Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Friday - April 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   04/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  THE FALCON Mar18 Jan26       (johnson gar)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 6.00    
2  LEMONADE STAND (GB) Mar31 Mar17 Mar04 Feb18   (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 124 2.50 ★    
3  OSMI SLEW Apr05 Mar19 Mar07 Mar01 Feb21 (lopez carlos)TAPARA BRANDON 124 4.50 11% 8.10    
4  GRITO DE PABLITO Apr05 Mar24 Mar09 Jan22 Jan04 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 5.00 14% 6.20    
5  LEXATOGA         (huffman)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 49% 1.10    
6  KATZ THE MUSIC         (sullivan elli)TUNON JORDANO 124 3.50 ★    
 
MVR-2   04/15/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  DOCTOR LEE Mar31 Mar15 Feb26 Jan14   (zielinski r)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 2.50 18% 4.60    
SCR  ENJOY BASEBALL Apr02 Mar10 Feb26 Feb01 Jan12 (zielinski r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 2.50    
2B  COSMIC TREASURE Mar26 Feb18 Jan22     (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 124 1.20 46% 1.20    
SCR  STORM RISK Feb01 Jan12       (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 124 1.20    
3  AZTEC EMPIRE Mar05         (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 15.00 ★    
4  MAKE THE RULES Mar26 Mar02 Feb18 Jan21   (doering)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00    
5  SMASH Mar15 Feb01 Jan12     (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 5.00 5% 17.50    
6  SHELL FIRE Apr02 Mar15 Feb26 Feb01 Jan12 (bailey ricar)TAPARA BRANDON 124 3.50 10% 8.60    
 
MVR-3   04/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPLIT MY BRITCHES Apr04 Mar24 Feb14 Feb01 Jan11 (maddox rachael)PAUCAR E 124 20.00    
2  THE GOSPEL OF MARK Mar14 Feb28 Feb14     (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 15.00 20% 3.90    
3  THAT'S THE WAY Apr04         (gorham )PILARES P 117 2.00 23% 3.40    
4  VENTURE ON Mar14 Feb16 Jan22     (gorham )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 117 3.00    
5  LIL RICKYS JEWEL Mar05 Jan05       (cline c)HOUGHTON D 117 2.50 35% 1.90    
6  ELLADA PINOT Apr04 Mar14 Mar08 Feb01   (langley joshua)YARANGA Y 124 4.00 ★    
SCR  DAVIS HAT Mar08 Feb01 Jan11     (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 10.00 ★    
 
MVR-4   04/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RHETT THOMAS Apr06 Mar18 Feb24 Feb10 Jan07 (rivera nestor)PEREZ ISMAEL 124 3.00    
1A  SWINGIN FRIAR Apr06 Mar18 Feb11 Feb05 Jan19 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 3.00    
2  TAPAWAY Mar01 Feb21 Jan19 Jan04   (vicker)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 ★    
3  STUNNING BABY Mar18 Feb19       (zielinski r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 15.00    
4  MAN DOWN Mar18 Mar01 Feb21 Jan25 Jan04 (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.00 ★    
5  PLEASE SIT DOWN Apr04 Mar18       (dodge albert)TUNON JORDANO 124 3.50 14% 6.40    
6  KING OF THE RING Mar19 Mar05 Feb16 Jan04   (pappada a)LEON SONNY 126 2.50 51% 1.00    
7  TRACKING GOLD Mar01         (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 124 8.00 10% 9.10    
 
MVR-5   04/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA CAFETERA Mar01 Feb23 Jan21     (maver e)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00    
SCR  PRINCESS TINE (FR) Mar01 Jan25       (pappada juli)KEISER CHELSEY 124 12.00    
3  TALK DIRTY Mar01 Feb14 Jan11     (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 124 5.00    
4  RED PIXIE Feb22         (pappada jul)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 4.50 26% 2.90    
5  DEAREST KITTEN Mar24 Mar02       (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 126 0.80 38% 1.60    
6  TWO DIAMONDS Mar28 Mar02       (erdel john)TAPARA BRANDON 124 20.00 5% 17.90    
7  FRANKIE'S GIFT Mar15         (vickers richar)DIAZ I 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PRINCESS CELESTE Mar23 Jan29       (lyster step)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 6.00 ★    
 
MVR-6   04/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRAMORE BAY Mar18 Feb22 Feb14 Jan19   (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.00 25% 2.90    
2  MAGIC MOUNTAIN Apr04 Mar23 Mar09     (welsh r)PAUCAR E 126 2.50 39% 1.50    
3  COWTOWN COWBOY Feb23         (pappada juli)KEISER CHELSEY 124 8.00    
4  THEDUKE OF HAZZARD Mar26 Mar01 Feb16 Feb01 Jan11 (schuster robin)HOUGHTON D 124 4.00 13% 6.70    
5  NO TOLERANCE Apr05 Mar24 Mar09 Mar01 Feb21 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 5.00 ★    
6  AWESOME OX Mar26 Mar18 Mar01 Feb14 Jan15 (bird danny)LEON SONNY 124 6.00 ★    
 
MVR-7   04/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  GLENNWOOD         (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 14% 5.90    
SCR  CENTRIST Mar31 Mar15 Feb23 Feb15 Jan31 (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 124 3.00    
2  ASTRO JAK Mar31 Mar15 Feb23 Jan31 Jan04 (vickers ric)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 6.00 ★    
3  COMPLY (NZ) Jan22         (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 3.50    
4  GOLDEN MONEY Mar24 Mar07 Feb14 Jan22   (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 4.50 ★    
5  FIRST CITIZEN Mar31 Mar21 Feb28 Jan04   (welsh r)PAUCAR E 124 5.00 27% 2.70    
6  LATIN SPICE Mar21 Jan04       (dacosta jas)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 2.50 34% 2.00    
 
MVR-8   04/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AWESOME WONDER Apr02 Mar01 Jan22 Jan01   (dacosta jas)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 15.00    
2  DIAL AGAIN Mar09 Feb17 Jan09     (andrade)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 ★    
3  AFERDITA Mar19         (rone penny)RIVERA R 117 12.00    
4  LUCKY LAUREN Mar26         (newton troy)LEON SONNY 124 2.50 12% 7.60    
5  AYKIZ Mar14 Jan23       (douaihy michel)LEZCANO ABEL 124 4.50 29% 2.50    
6  BOURBONWITHGINGER Jan25 Jan09       (tooley jenn)FRANKLIN MALCOM 117 8.00 ★    
7  LITTLE DUTCH GIRL         (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 2.00 32% 2.10    
8  BOUDOIR BURLESQUE Apr02 Mar14 Feb16 Jan21   (decker)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.