Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fonner Park
Friday - April 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FON-1   04/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($7.92K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLYER'S SHADOW         (hemmer terre)BETHKE A 124 10.00 26% 2.80    
2  JUST LUCK Mar18 Mar04       (burns dale)RAMOS B 124 1.40 34% 1.90    
3  BEAUTIFUL JUDGE Apr01 Mar18 Jan29     (black marissa)MARTINEZ A 120 2.50 ★    
4  SMILIN JOSIE Apr01 Mar18 Mar04     (condon schuyler)TOHILL S 124 1.60 ★    
5  RUN BRINLEE RUN Apr03 Mar04       (becker steven )CHICKENESS S 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
FON-2   04/15/2022 2640ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRONT OFFICE Mar04 Feb19       (donlin d)MARTINEZ A 124 6.00 14% 6.20    
SCR  THIRTYEIGHT Mar12 Feb03 Jan12     (gonzalez isa)BETHKE A 124 3.00 17% 4.90    
3  CRIMSON TRACE Apr09 Mar26 Mar18 Feb19   (mitchell stets)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 8.00    
4  SHADY'S TURN Mar26 Mar18 Feb19 Feb03 Jan06 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
SCR  MISCHIEVOUS DEVIL Apr01 Mar16 Feb25 Jan29 Jan05 (gourneau jerry)WOOD DAKOTA 120 2.00 ★    
6  OTHER THAN THAT Apr01         (rushton temple)JUDE JOHN 124 12.00 ★    
 
FON-3   04/15/2022 2640ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPELL WINDER Mar18 Mar06       (rushton temple)JUDE JOHN 124 8.00 ★    
2  LUCKY EVERY DAY Apr02 Mar19 Mar06 Feb19 Jan01 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 124 1.60 19% 4.20    
3  WITCHY WINDSOR Mar05         (sorensen mik)BETHKE A 124 15.00 ★    
4  TAYLOR'S BEAUTY Mar11 Feb26       (dieter dalton)WOOD DAKOTA 124 3.00 11% 8.10    
5  OKIE PRINCESS Mar06 Feb20       (ness john)TOHILL S 124 15.00    
6  AMOREENA STAR Mar25 Mar12 Mar05 Feb20   (hibdon n)MARTINEZ A 124 1.20 45% 1.20    
 
FON-4   04/15/2022 2640ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($4.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT DRAMA Apr01 Mar18       (womochil jeff)OLESIAK JAKE 124 1.40 47% 1.10    
2  TWO SOCKS MAC         (schindler jeff)LEON A 120 12.00 ★    
3  BELIEVE IN PARTS Apr01 Mar18 Feb25 Feb03 Jan06 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ A 124 3.00 18% 4.60    
4  KING WITT Mar23 Feb10 Jan28     (gourneau jerry)CHICKENESS S 120 15.00    
5  JUST WING IT Apr01 Mar18       (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 4.50 ★    
6  R DEJA VOO Mar18         (rivera p)JUDE JOHN 124 15.00    
7  DOX BIZ Feb13 Jan09       (donlin d)WOOD DAKOTA 120 2.50 13% 6.60    
 
FON-5   04/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEAVENS PRINCESS Apr02 Mar27 Mar13 Feb24 Jan14 (jondle mark)WOOD DAKOTA 120 8.00    
2  HANNAH'S STORM Apr03 Feb20       (ness john)TOHILL S 124 10.00 8% 11.70    
3  TICKER Feb20         (sorensen mik)BETHKE A 124 12.00 15% 5.50    
4  GIROLAMO LUCY Mar13         (lemburg mark)ROMAN KEVIN 124 12.00    
5  TAKE CHARGE PATTI Apr03 Mar20 Mar11 Feb20   (black marissa)MARTINEZ A 124 0.80 27% 2.70    
6  COUVERTURE Apr10 Apr03 Mar13 Mar05 Feb19 (anderson david)OLESIAK JAKE 124 8.00 20% 4.00    
7  POW POW Apr02 Mar25 Mar11 Feb24 Feb09 (jondle mark)RAMOS B 120 2.50 ★    
 
