Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Gulfstream Park
Friday - April 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GP-1   04/22/2022 3300ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUTHERN BREEZE         (ramos rafael)BEATO INOEL 118 4.50    
WARLORD CRUZAN         (williams om)WILLIAMS AJHARI 118 20.00    
SEAVER         (hills )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 10.00    
JEST ABOVE Apr03 Feb19       (preciado guada)REYES LEONEL 118 8.00    
MISS SAKAMOTO Mar24 Jan27       (clement chr)ALVARADO JUNIOR 113 1.20 61% 0.60    
FREDO Mar12 Feb26 Jan06     (sano antonio)MORELOS E 118 8.00    
S. MUFFIN Feb23 Feb04       (sweeze)VASQUEZ ANGEL 125 3.00 12% 7.30    
 
GP-2   04/22/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 2 ALL PT- 1:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KOHAKU         (delgado jorge)SUTHERLAND C 118 3.00 12% 7.40    
ZELENSKYY STRONG         (walder r)JARAMILLO E 118 2.50 28% 2.50    
PREACHER AMOS         (yates michae)ARROYO S 118 4.50    
PACHANGA LOCA         (gutier)VASQUEZ ANGEL 115 5.00    
FREE SOUL         (munoz carlos)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 20.00    
COURAGEOUS COPPER         (lightner mary)RIOS M 118 10.00    
AWESOME FLAY Apr07         (slivka sandra)REYES LEONEL 118 3.50 39% 1.60    
 
GP-3   04/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FISHING FOR FUN Apr03 Mar25 Feb27 Feb13 Jan22 (moubarak mohamm)CRUZ ISMAEL 110 5.00    
SPRING THE BEAST Mar09 Feb16       (fawkes david)RIOS M 120 2.00 37% 1.70    
PACIFIC LEGEND Mar17 Feb16 Jan14     (nunez eduard)GONZALEZ AMETH 126 10.00 7% 13.70    
FEDERAL EXCHANGE Mar13         (roussel j)JARAMILLO E 120 3.00 24% 3.20    
ACT OF VALOR Mar25 Feb09       (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 3.50    
GILLIGAN Feb24 Feb09       (delgado jorge)SUTHERLAND C 120 4.50    
 
GP-4   04/22/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALIZEE Apr07 Mar19 Feb17 Feb02 Jan16 (maragh a)MARAGH A 118 2.50 37% 1.70    
RED WIND Mar11 Feb11 Jan14     (abreu )VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 6.00    
AMERICAN TAP Mar11 Feb11 Jan28     (barboza vict)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 4.50    
I'M PRAYINGFORTHAT Apr07 Mar19 Feb17     (arias d)GONZALEZ AMETH 118 20.00    
FILLMORE EAST Mar11 Feb26 Jan30 Jan07   (d'ange)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 5.00    
MAKE NO MISTAKE (IRE) Jan13         (klesaris st)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 2.00 31% 2.30    
DAY'S HUMOR Mar11 Feb02 Jan14     (yanez reynaldo)REYES LEONEL 118 10.00 9% 9.70    
 
GP-5   04/22/2022 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOBLE INDY Apr02 Mar05 Feb10     (delgad)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00    
FREEDOM MATTERS Mar27 Mar02 Jan15     (joseph saffi)GONZALEZ EDWIN 122 8.00 7% 13.40    
BOURBON WAR Mar05 Feb12       (hess r)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
OMAHA CITY Mar19 Feb12       (jehaludi moh)MENESES MARCOS 120 30.00    
EAMONN Mar27 Jan30 Jan09     (orseno jo)CAMACHO JR 122 12.00    
ME AND MR. C         (maker j)JARAMILLO E 120 8.00    
VOODOO ZIP         (clement chr)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 3.50 16% 5.20    
THRESHOLD Feb10 Jan15       (david a)PEREZ EDGAR 120 20.00    
SASH (GB) Feb04         (mullins jeff)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 8.00    
10  FIGHTING FORCE Jan29         (delgado jorge)SUTHERLAND C 120 20.00    
11  LARGENT Feb19 Jan08       (pletcher todd )REYES LEONEL 120 2.50 53% 0.90    
12  JOURNEYMAN Mar13 Jan29 Jan15     (klesaris ste)MORELOS E 120 6.00    
SCR  ORDER AND LAW Apr02 Feb24 Jan29     (pita daniel)REYES LEONEL 120 20.00    
SCR  OVER THE CHANNEL Mar27 Feb24 Jan14     (fawkes david)JARAMILLO E 120 20.00    
SCR  PARKLAND Mar24         (yanez reynaldo)PEREZ EDGAR 120 15.00    
SCR  WINFROMWITHIN Mar11 Jan15       (delgado jorge)SUTHERLAND C 120 15.00    
 
