Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Thursday - April 07, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-1   04/07/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VICKSLINCOLNLAWYER Mar05 Feb11 Jan15     (asmussen m)DIEGO V 123 15.00    
SCR  ROYAL TAP Mar31 Mar16 Feb25 Jan13   (broberg kar)WETHEY JR 115 8.00 14% 6.00    
3  VALID SILVER CHARM         (martinez )STEINBERG GARRETT 123 30.00    
4  SILVER AND GOLD Mar18 Mar09 Feb11 Jan30   (j)DE CRUZ 123 4.00 ★    
5  MR B QUIET Mar25 Mar09 Feb11     (gustafson aus)EIKLEBERRY RY 115 1.80 24% 3.20    
6  GHOSTER Mar03 Feb04 Jan06     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 2.50 33% 2.10    
7  FIRST BUMP RIDGE Mar18 Mar03 Feb12 Feb04 Jan21 (kotara ronald)MORA GERARDO 123 4.50 5% 19.00    
 
HOU-2   04/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3 ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOOGE Mar09         (a)DE CRUZ 122 4.00 ★    
SCR  MAD GOLD Apr01 Mar23 Mar03     (hebert matt)LUZZI J 122 2.00 42% 1.40    
3  SIDE BAR (IRE) Feb26 Feb11       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 4.50 23% 3.30    
4  RUSSET MOON Mar23 Mar03       (duhon paul)DIEGO V 122 6.00 ★    
5  TRUE DAKOTAN Feb23 Jan09       (hebert matt)HAMILTON WESTON 122 12.00 8% 12.30    
6  RICKI TORNADO Mar25 Mar09 Jan01     (short thomas)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 2.50    
 
HOU-3   04/07/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAYDAR'S DREAM Mar24 Feb04       (padilla car)HAMILTON WESTON 123 20.00 ★    
2  BALKY Mar24 Jan28 Jan08     (duhon paul)DIEGO V 123 15.00    
3  RIDING THE TRAIN         (pearson m)SANCHEZ M 123 12.00    
SCR  PINKY RING BLING Feb19 Jan20       (cravens)GONCALVES R 115 4.50 5% 19.00    
5  HONDO LANE Mar25 Jan21       (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 123 10.00    
6  INVINCIBILITY Mar10 Feb17 Jan17     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 2.50 47% 1.10    
7  SPECIAL BINGO         (grimaldo jo)RAMIREZ PAULINA 123 15.00    
8  RIDE RICHIE RIDE Mar25 Mar16 Feb09 Jan16 Jan01 (broberg kar)WETHEY JR 123 8.00 ★    
9  SAMS TIME Feb19 Jan20 Jan06     (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 3.50 26% 2.90    
10  NANAS BOY Feb05         (w)DE CRUZ 123 6.00    
 
HOU-4   04/07/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($21K) 3 F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SUMMER CAT Mar03 Feb12 Jan21     (eoff terry)ERAMIA E 122 6.00 10% 9.00    
2  BARLEYGIRL Feb23 Jan21       (asmusse)GONCALVES R 122 2.50 19% 4.20    
3  THE CAT CAME BACK         (j)DE CRUZ 122 10.00    
4  L G GIRL Mar25 Mar02 Feb16 Feb02   (castellanos j)EIKLEBERRY RY 122 8.00 ★    
5  LADY SIERRA Mar04 Feb12       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 3.00 27% 2.80    
6  ROSIE OKIE         (padilla car)HAMILTON WESTON 122 20.00    
7  SOUL SET FREE Mar24 Jan29       (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 122 2.00 23% 3.30    
 
HOU-5   04/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13K) 35 ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RAMSHACK Mar23 Mar09       (padilla carlo)LARA EZEQUIEL 115 4.50 11% 7.90    
2  SKY WATCH Mar16 Feb10       (uball)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 118 20.00    
3  SCREENPLAY Mar23 Jan28       (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 123 1.20 53% 0.90    
SCR  TERRY LEE Mar25         (echeverria hect)BENAVIDES D 123 15.00 5% 17.50    
5  KNIGHTED Mar23 Mar03 Feb16     (padilla car)HAMILTON WESTON 115 12.00 5% 17.50    
6  GUARDSMAN PASS Mar25 Feb17 Jan14     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 2.50 ★    
7  OAK HILL SOLUTION Mar17 Jan01       (govea cesar)MORA GERARDO 115 8.00    
 
