Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Thursday - April 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   04/21/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3 ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER NECESSARY Mar02         (cordero-lopez)FLORES ADRIAN 120 20.00 7% 14.20    
2  EXIT Feb11 Feb03       (cash l)CRUZ ANGEL 124 12.00    
3  ROLL ME OVER Apr02 Mar18 Feb26     (smith hami)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 117 8.00    
4  PHRA PHROM Mar27 Mar05 Feb24 Jan16   (corrales jose)ACOSTA D 124 5.00    
5  AUSPICIOUS LAD Apr03 Mar13 Feb24 Jan30 Jan16 (cox m)ARAUJO DENIS 124 6.00 12% 7.10    
6  VIRGINIA FULLA Feb11 Jan22 Jan16     (murdock stephe)BOYCE FOREST 124 3.00 35% 1.90    
SCR  BISCOTTO D'ORO Apr08 Mar27 Feb24 Feb13 Jan23 (gonzalez cla)BARBOSA JEIRON 113 2.50 13% 6.70    
8  LIGHTNING LAD Apr01 Feb26       (milosevic milan)RUIZ JORGE 124 5.00 ★    
 
LRL-2   04/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($44K) 3 ALL PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ALWAYS CHARMING Feb21 Jan27 Jan09     (klesaris rober)BOYCE FOREST 117 12.00 ★    
2  AXXERATOR Apr07 Mar26 Feb21 Jan23 Jan02 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 117 15.00    
3  UNDER THE RADAR Apr09         (nambo cesar)ACOSTA D 121 15.00    
4  SIMPLY VALID Apr07 Feb25 Feb04     (capuano dale)ALVELO C 116 4.00 18% 4.40    
SCR  KENNER Mar29 Feb09       (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 2.00 34% 2.00    
6  LANTAU Apr02 Mar18 Feb20 Jan30 Jan20 (bailes robe)KARAMANOS A 124 2.50 10% 9.40    
7  FREE SQUARE Apr02 Mar20 Feb27 Feb06 Jan16 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 121 3.50 16% 5.20    
 
LRL-3   04/21/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST PICK ONE Apr08 Mar25 Mar11 Feb11 Jan21 (allen ferri)ALVELO C 121 6.00 13% 6.70    
2  POINT DRIVEN Mar19 Feb18 Jan21     (mancil)ENRIQUEZ JR 116 2.50 19% 4.30    
3  AMEN CORNER Mar25 Mar11 Feb18 Jan27   (nazario pedro)CEDENO CAROL 123 4.50 24% 3.20    
4  SPOTTED BULL Apr01 Mar19 Mar04 Feb11 Jan22 (pradenas serg)KARAMANOS A 123 5.00 ★    
5  TAPPIN FOR GLORY Apr08 Feb24 Feb06     (contessa gary )ROSADO JOHAN 123 8.00    
6  TOM TERRIFIC Apr01 Mar11 Mar05 Feb19 Jan21 (jones e)HO WESLEY 123 15.00    
7  MYSTIC TIMES Feb19 Feb03 Jan27 Jan16   (martin r)ACOSTA D 123 20.00    
8  SUBJECT TO CHANGE Mar13 Feb19 Jan27 Jan02   (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 123 3.00 18% 4.50    
 
LRL-4   04/21/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($34.65K) 3 F PT- 2:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARPER'S DO Apr01 Mar18 Feb24     (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 120 12.00 6% 16.60    
2  FASHIONISTA Feb25 Feb10 Jan21     (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 124 5.00    
3  DONNA LIRICA Mar11 Jan22       (cordero-lopez)FLORES ADRIAN 124 20.00    
4  MISS COREY Feb18         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 3.00 22% 3.50    
5  SHINELIKEADIAMOND Mar25 Mar13       (keefe l)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 2.50 31% 2.20    
6  DAILY PLANET Feb25 Feb03       (milosevic mila)BOYCE FOREST 124 8.00 11% 7.80    
7  MY GIRL STEVE         (gaudet lacey)ALVELO C 119 6.00    
8  GOGO CHANEL         (dilodovico damon)ACOSTA D 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  LOOKING FOR WATER Mar18         (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 8.00    
 
