Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Sunday - April 10, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   04/10/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DARN TOOTIN         (fennessy john)VALDES ALEXIS 124 12.00 6% 14.70    
KATY AND EMMA Mar25 Mar05 Feb18 Jan22 Jan08 (davis richard)ARROYO MIGUEL 124 1.60 40% 1.50    
DURA THE EXPLORER Mar23 Feb06 Jan22 Jan02   (goberdhan )ROWLAND MADELINE 111 15.00    
LEFT OF CENTER         (rhone berne)SPANABEL SKYLER 126 6.00    
THAWED Mar13 Jan22 Jan05     (schistl rafae)CHAVES ELIONE 124 3.50    
MAY BEAU Mar25 Feb18 Jan30 Jan14   (wasil)DIAZ RAFAEL 126 2.50 25% 3.00    
LADY MANHATTAN Apr03 Mar13 Mar05 Feb19 Jan30 (escobar aliso)DELGADO DAVID 126 10.00    
 
TAM-2   04/10/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMARETTO DI AMORE         (lund valorie)CARDOSO DAVID 118 15.00 11% 8.20    
SWEETS MAKER Mar12         (mcgaughey re)CAMACHO SAMY 118 8.00    
TIPHARAH Apr02 Mar06 Feb13 Jan22   (lusk brian)ROWLAND MADELINE 111 20.00    
KAZACHAN Mar27         (carrasc)DE CRUZ 118 8.00 10% 9.40    
BELLE OF THE BALL Feb06 Jan15       (anton)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 0.60 49% 1.10    
TONE ELISE Feb23 Jan07       (hardesty leslielyn)BISONO J 118 6.00    
GINGER SPARKLE Apr03 Feb27       (belsoeur yvo)BATISTA A 118 5.00    
 
TAM-3   04/10/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 3 ALL PT- 1:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROCURADOR Mar06 Jan05       (cruz jesus)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 2.00 33% 2.00    
BALLINDERRY Mar25 Mar06 Jan05     (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 113 10.00    
FORT WILLIAM Apr02         (boland sharon)BUSH V 120 30.00    
LAGERFELDT Mar25 Feb04 Jan07     (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 8.00    
BAM BAM WARRIOR Apr02 Jan05       (torres pabl)GARCIA A 120 6.00    
STRATFORD Mar25 Mar06 Feb09     (rountree c)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 3.50 35% 1.90    
CALZONE         (rarick lynn)DELGADO DAVID 120 15.00    
MACHINEGUNPREACHER Feb26 Feb06 Jan21     (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 120 3.50    
SCR  SPEEDY DAREDEVIL         (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 20.00    
10  JUPITER RAIN Apr03 Feb20 Feb09 Jan19 Jan01 (seyler dougla)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 20.00    
SCR  TAKEMYSHOT Mar30 Mar18 Feb12 Jan27 Jan12 (acker scott )BATISTA A 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  OUTSTANDING ISLAND Mar12         (dini mike)RODRIGUEZ A 120 8.00    
SCR  GREAT JUNIOR Mar25 Mar06 Jan28 Jan19 Jan05 (roque elis)BISONO J 120 3.00 7% 14.10    
SCR  ESCAPED REALITY         (arriagada )ROWLAND MADELINE 113 10.00    
 
TAM-4   04/10/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHISKEY PLANK Mar12 Jan21       (l)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 124 3.50 21% 3.70    
LIL BULL Mar27 Mar02 Feb02 Jan16   (wirth kenneth)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 10.00    
CHRISTMAS PRESENT Mar18 Jan28 Jan08     (granitz)DE CRUZ 124 2.50 23% 3.30    
CHROME FINISH Mar13 Feb10 Jan21 Jan02   (sweezey kent)CAMACHO SAMY 124 2.00 19% 4.30    
ACTION WARRIOR Mar19 Mar05 Feb16 Jan29 Jan15 (dobber w)WALES GARY 124 30.00    
NANTUCKETER Mar26 Mar12 Feb13 Jan22 Jan07 (raymond robe)BATISTA A 124 6.00 10% 8.90    
TINKER'S PAL Mar12 Feb25 Jan23     (manchan be)MITCHELL RICHARD 124 12.00    
MIAMI CHROME Mar27 Mar12 Feb13 Jan22   (mcgoe)DIAZ RAFAEL 124 8.00    
 
TAM-5   04/10/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONITOR MILLS         (chavez jose)GARCIA A 124 8.00    
DISTORTED TIMES         (hayford jen)QUINONEZ ALONSO 126 15.00    
SCR  ALPHA PREDATOR Feb16         (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 126 3.00 25% 2.90    
SCR  LORD OF THE NILE Mar25 Mar02 Jan23     (dobber w)WALES GARY 126 20.00    
MONETIZED Mar25 Mar02 Jan23     (mcgoey mo)RODRIGUEZ A 126 4.00 21% 3.70    
SHIPWRECK Mar25 Mar04 Jan23     (knoll d)BISONO J 124 6.00    
MEAN JOE BRO Mar25 Feb06 Jan14     (bordis robert )CAMACHO SAMY 118 8.00 6% 16.10    
THE SKIPSTER Mar30 Mar13 Mar04 Feb13 Jan23 (raymond robe)BATISTA A 124 8.00 12% 7.20    
SCR  BOURBON BROWN Mar04 Jan15       (ferraro m )ROWLAND MADELINE 119 3.50 13% 6.90    
10  REGAL EAGLE         (ashmore m)BUSH V 126 20.00    
11  AGENT MULGANNON         (del castil)MITCHELL RICHARD 124 30.00    
12  JOHNNIE GOT JETS Mar23 Mar04 Feb06     (dominguez luis)MENDEZ KEVIN 126 30.00    
 