HOU-6   04/07/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRULY DANZIG Feb11         (willis )GONCALVES R 123 15.00    
2  VIM AND VIGOR Mar16 Feb05 Jan08     (short tho)STEINBERG GARRETT 123 30.00    
3  SWEET MEDICINE Feb26 Jan30 Jan22     (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  WHISKEY NOT WINE Jan29         (lucarelli )ERAMIA E 123 15.00    
SCR  TALE TWISTER Mar18 Feb23 Jan20 Jan07   (jacks k)GONCALVES R 123 2.00 23% 3.40    
6  DECLARATIONOFSPEED Feb23 Jan27       (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 15.00    
SCR  FIRST AVENUE Mar16 Feb18 Jan27 Jan08   (hurley re)MORA GERARDO 123 4.00 5% 19.00    
8  MORRICONE Mar09 Feb09 Jan15 Jan06   (morris rowd)MELANCON JANSEN 123 12.00    
9  STANS HOOKIN BULL Mar26 Feb19 Jan30     (j)DE CRUZ 123 6.00    
10  PAYNTER PARTY Jan30 Jan08       (duhon paul)DIEGO V 123 3.00 24% 3.20    
11  MAU MAU (BRZ) Mar12 Feb17 Feb09 Jan21 Jan08 (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 123 10.00    
12  OLD SOT Feb17 Jan30 Jan08     (cravens ronn)ALVAREZ L 123 6.00    
13  FRANK THE MAYOR Feb19         (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 12.00    
14  HALF OURS TO KEEP Feb17 Jan30 Jan20 Jan08   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 4.00 26% 2.90    
 
HOU-7   04/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREAMS OF VALOR         (diodoro rob)WETHEY JR 119 10.00    
SCR  ERNIE BANKER Apr02 Mar20 Mar05 Feb27 Feb11 (broberg karl)DIEGO V 123 1.60 36% 1.80    
3  HALF OURS N STORMY Mar25 Mar10 Feb05 Jan21   (castellanos ja)MORA GERARDO 119 6.00 ★    
SCR  RIVER RULER Mar17 Feb24 Feb04 Jan07   (willis )GONCALVES R 119 12.00    
5  TIN BADGE Mar17 Feb18       (stuart clint)ALVAREZ L 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BANJO BILL Mar31 Mar10       (morris rowd)MELANCON JANSEN 119 20.00    
7  ROSIE'S OUTLAW Mar10 Feb17 Jan28 Jan15 Jan08 (dupuy allen)ELLIOTT S 121 3.50 36% 1.80    
8  RELEASE THE BEAST Feb28 Feb06 Jan16     (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 119 3.00 5% 19.00    
 
HOU-8   04/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 45 ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUDA MATT Feb17         (swi)RODRIGUEZ ALBERTO 123 30.00    
2  COLEMAN CREEK Mar03 Jan28 Jan06     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 2.50 5% 17.60    
3  FORREST Mar09         (castellanos ja)MORA GERARDO 123 30.00    
4  RUSH THE COLORS Feb17 Jan15       (calhoun willia)LUZZI J 123 1.00 72% 0.40    
5  CRAZY RIDGE Mar31 Mar05 Feb09 Jan13   (kotar)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 118 20.00    
6  INFINITE MORO Mar16 Feb26 Feb05 Jan21 Jan13 (k)DE CRUZ 123 15.00 ★    
7  KITTY CAT BLING Mar12         (ewing e)HUGHES CARLY 118 20.00 ★    
8  FINAL NARRATIVE Mar04 Feb10 Jan27     (pish dann)STEINBERG GARRETT 123 12.00    
9  MORO LEGEND Mar24 Mar09 Feb21     (glover trac)HAMILTON WESTON 123 6.00 ★    
 
HOU-9   04/07/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHAT NOW MY LOVE         (pearson m)HUGHES CARLY 118 30.00    
2  THINKITASADONATION Mar02 Feb09       (garza joa)STEINBERG GARRETT 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BONUS BABY Feb25 Jan22       (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 2.00    
4  O CHITA Mar02         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 115 4.50 16% 5.50    
5  LOVEY DOVEY Mar10 Feb24       (rossi j)DIEGO V 123 4.00    
6  TELLING THYME Mar09 Feb09       (gustafson aus)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 6.00 27% 2.70    
7  PUT A BLING ON IT Feb24 Jan13       (caldwell r)LUZZI J 115 20.00    
8  CHA Mar12 Feb24 Feb10     (stuart )GONCALVES R 115 15.00    
9  IRMA M Mar02 Jan21       (willi)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 118 12.00    
10  LIGHT SHIFT Mar09 Feb09 Jan21     (davidson br)LARA EZEQUIEL 123 10.00 11% 8.00    
11  TEXAS BLUEBONNET Mar03         (hebert matt)MORA GERARDO 115 15.00    
12  SUMMERJUSTBET HER Feb25         (tracy greg)MELANCON JANSEN 115 8.00    
13  BALLERINI Jan20         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 115 3.50 22% 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.