GP-6   04/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($51K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEA ON A MISSION Apr10 Mar25 Mar02 Jan20   (barboza vict)MENESES MARCOS 120 12.00    
BETH'S DREAM Feb23         (barboza victor )JARAMILLO E 122 1.20 58% 0.70    
FLYING ALETHA Feb12         (gambolati ca)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 3.50    
GRAN BABY (CHI) Mar09 Jan13       (sanche)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 8.00    
BABY GUNDIN Mar18 Jan23       (wilensky her)GONZALEZ EDWIN 122 5.00    
BIG BAD DIVA Apr07 Feb10 Jan28     (joseph saffi)MORRISON AILSA 113 4.00 16% 5.30    
 
GP-7   04/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLACK BELT Feb18         (casse mark)GONZALEZ EDWIN 126 3.50 10% 9.10    
DEMOCRACY Mar25 Jan21       (sano antoni)ALVARADO JUNIOR 126 1.60    
SCR  SPUNTACULAR Mar25 Mar06 Jan08     (spatz b)JARAMILLO E 120 4.50 34% 2.00    
TAPATERM Apr07 Mar23 Jan14 Jan07   (levy l)PANICI LUCA 118 15.00 9% 9.70    
FROLIC MAN Mar16 Feb16 Feb06 Jan14   (hurtak danie)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 4.00 18% 4.70    
THE TWINS SNEAKERS Mar27 Jan07       (alter )VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 8.00    
BROTHER BRAD Apr13 Mar06 Jan12     (alvarado diane)REYES LEONEL 126 10.00    
 
GP-8   04/22/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($38K) 3 ALL PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FROSTED ARMOUR Apr14 Mar20 Feb16 Jan23 Jan12 (sano antonio)ARROYO S 118 6.00    
NEVER SATISFIED Mar27 Feb20 Feb06 Jan12   (sweeze)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
R GIRL'S WERTH IT Mar16 Feb16 Jan19     (plesa jr)PEREZ EDGAR 115 10.00 13% 6.80    
ALWAYS GAMBLING Mar16 Feb20 Jan22     (gonzal)BERRIOS ISAAC 118 8.00    
LIVING WATER Feb23 Feb03 Jan14     (crichton rohan)JARAMILLO E 118 1.80 40% 1.50    
MAGNILOQUENT Feb16         (ward wesley )LOPEZ PASCACIO 115 2.50 22% 3.50    
BARONE CESCO Mar26         (sano antoni)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 4.50    
 
GP-9   04/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAMMER LANE Mar19         (cooper thoma)MORRISON AILSA 111 3.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  REDDINGTON Mar19 Feb19 Jan23     (danner kels)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 4.50 23% 3.40    
KING ALFREDO         (yanez )BERRIOS ISAAC 118 12.00    
AGARRAMESIPUEDES Apr03 Mar13 Feb11     (duco luis)CALLES FRANKLIN 111 15.00 5% 19.00    
CHARGING AERO Mar05         (spatz )VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  JACKSON'S WEBB Mar09         (jackson gary)MENESES MARCOS 118 15.00    
TRUSTING BOND         (roussel j)JARAMILLO E 118 3.50 22% 3.50    
ROYAL HARRY Mar26 Mar03 Jan28     (abreu fernando)PEREZ EDGAR 126 15.00    
AZTEC         (o'connell ka)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 8.00    
10  CONSTITUTIONALSONG         (yates michae)ARROYO S 118 12.00    
11  LOVE MINISTER         (o'connell kathl)PANICI LUCA 118 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.