    
KING ZION Apr17 Apr03       (perez mann)VILLASANA CARLOS 124 3.50    
SWEET TONIC Apr17         (cook brian)REYES ANGEL 124 20.00    
OFF TO THE BEACH Apr16 Apr03       (hughes w)LOPEZ A 124 15.00    
 
HAW-2   04/24/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SPLASH FOR GOLD Mar05 Jan23       (mason ingrid)FELIX E 121 2.00 24% 3.10    
IRISH MAJOR Apr09 Apr03       (perez manny)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 6.00    
DOM CAETANO (ARG) Feb10 Jan12       (matthews )ULLOA JOAN 121 6.00    
FAST ONE         (watkins jam)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 3.00 23% 3.30    
COMFORT ME NOW Apr10 Feb26 Feb10 Jan14   (martinez r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.50    
ROAR OF THE LION Apr09         (lynch harry )TAVARES JAVIER 121 5.00 23% 3.30    
 
HAW-3   04/24/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  IRINA'S HERO Apr02         (perez manny)REYES ANGEL 124 20.00    
NEW CHINA         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 1.40 44% 1.30    
WEEKEND PASS Apr10 Mar24 Mar02 Feb19 Jan11 (meraz antonio)MOJICA O 124 4.50 11% 8.50    
AMARI S. Apr10 Apr02 Mar19 Mar10 Feb17 (hernandez ja)TAVARES JAVIER 124 3.50 8% 12.20    
HARD LIKE HOLLY Apr09 Mar11 Feb23 Jan25 Jan07 (hughes w)BOWEN ROCCO 117 6.00    
PIPPITY DO DA Apr02         (perez mann)VILLASANA CARLOS 124 20.00    
BELLS OF JOY Apr02 Mar02 Feb16 Jan11   (meraz antonio)RIVERA BRYAN 114 8.00 12% 7.40    
 
HAW-4   04/24/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IRISH HALO Apr10         (perez manny)RIVERA BRYAN 111 20.00 13% 6.60    
ON A TOUR Apr10 Mar24 Mar03 Feb10 Jan19 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 3.50 23% 3.30    
LITTLE CHICK Apr10         (hughes ear)VILLASANA CARLOS 121 10.00    
SATIATE Apr02         (sanchez oscar)MOJICA O 121 1.80 18% 4.60    
DARING DAMSEL Apr10 Mar03 Jan23     (hernandez ja)TAVARES JAVIER 121 2.50    
WATCHIN THE WHEELS Apr10         (quinonez max)FELIX E 121 5.00    
 
HAW-5   04/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DRAW THE LINE         (butler geral)TAVARES JAVIER 121 6.00    
PACHI Apr10         (quinonez max)FELIX E 121 2.50 9% 9.60    
THE LAST OPTION Apr03 Mar09 Feb11 Jan23   (cook bria)ULLOA JOAN 121 8.00    
NYOMAN Apr04 Mar19 Feb15 Jan24   (villa francis)SANCHEZ DIEGO 121 1.80 68% 0.50    
MR. LUV MAKER         (bahena fernando)MOJICA O 121 6.00    
BORA BORA Apr09         (cook brian)URDANETA J 121 4.50    
 
HAW-6   04/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
Z U SOON         (young terr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 10.00    
BIG SPORT Mar25 Feb26       (vanden britt)EMIGH A 121 0.80 58% 0.70    
SMUGGLER'S GHOST Apr10 Feb26 Jan16     (wilson l)FELIX E 121 6.00    
TWIRLING ROSES Apr10 Mar18 Mar01 Jan30   (rodriguez eduar)BOWEN ROCCO 121 8.00 8% 11.90    
NIGHT THINGS         (bahena fernando)BAIRD T 121 4.00    
GOLDENPENCE Apr16 Apr03 Feb11 Jan22   (cook brian)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 12.00 6% 15.90    
 
HAW-7   04/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S A BIG STAR Apr02         (reavis michael)RIVERA BRYAN 111 12.00    
AVASARALA Apr03 Feb19 Feb11     (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 20.00    
RANK AND FILE Apr03 Feb20 Jan30 Jan14   (lopez eli)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 6.00    
STORMY EMPIRE Apr03 Mar10 Feb19 Jan26 Jan05 (kirby j)SANCHEZ DIEGO 121 4.50 9% 10.40    
NIFF Jan23         (vanden britt)EMIGH A 115 4.00 13% 6.60    
LONG TALL WOMAN Apr03         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 1.60 50% 1.00    
STACY ATTACK Apr03 Mar02       (watkins m)FELIX E 121 6.00    
 
HAW-8   04/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PO BOY Apr17 Apr03 Mar24     (hughes w)MOJICA O 118 6.00    
SCR  UPBEAT MELODY         (rivelli larry)BAIRD T 121 4.50    
FINAL CALL         (haran john)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 5.00    
MIND YOUR OWN BIZ Apr09         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 2.00 26% 2.80    
CHANGE DIRECTION         (watkins j)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 3.50 36% 1.80    
MANGO TREE Apr09         (perez manny)BOWEN ROCCO 121 8.00    
DAY IN THE COUNTRY         (cook bria)ULLOA JOAN 121 15.00    
HATCHET CREEK         (dizeo dino)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 15.00 13% 6.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.