Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Hawthorne
Sunday - April 10, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HAW-1   04/10/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIR ACEALOT Feb25 Feb12       (martinez r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 1.80 54% 0.80    
DARE GOES DA DEVIL Jan14         (matthews dou)TAVARES JAVIER 115 3.00    
ALPINE GHOST Apr01 Mar18 Feb12 Jan08   (haran john)URDANETA J 121 8.00    
JUST RIGHT MIKE Mar02 Feb09       (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 5.00    
COCO BRAVADO         (spagnola ida)RIVERA BRYAN 111 4.50    
SCR  GOLD INCENSE         (martinez ralph )BOWEN ROCCO 121 8.00 6% 14.80    
 
HAW-2   04/10/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINNING QUALITY Mar20 Mar01 Feb06     (claire alexis)FELIX E 121 2.00    
SINGING ALLI         (dizeo dino)LOPEZ A 121 8.00    
GO STORMIN GIRL Apr02 Mar11       (cook brian)BAIRD T 121 3.50 17% 4.90    
FLYING BUSINESS         (candelas bla)TAVARES JAVIER 121 4.50 15% 5.80    
HEY HEY Jan14         (candelas )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 5.00    
HIDENSEEK SALLY Mar11 Feb16 Jan14     (martinez r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.00 33% 2.10    
 
HAW-3   04/10/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMARI S. Apr02 Mar19 Mar10 Feb17 Jan22 (hernandez ja)TAVARES JAVIER 124 5.00    
SCR  PIPPITY DO DA Apr02         (perez manny)REYES ANGEL 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
RULER DAENERYS Apr02         (sanchez osca)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 10.00    
CHINA STAR Apr02 Feb16 Jan01     (rivelli larry)BAIRD T 117 2.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  NEW CHINA         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 1.60 39% 1.60    
SANGFROID Feb17 Feb02       (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
WEEKEND PASS Mar24 Mar02 Feb19 Jan11   (meraz anto)URDANETA J 124 8.00    
 
HAW-4   04/10/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KIMBERLY FRANCES Apr02         (sanchez oscar)MOJICA O 121 8.00 19% 4.20    
DARING DAMSEL Mar03 Jan23       (hernandez ja)TAVARES JAVIER 121 6.00 16% 5.40    
WATCHIN THE WHEELS         (quinonez max)ORTIZ ALVIN 121 4.00    
SILVERA Feb24 Feb12       (candelas blanca)FELIX E 121 20.00    
ON A TOUR Mar24 Mar03 Feb10 Jan19   (brooks geral)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 0.60 22% 3.60    
LITTLE CHICK         (hughes ea)ULLOA JOAN 121 15.00    
IRISH HALO         (perez manny)RIVERA BRYAN 111 20.00 12% 7.20    
 
HAW-5   04/10/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMUGGLER'S GHOST Feb26 Jan16       (watkins m)FELIX E 121 2.50 42% 1.40    
SCR  SHMILY         (bentler do)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 5.00 32% 2.10    
MAGI Mar13 Jan08       (rodriguez edua)SANJUR SANTO 121 20.00    
PACHI         (quinonez max)EMIGH A 121 3.50    
SCR  SIRCORRI Jan01         (bentler don)ORTIZ ALVIN 121 15.00    
DOLLAR BLUE         (martinez ralph)RIVERA BRYAN 111 12.00    
COMFORT ME NOW Feb26 Feb10 Jan14     (martinez a)MOJICA O 121 6.00    
TRY TRY AGAIN Apr03 Feb26 Feb10 Jan16   (hernandez ja)TAVARES JAVIER 121 4.00    
 
HAW-6   04/10/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LT. JUNIOR GRADE Mar25 Jan30       (claire alexis)FELIX E 121 12.00    
TWO COOKIE RULE         (poulos de)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 15.00    
BACKSHOT Mar16 Jan21       (bigelow e)SANJUR SANTO 121 6.00    
CROSSTOWN SHOOTOUT Mar10 Jan14       (brooks geral)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 5.00 43% 1.30    
HERE COMES KYLE Mar03 Feb10 Jan20     (lopez elias)MOJICA O 121 6.00    
LAUDA SPEED         (brooks ger)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 10.00    
MEDAL OF FACT Feb11 Jan08       (reavis l)BAIRD T 121 3.00 14% 5.90    
ARCHIEMYBOY Jan29         (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 4.50 11% 8.30    
JOLTING JOE Mar03 Feb10 Jan29     (cook bria)ULLOA JOAN 121 15.00    
SCR  WILD WES         (poulos dee)EMIGH A 121 15.00 7% 13.30    
 
HAW-7   04/10/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY CLARE Mar16 Feb18 Jan14     (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 114 4.50    
GOOD MONGOLIA Feb20 Jan30 Jan09     (rodriguez hugo)BOWEN ROCCO 121 3.50    
SEAWARD Apr02 Mar05 Feb12 Jan15   (hernandez javier)FELIX E 121 8.00 16% 5.30    
WAVE OF GOODNESS Apr02 Feb11 Jan07     (hernandez ar)TAVARES JAVIER 121 4.00 18% 4.70    
TELLMEONASUNDAY Mar01 Feb03       (silva h)MOJICA O 121 1.60 39% 1.60    
HOT DAME Mar31 Mar18 Mar05 Feb19 Jan29 (hernandez )URDANETA J 121 10.00    
 
HAW-8   04/10/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILK TRADE         (tracy tanner)SANJUR SANTO 121 20.00    
ALEBRIJE Mar12 Feb28 Jan02     (lopez elias)MOJICA O 115 15.00    
THRILL RIDE         (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 5.00    
TOM'S LAST GENERAL Apr02 Feb12 Jan16     (hernandez ja)TAVARES JAVIER 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
VALIANT VINNY         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 1.40 72% 0.40    
BASEBALL POLITICS Mar11 Feb12 Jan22     (manley steve)BAIRD T 121 6.00    
FIRST MASAMUNE         (slager le)ULLOA JOAN 121 8.00    
KHOZAN'S SUCCESS Feb13 Jan08       (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 8.00    
TWIRLING ROSES Mar18 Mar01 Jan30     (rodriguez eduar)BOWEN ROCCO 121 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.