TAM-6   04/10/2022 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($31K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCESS LIVIA Apr01 Feb16 Feb02     (padilla tim)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 10.00 10% 9.10    
KITTY KITTY Apr01 Mar06 Feb16 Jan28   (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.00    
SWEET PENELOPE Jan28         (alvarado dian)ALVARADO JR 119 2.50 37% 1.70    
CAJUN SPICE Mar25 Jan21       (philipp kar)SPANABEL SKYLER 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
SHE DAZZLE Mar13 Feb20 Jan22 Jan01   (o'conno)DE CRUZ 121 4.00 24% 3.10    
SILVER TUNES Mar02 Feb02 Jan14     (bagwandeen)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 4.50    
VILLAGE QUEEN         (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 6.00    
 
TAM-7   04/10/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 GOOD Optional Claiming ($32K) Purse ($30K) 3 ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VENEZUELAN TRIUMPH Mar18 Jan26       (barboza vict)BATISTA A 122 3.00    
PANADERO Mar18 Feb20 Jan30 Jan09   (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00 29% 2.40    
SHED A TEAR Mar26 Feb11 Jan16     (carrascoj)RODRIGUEZ A 118 8.00    
SCR  ORIGO Apr03 Feb18 Jan21     (nunn do)DE CRUZ 118 12.00    
MY WAY OR NO WAY Mar04 Feb11 Jan26 Jan02   (munoz carlo)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 15.00    
SIR SAFFER Mar20 Feb26 Feb06 Jan21   (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 4.50    
PHARAOH'S PROPHECY Jan30 Jan09       (arriagada jua)ALVARADO JR 118 6.00 5% 18.20    
GREAT BRITAIN Mar18 Feb18 Jan30     (ward dennis)MORALES PABLO 118 4.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  JUST PLAIN ORNERY Mar13 Jan16       (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 4.00 18% 4.40    
10  ARTIE'S ANGEL         (nunn douglas)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 6.00    
 
TAM-8   04/10/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17.95K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEEN'S BEST Mar27 Feb13 Jan21 Jan12   (bennett geral)SANTOS ADEMAR 117 6.00 18% 4.50    
WATER WIZARD Mar18 Feb26 Jan22 Jan08   (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 123 3.00    
SASSY CAT Mar02 Jan07       (axmaker cody )MORALES PABLO 123 6.00    
V K PRINCESS Mar23         (ochoa gera)ORDONEZ R 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
LUSCIOUS Mar23 Feb19 Jan07     (bennett)DE CRUZ 123 2.50 35% 1.90    
FOXY AUSTIN Mar02 Feb13 Jan21     (acker d)CAMACHO SAMY 117 10.00    
SPANISH DELIGHT Mar20 Mar05 Feb11 Jan09   (lorito mari)SPANABEL SKYLER 123 3.50 13% 6.70    
TWIN BRIDGES Mar18         (einhorn ski)GARCIA A 123 8.00    
 
TAM-9   04/10/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19.45K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VINTNER Mar19 Mar04 Feb13 Jan29 Jan07 (yanez mois)ALONSO LUIS 120 3.50 35% 1.80    
JO JO KATZ Mar04 Feb13 Jan26 Jan07   (bennett s)BISONO J 120 4.50 19% 4.30    
OSPREY Mar04 Feb13 Jan29     (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 6.00    
EIGHT WEEKS LONG Mar16 Feb20 Jan28     (ferraro a)SPANABEL SKYLER 123 15.00    
LION CHARMER Mar19 Jan29 Jan07     (o'conno)DE CRUZ 120 12.00 6% 14.80    
ROBINSON Mar04 Jan29       (l)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 120 4.50    
IN HONOR OF ARTIE Mar16 Feb20 Feb04     (dominguez )ROWLAND MADELINE 116 15.00    
GOLOVKIN Mar04 Feb13 Jan29 Jan07   (guciardo kathy)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.00 7% 13.80    
BRIDGEKEEPER Mar19 Feb13 Feb06 Jan19   (russo victo)GARCIA A 120 15.00    
10  CLEMSON TIGER Jan07 Jan01       (schistl rafae)CHAVES ELIONE 120 8.00    
SCR  BATTLE CREEK Mar19 Feb25 Feb06     (ali alnaz)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 5.00 9% 10.20    
SCR  OVERPRAISE Mar19 Feb25 Feb06 Feb02 Jan12 (banks chris)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 20.00    
SCR  MR. SARCASTIC Mar23 Mar04 Jan29     (granitz)DE CRUZ 120 12.00    
SCR  TREASURE RUN Mar19         (rarick lynn)DELGADO DAVID 120 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.