Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Will Rogers Downs
Tuesday - April 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
WRD-1   04/12/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GP'S AMAZING GRACE Mar22         (swan e)SANCHEZ OBED 118 3.00 26% 2.90    
NANA'S JOY Mar03 Feb03 Jan01     (birzer bo)MEDINA ANGEL 118 6.00 9% 10.60    
SKIPPERLITTTLEGIRL Mar29         (martin timot)RICHARD RONALD 121 5.00    
AWESOME SUNSET Mar18 Mar02 Feb05 Jan06   (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 1.80    
TAKE CHARGE GAL Mar20 Jan28       (dixon tim)KIMES C 118 2.00 40% 1.50    
 
WRD-2   04/12/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($12.65K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUBY BE JUDGED         (gladd kassie)KIMES C 124 6.00    
NOODLE SALAD Feb17 Jan29       (young sco)TRIANA JR 118 3.50    
SEXY SOCKS Mar29         (nolen kenneth)MORA GERARDO 124 4.00 18% 4.70    
SERENIDIPITOUS DO Mar30         (young scott)WETHEY JR 118 3.00 30% 2.40    
NAUGHTY NATALIE         (offolter s)LANDEROS C 124 2.50 20% 4.00    
FIREY EMBLEM         (hunt charlto)JORDAN R 113 6.00    
 
WRD-3   04/12/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WOODLAND GIRL         (trett donal)HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 8.00    
WILDSTARINTHESKY Mar22         (buehrer mark)RICHARD RONALD 118 12.00    
TIAGO'S SONG         (komardley evan)LANDEROS C 124 8.00 10% 8.80    
SCR  LAKE SENSE Mar29 Jan13 Jan01     (dixon tim)KIMES C 124 10.00    
SCR  LIL BEAN MACHINE         (craddoc)GONCALVES R 118 2.00 29% 2.40    
MIGHTY HAPPY Mar19 Feb23       (ashford ray)MORA GERARDO 118 5.00 9% 9.90    
JODEAN Mar29 Feb23 Feb09     (tracy greg)JORDAN R 113 1.60 29% 2.50    
 
WRD-4   04/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOUNG SKYWALKER         (oberlander jes)MORA GERARDO 124 5.00    
HUMOR'S REWARD         (davidson bre)SANCHEZ OBED 124 12.00    
TOAH         (buehrer mark)JORDAN R 119 3.00 27% 2.70    
JUST A IRISH LAD         (nolen ken)TRIANA JR 124 4.00 16% 5.30    
J B'S LEGACY         (caster bo)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.00 20% 4.00    
GOSPEL MUSKETEER         (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 3.50    
 
WRD-5   04/12/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROUD MOMENTS         (caster boyd)SANCHEZ OBED 118 12.00 11% 8.00    
LIMBO'S PROMISE Mar29 Feb10 Jan21     (birzer bonni)JORDAN R 116 2.00 31% 2.20    
BURTNJOE Mar27 Mar12 Feb19 Jan28   (hale jame)MEDINA ANGEL 118 6.00    
VALID DECISION Apr01         (williams f)CRUZ ROMAN 118 6.00 12% 7.60    
BAPTISM (GB) Feb26 Jan26 Jan07     (dixon tim)KIMES C 118 5.00    
MORO CHARLIE Mar09 Feb19 Jan20     (williams st)HERRERA GUSTAVO 118 12.00 10% 8.80    
EUROBOND Mar28 Feb26       (martin st)STEINBERG GARRETT 121 3.00    
SHADES OF GLORY         (hartman alex)MORA GERARDO 118 12.00    
 
WRD-6   04/12/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WEST COAST TEMPLE Mar11 Feb12 Jan22     (box aaron)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 2.50 25% 2.90    
BELLA BLU Mar29         (engel roger )JORDAN R 119 1.00 31% 2.30    
SAVE THE DAY Mar29 Mar22       (buehrer mark)RICHARD RONALD 124 12.00    
HEIGHTEN Mar28 Mar05 Feb16 Jan22   (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 3.50    
FAVORITE SISTER Mar29         (coffey ches)HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 15.00 19% 4.20    
MARKANTONY'SQUEEN Mar29 Mar22       (buehrer m)MEDINA ANGEL 124 8.00    
 
WRD-7   04/12/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($20.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SANGRIA CITY Mar30 Mar03 Feb12 Jan21   (padilla carlos)MORA GERARDO 118 6.00 10% 8.60    
MY KIKI Mar22 Feb18 Jan21 Jan06   (birzer bonni)JORDAN R 119 2.00 29% 2.40    
FLASH FLOOD         (williams alan)COLLIER T 124 6.00    
PEARLY         (caster bo)MEDINA ANGEL 124 10.00    
SNOWTRICK         (camillo ang)WETHEY JR 124 3.00    
LA MORENA Mar22         (espiritu lucio)SANCHEZ OBED 124 2.50 16% 5.30    
 
WRD-8   04/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAME PLATA Mar22         (bravo francis)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 3.00 29% 2.40    
VANGILDER Mar19 Feb16 Jan21     (ashford ra)JORDAN R 119 4.00    
BOX SEAT Mar22         (caster bo)MEDINA ANGEL 121 3.50    
NUMBER ONE DUDE         (craddoc)GONCALVES R 124 2.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  NORTHERN PLAYBOY Mar28         (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 124 20.00    
ROCKPORT KAT Mar28         (luneack t)TRIANA JR 124 4.00    
 
WRD-9   04/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 GOOD nongraded Stake Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOLLY JUMPER         (williams alan)COLLIER T 118 6.00    
YOU'REOBADBOY Apr05         (horner li)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 118 15.00    
SHANNON C         (young s)GONCALVES R 124 1.80 41% 1.40    
YOU SEXY BOY Mar29         (moreno carlos)MORA GERARDO 118 20.00    
QUALITY ROCKET         (caster bo)MEDINA ANGEL 121 4.00    
MESA MOON Mar20 Feb18 Jan22     (young scott)WETHEY JR 118 2.00 24% 3.20    
TOMMYHAWK Mar21         (swango ra)TRIANA JR 118 8.00 7% 12.50    
 
WRD-10   04/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23.76K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUBBED IN SEATTLE         (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 118 12.00    
OKIE FREEZE Mar29         (young sco)TRIANA JR 118 3.50 10% 9.50    
WILD RUMBLE Apr04         (espiritu lucio)SANCHEZ OBED 124 30.00    
KALEO Mar21         (craddoc)GONCALVES R 118 12.00    
MISTER WAYSIDE Mar29         (oberlande)MEDINA ANGEL 124 6.00 8% 12.20    
GRAYGHOSTGRANVILLE         (williams j )HERRERA GUSTAVO 118 20.00    
SON OF PREACHERMAN         (lewis jeh)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 30.00    
J. CAT WEST         (nolen kenne)WETHEY JR 118 4.00 37% 1.70    
EARS TO ME Mar22         (swan e)CRUZ ROMAN 118 8.00    
10  KYEMBEA         (brooks jimmy)RICHARD RONALD 124 20.00    
11  DA CRIMSON PASS Mar21         (dunlap m)KIMES C 118 15.00    
12  HIT ONE OUT Mar23         (engel roger )JORDAN R 119 3.00 23% 3.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.