Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fonner Park
Sunday - April 10, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FON-1   04/10/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLD NOTE Apr02 Mar06       (burns dale)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 2.50    
R DUB Mar25         (rushton temple)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00    
BUBBAS DIXIE Mar19 Mar05 Feb20     (mitchell stetson)TOHILL S 124 5.00    
SCR  OMEN OF CHANGE Mar25 Mar12 Feb26     (bethke troy )BETHKE A 124 3.00 57% 0.80    
AMERIPOINT Mar26 Mar12       (lemburg mark)OLESIAK JAKE 124 3.50    
HYPER DRIVE Mar19 Mar12 Feb19     (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 4.00 5% 18.90    
 
FON-2   04/10/2022 2640ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WOKE UP WILD Apr02 Mar13 Feb27     (dieter dalton)WOOD DAKOTA 124 2.50    
BACKCHATTER Apr02 Mar13 Feb27 Feb19   (ecoffey gilber)OLESIAK JAKE 124 15.00    
ROCKIN ROG Mar13 Feb27 Feb09 Jan22   (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 124 4.00    
CANTWAITTOGRADUATE Apr01 Mar18 Mar04 Feb19   (condon schuyle)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 5.00    
IMA SUNNY SONG Mar18 Mar04 Feb12 Feb03 Jan05 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 124 3.50 39% 1.60    
REALTOR DANNY D Feb27         (montano wilfrid)LEON A 124 10.00    
SCR  COUNTRY BOY CHARM Mar04 Feb19       (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 3.00 31% 2.30    
 
FON-3   04/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($8.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TURFY Jan16         (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 3.00 10% 9.40    
BOLD IMAGE Mar13 Feb26       (rushton temple)JUDE JOHN 124 8.00    
BUD MINISTER Mar26 Mar20 Feb27 Jan15   (hibdon n)OLESIAK JAKE 124 6.00    
CHISMOSO Feb26 Jan22       (chavez juan)TOHILL S 120 2.00 23% 3.30    
HALO JAX Mar20 Feb25       (anderson david )WOOD DAKOTA 124 2.50 39% 1.50    
SIDE STREET DAVE         (sanderson br)BETHKE A 124 12.00    
 
FON-4   04/10/2022 2640ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($4.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CORRANA EN LIMEN Feb19         (arceo salvador)MARTINEZ A 124 3.50    
THEBOYZDELIGHT Mar11         (haar robert )BETHKE A 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
CREAKY CRICKET Feb25         (ness john)OLESIAK JAKE 124 8.00    
OUTRUN THE POSSE         (donlin d)RAMOS B 124 5.00 67% 0.50    
PIERPONT Mar26 Feb25       (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.00    
AMACE         (montano wilfrid)LEON A 124 15.00    
DANCE FOR RANSOM Mar26 Mar11 Feb25 Feb20   (ecoffey gilbert)WOOD DAKOTA 124 2.50    
BIG MACINTOSH Mar26 Mar11 Feb27     (condon schuyle)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 8.00    
 
FON-5   04/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($9.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  YAYASGOTMOREGAME Mar26 Mar13       (thompson grady)MARTINEZ A 124 2.50 7% 13.30    
YE BE JUDGED Mar26 Mar12 Feb26     (black marissa)WOOD DAKOTA 124 3.50 20% 4.10    
L B GOLD Mar26 Mar13 Feb26     (krause bill)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 3.00    
TREPI'S TRPL CROWN         (luark e)LUARK T 119 15.00    
SUPER CHARLIE Mar12 Mar05 Feb01     (bethke troy )BETHKE A 124 4.50 18% 4.50    
CHARED Mar26 Mar19 Feb26     (hoffman robert)JUDE JOHN 124 15.00    
BARTENDERS MISTAKE Mar26 Mar12 Feb26     (condon schuyler)TOHILL S 124 4.00 26% 2.80    
KAMIKAZE JUDGE Mar12 Feb26       (black marissa)RAMOS B 124 15.00    
 
FON-6   04/10/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVEN PANDURA Mar04         (sanderson br)BETHKE A 124 4.50    
MEAN ERIKA Mar13         (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 4.00 19% 4.30    
LONG MONDAY Apr02 Mar11 Mar05     (condon schuyle)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 5.00    
HARLONS COMMISION Mar11 Jan21 Jan01     (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 124 2.00 25% 3.00    
GOODNIGHTLOVING Apr02 Mar13 Mar05     (anderson david)OLESIAK JAKE 124 10.00 11% 7.90    
MISS OCEAN EXPRESS Mar27         (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 8.00 13% 6.60    
WITT'S TENNY TEN Mar16 Feb19 Feb11 Jan22   (gourneau jerry)WOOD DAKOTA 124 3.00    
 
FON-7   04/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET CAPRI Mar27 Mar13 Mar05 Feb20   (mitchell stetson)JUDE JOHN 124 8.00    
MOON LOVIN Mar27 Mar13 Feb27     (martinez kelli)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SPILLED PERFUME Mar27 Mar13 Mar05 Feb21 Jan30 (falldorf fred)TOHILL S 124 5.00    
COUVERTURE Apr03 Mar13 Mar05 Feb19   (anderson david)OLESIAK JAKE 124 3.50 64% 0.60    
D L'S GIRL Mar27 Mar11 Feb20     (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 124 10.00    
MY RACING HEART Mar27 Mar18 Feb25 Feb10 Jan29 (gourneau jerry)WOOD DAKOTA 124 6.00    
AIR WALKER         (compton jesse)HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00    
TALE OF THE TAVERN         (montano wilfrid)LEON A 124 4.00 8% 11.60    
SCR  SENTIMENTAL CROSS Mar25 Mar06       (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 3.00    
 
FON-8   04/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($4.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEST COAST BROKER Mar25 Mar12 Feb26     (anderson david )WOOD DAKOTA 124 10.00    
KING OF ANYTHING Mar25 Mar04       (compton jesse)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.00 41% 1.40    
ASTUTE WARRIOR Feb20         (ness john)TOHILL S 124 5.00 10% 9.50    
RENVYLE Mar26 Mar12 Feb20     (hawley joe)RAMOS B 124 6.00    
TICK TACK MO Mar26 Mar11 Mar04 Feb20   (bethke troy )BETHKE A 124 8.00    
GREEN CARD Mar26 Mar06       (hawley joe)JUDE JOHN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
KID'S MISCHIEF Mar26 Mar20       (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 3.00 12% 7.60    
SAMURAI MIKE Mar26 Mar12 Feb25     (haar j)CHICKENESS S 124 15.00    
ARCHRIVAL Mar12         (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 15.00    
10  DEJA CREW Feb26         (mitzner ronald)OLESIAK JAKE 124 2.50 12% 7.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.