Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Gulfstream Park
Thursday - April 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GP-1   04/14/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CURLIN'S DOVE         (brownlee david)SUTHERLAND C 118 10.00    
BLUE KENTUCKY GIRL Mar23 Feb26 Jan26 Jan09   (sano antonio)PEREZ EDGAR 125 15.00    
BREEHAZEL Mar27 Feb23 Jan23     (sano antonio)MORRISON AILSA 118 2.00 12% 7.10    
CASTLE BORN         (belsoeur yvo)MENESES MARCOS 118 4.00    
TAG HER Mar10 Jan22       (casse mark)JARAMILLO E 118 3.50 6% 16.90    
ULTIMATE BREEZE Jan26 Jan06       (yates )VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 10.00    
BALI BABY Mar24 Jan27 Jan08     (pinchin jose)REYES LEONEL 118 3.00 60% 0.70    
 
GP-2   04/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOKY BLUES         (weaver casso)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 4.50 21% 3.90    
WHERE'S JOEY Mar20 Feb16 Jan28     (david a)JARAMILLO E 120 1.60 44% 1.30    
KATIE'S COWBOY Mar03 Feb19 Jan02     (sweeze)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 3.00    
POPPY'S BOYS Mar06 Feb13 Jan15     (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.50    
NO NAY MAYBE (IRE) Mar06 Jan21       (fuentes mauri)FUENTES MARIO 118 10.00    
UNCLE B Feb24 Jan16       (cazares laura)REYES LEONEL 118 8.00 9% 10.20    
 
GP-3   04/14/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LORD JAXSTON Feb19 Jan23       (hills )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 15.00    
SUNSET PROVISION Mar09 Feb02 Jan05     (orseno jose)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 2.50 34% 1.90    
FUSION JAZZ Mar03         (sanchez jos)VASQUEZ WILFRED 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
STAT Mar19 Jan02       (joseph saffie )REYES LEONEL 118 3.00 15% 5.90    
CROONER Mar09         (cox gail)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 4.50    
SIR TERRE Mar31 Mar09 Feb11 Jan15   (amaya gustavo)PEREZ EDGAR 126 4.00 20% 4.00    
CASH IN A FLASH         (casse mark)GONZALEZ EDWIN 126 3.50    
 
GP-4   04/14/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKYWALKING Mar18 Mar03 Feb12 Jan22 Jan02 (sano antonio)REYES LEONEL 122 3.50 15% 5.90    
KING THEO Mar24         (vaccarezza c)ARROYO S 122 8.00    
ESPECIALLEA Mar03         (gargan)VASQUEZ ANGEL 122 4.00 15% 5.70    
MERZAZ Mar27 Mar13 Feb18 Feb04 Jan06 (avila juan )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 3.00    
NEVERSTOPDREAMING Mar24 Feb24 Jan13     (de cerda)MORELOS E 122 8.00 12% 7.30    
MACK Mar26 Jan22       (o'connell kathl)PANICI LUCA 122 4.50 27% 2.80    
TRIPLE JEOPARDY Mar04 Jan14       (david carlos)GONZALEZ EDWIN 122 5.00    
 
GP-5   04/14/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($35K) Purse ($32K) 3 F PT- 3:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LONDON LADY Mar25 Mar10 Feb18 Jan22 Jan09 (trombetta mi)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 3.50 20% 4.00    
APPALACHIANHEIGHTS Mar11 Jan14       (gutier)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 5.00 22% 3.60    
WITH LIBERTY Mar25 Feb18       (delgado jorge)SUTHERLAND C 120 4.00 14% 6.40    
DOMORE Mar06         (mckanas j)REYES LEONEL 120 20.00    
MORE GLORY Mar12 Feb26 Feb12     (levy tamara )MENESES MARCOS 120 30.00    
QUEEN CUPID Feb12 Jan16       (walder pete)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 6.00 18% 4.50    
PRINCESS LEAN         (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 120 10.00    
SOUTH PACIFIC Mar11 Feb12       (eppler mary )LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 8.00    
GRANDMA'S PUDDING Mar25 Feb12       (nicks e)JARAMILLO E 120 6.00 6% 17.20    
SCR  CAPRIDREY         (joseph saffi)ARROYO S 120 12.00    
SCR  PATH TO VICTORY Mar20 Feb27 Jan28     (gonzalez ja)VASQUEZ WILFRED 120 15.00    
 
GP-6   04/14/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($35K) Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUGURUZA Feb23         (barboza victor)REYES LEONEL 118 6.00    
WOW TAPIT Feb23         (sanchez amad)MORELOS E 118 8.00 18% 4.40    
HARD TO CAPTURE Mar31 Mar16 Feb17 Jan22   (casse mark)JARAMILLO E 120 10.00    
BUNNYNOTBEAST Mar16 Feb06       (danner kels)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 3.50 29% 2.50    
HIGH ARABIAN Mar19 Feb23       (escobar alison)PANICI LUCA 118 20.00    
SCR  YOGA QUEEN Feb23         (sano antonio)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 8.00 7% 12.90    
PRONTA Mar13 Jan05       (nicks e)SUTHERLAND C 118 4.50 5% 19.00    
WHATS GOIN ON Feb27 Feb06 Jan13     (cricht)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 4.00 21% 3.70    
KINGSTON QUEEN Feb23 Feb04 Jan26     (d'ange)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 5.00    
 
GP-7   04/14/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TAPE TO TAPE Mar18 Feb18 Jan12     (mcgoey moni)ALVARADO JUNIOR 126 1.40 48% 1.10    
PUNX Mar03         (girten tim)SUTHERLAND C 126 12.00    
PERFECT PICTURE Mar27 Jan27 Jan06     (dobles eliza)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 3.50 14% 6.10    
THING Mar09 Jan23       (proctor thomas )JARAMILLO E 126 4.00 8% 11.80    
WOW RUN Mar20 Feb20 Jan23     (lee f)MORRISON AILSA 113 12.00    
FROSTED ARMOUR Mar20 Feb16 Jan23 Jan12   (sano a)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 6.00    
TIZ ROMANTIC Feb10 Jan07       (yanez reynaldo)REYES LEONEL 124 8.00 8% 12.10    
 
GP-8   04/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3 F PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FREEDOM SPEAKS         (spatz )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 12.00    
YOUR INHERITANCE         (o'dwyer jeremia)PANICI LUCA 118 10.00    
GLEAMING BRUTALITY         (klesaris ste)ARROYO S 118 6.00    
CUPID AUSTIN Feb12 Jan21       (acker scott )MENESES MARCOS 118 30.00 7% 12.90    
FULTON MARKET Mar24 Feb20 Jan09     (proctor thomas )JARAMILLO E 118 2.50 29% 2.40    
SOMEBODY LOVES ME Mar13         (walsh )VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 20.00    
SADIE BEAR Mar18 Feb06       (fawkes david)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.00 41% 1.40    
QUEEN MACHA Mar17 Feb27 Feb02     (d'angelo jos)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 4.50    
REPUBLIQUE         (joseph saff)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00    
10  FROSTY SECRET         (mannin)BERRIOS ISAAC 118 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.