LRL-5   04/21/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37.95K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRILLIANT CHASE Apr05 Mar15 Jan26     (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 2.00 29% 2.40    
SCR  NOBLE COMMANDER Mar15 Mar01       (ness jamie)BARBOSA JEIRON 116 2.00 ★    
2  SPITBALL Apr07 Mar05 Feb12 Jan20 Jan01 (corrales jose)ARAUJO DENIS 123 6.00    
3  NASHVEGAS Mar27 Mar11 Feb18 Jan20 Jan02 (magee kieron)ALVELO C 118 5.00 ★    
4  AL BROWN Mar19 Feb18       (salazar ma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 116 20.00    
5  SEANOW Apr03 Mar13 Mar05 Feb12 Jan21 (cash l)ACOSTA D 123 12.00 16% 5.20    
6  ASKIN FOR A BASKIN Apr09 Mar20 Feb26 Jan16   (sanchez-salomo)ROSADO JOHAN 126 10.00    
7  DEMO DOCTOR Mar26 Feb25 Jan20     (klesaris rober)BOYCE FOREST 126 8.00 ★    
8  SOUTH SEA Mar26 Jan22       (miceli michae)KARAMANOS A 123 2.50 31% 2.20    
 
LRL-6   04/21/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHAT DOES IT TAKE Apr03 Mar19 Feb25     (magee kieron)ALVELO C 118 2.00 20% 4.10    
2  IMAGE MAKER Apr01 Mar13 Feb25 Jan16   (sillaman rich)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 10.00 12% 7.60    
3  TEXAS BASIN Mar19 Feb20       (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 4.50 ★    
4  AMENDED Mar23 Feb25       (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 116 20.00    
5  INK Apr01 Mar04 Feb03 Jan22   (gonzalez cla)BARBOSA JEIRON 116 6.00    
6  BUGLE OF WAR Mar23 Mar04 Jan27 Jan16   (cash l)ACOSTA D 123 15.00    
7  POINT OF GRACE         (cooney s)ARAUJO DENIS 123 30.00    
8  JUSTINTHENICKOTIME Apr01 Mar04 Feb08     (rivera ju)CARRASCO R 123 2.50 30% 2.30    
9  BOONDOGGLE Mar18 Feb06 Jan21     (kee wi)ENRIQUEZ JR 112 15.00 14% 6.20    
SCR  FERMAT Mar06         (mcmullen marilyn)RUIZ JORGE 123 20.00    
 
LRL-7   04/21/2022 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($61.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TREASURE TROVE Mar26 Mar04 Feb19 Jan30   (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 4.00 ★    
SCR  PLOT THE DOTS Mar26 Feb20 Jan21     (gonzalez claudi)GOMEZ KEVIN 126 3.50 6% 15.80    
3  GALERIO Mar19 Feb19 Jan29     (salzman e)ACOSTA D 123 2.00 60% 0.70    
4  DIXIE DRAWL Mar26 Mar04       (capuano dal)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 8.00    
5  GENTLEMAN JOE Mar19 Feb19 Jan21     (smith hamilton)ARAUJO DENIS 123 10.00 ★    
6  MONEY RIDE Mar26 Mar13 Feb20 Jan30 Jan14 (gonzalez claudio)CRUZ ANGEL 123 3.00 11% 8.30    
7  CROUCHELLI Mar26 Jan21       (vukelic ro)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 116 20.00    
 
LRL-8   04/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($23.1K) 35 M/F PT- 4:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVE DUST Mar26         (geralis )BUTTERFLY L 115 12.00    
2  UNION BETTY Mar26 Feb27 Feb06 Jan29   (dove k)ENRIQUEZ JR 115 10.00 30% 2.40    
3  SHE'S MISS ARTIE         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 116 2.50 40% 1.50    
4  HUDSON CANYON Jan22         (gonzalez cla)BARBOSA JEIRON 105 3.50 ★    
SCR  TASFEEQ Mar26 Feb26 Feb10     (trujillo elvis)HESS SARA 116 3.00 ★    
SCR  PETITE ROUGE         (boniface c)RUIZ JORGE 116 12.00    
7  DIVINE VICTORY         (doran carl)PEREZ XAVIER 126 10.00    
8  TIKTOKNAWAY Mar06 Feb13 Jan20     (deiter lyn)ACOSTA D 126 8.00    
9  BAD TEMPER Mar26 Feb27 Feb13 Jan29   (parker hora)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 12.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.