FON-6   04/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($7.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGH COST OF LIVIN Apr01 Mar18 Mar05 Feb19   (black marissa)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 12.00 10% 8.90    
2  G KATE Mar25 Mar18 Feb26     (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 124 6.00 14% 6.10    
3  NEON DREAMS Apr02 Mar18 Mar04 Feb20   (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 4.50 ★    
4  NEW YEARS LOVE Apr02 Mar18 Feb19     (lemburg mark)JUDE JOHN 124 20.00    
5  D'WILD MUFFIN Apr01 Mar18 Mar04 Feb19 Jan01 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ A 124 3.50 22% 3.50    
6  EMOLGA Apr02 Mar18 Mar04     (hawley joe)TOHILL S 124 10.00    
7  LADY PHYLLIS         (sanderson br)BETHKE A 124 8.00    
8  TOMS MAXIMILLIAN Apr02 Mar12 Mar05 Feb27 Jan30 (lemburg mark)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.00 27% 2.60    
9  JUSTATAPIN Mar27 Mar18 Mar04 Feb19   (ecoffey gilber)OLESIAK JAKE 124 8.00    
SCR  ZIBBY TOO Apr08 Mar19 Feb27     (anderson david )WOOD DAKOTA 124 12.00    
 
FON-7   04/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST SPLENDID Apr02 Mar18 Mar06 Feb25   (riecken keit)BETHKE A 124 3.50 5% 19.00    
2  UNTETHERED SOUL Apr02 Mar19 Mar11 Mar05 Feb26 (hibdon n)OLESIAK JAKE 124 5.00 8% 12.20    
3  MISS ORATORY         (montano wilfrido)JUDE JOHN 124 15.00    
4  INDAWIN Mar04         (donlin d)WOOD DAKOTA 124 15.00    
5  DISTINCT APPROVAL Mar04 Feb19       (bolinger micha)LUARK T 124 15.00    
SCR  WICKED FLASHBACK Apr02 Mar18 Feb26 Jan27 Jan01 (lemburg mark)HAAR NATHAN 124 12.00    
7  BODIE ON POINTE Mar20 Feb13       (wise jason)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 3.00    
8  SKYKAT         (donlin d)MARTINEZ A 124 4.00 7% 13.20    
9  SOYBEAN Apr02 Mar13 Mar06 Feb20   (condon schuyler)RAMOS B 124 10.00 ★    
10  THAT'S ALL RIGHT Apr01 Mar18 Mar13 Feb27 Feb20 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 124 5.00 55% 0.80    
 
FON-8   04/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MATRICULATE Apr02 Mar04       (rhodes lester)ROMAN KEVIN 124 8.00 15% 5.80    
2  GONE PREACHIN Apr09 Feb26       (sorensen mike)WOOD DAKOTA 124 6.00 18% 4.50    
3  BURGAMEISTER Mar26 Mar05       (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 12.00    
4  BREAKIN DAYLIGHT Apr02 Mar19 Mar05     (black marissa)TOHILL S 124 2.50    
5  MASTERPIECE DAY Mar26 Mar06 Feb20     (muckey john)RAMOS B 124 20.00    
6  THORNISH Apr01 Mar19 Mar05 Feb26   (anderson david)OLESIAK JAKE 124 3.00    
7  YODELERS WAY Apr01 Mar12 Feb27     (rushton stacy)JUDE JOHN 124 10.00    
8  PLUMBAGO         (arceo salvad)BETHKE A 124 12.00 ★    
9  DANZ A REBEL Feb19         (bolinger micha)LUARK T 124 8.00 ★    
10  SCOOTER'S BOY Apr08 Mar19 Mar05 Feb20   (anderson c)MARTINEZ A 124 5.00 46% 1.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.