Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Will Rogers Downs
Tuesday - April 05, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
WRD-1   04/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($11.55K) 3 F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN A FIRE Mar29         (hunt char)TRIANA JR 122 3.50 18% 4.70    
BLACK CHEETAH Feb23         (ramirez rosa )PUSAC ALBERTO 122 6.00    
MOUNTAIN HEART Feb23 Feb09 Jan19     (dixon tim)MEDINA ANGEL 122 15.00    
SECRET AVENGER         (ashford ra)JORDAN R 117 2.00 8% 11.00    
REINA DEL SUR Mar12 Feb12       (young scott)WETHEY JR 122 3.00 50% 1.00    
HEY SISSY Mar29 Feb16 Feb02     (dixon tim)KIMES C 122 5.00    
CUTE BLONDE         (padilla carlos)MORA GERARDO 122 15.00    
 
WRD-2   04/05/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($12.65K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE HEAT IS ON Mar30 Feb19 Jan20     (dixon tim)KIMES C 118 5.00    
LIVINGONTULSATIME Mar21 Feb23 Jan16     (engel roger )JORDAN R 113 2.50 18% 4.70    
TWILITE LIASON Mar22 Jan29       (applebee davi)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 3.00    
FROSTED PRAYER Mar22         (david ron)MEDINA ANGEL 124 8.00    
BLUESKIESANDANGELS         (young scott)WETHEY JR 118 3.50 38% 1.60    
ROGUE BOY         (leddy do)CRUZ ROMAN 124 8.00 11% 7.80    
BRASSY FIRE Mar30         (ibarra jose)SANCHEZ OBED 124 8.00 7% 12.50    
 
WRD-3   04/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($20.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYALLY         (buehrer mar)WETHEY JR 124 2.00 62% 0.60    
BRODY'S STREAK Mar04 Jan16       (hartman alex)JORDAN R 113 1.80    
SCR  RACE DAY REBAL         (williams )MEDINA ANGEL 115 6.00    
SHAMAYIM Feb19 Jan27       (ramirez e)SANCHEZ OBED 118 4.00    
TROY OUNCE Mar21 Feb24 Jan26     (ferrell jory)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 3.50    
 
WRD-4   04/05/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THEYCALLHERPINKY Mar21 Mar02 Jan07     (young scott)WETHEY JR 124 3.50 44% 1.30    
LILLY BELLE Mar21         (williams )MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50    
SANDY CREST         (crawford )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 5.00    
SWEET SMOKIN GAL Mar21         (williams f)CRUZ ROMAN 124 20.00    
ICY CAPE Mar21 Mar06 Feb08 Jan18 Jan02 (smith paul )HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 3.00 24% 3.10    
HUSHED Mar21         (rodriguez marti)KIMES C 124 4.00    
ROCKIN RONI         (ibarra jose)SANCHEZ OBED 124 10.00    
 
WRD-5   04/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOSPEL LUCILLE         (williams ste)JORDAN R 119 3.00    
JESSIE'S VALENTINE         (engel roger )RICHARD RONALD 121 2.50    
MAGIC MINDY         (morales arnol)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 6.00 15% 5.80    
QUEENOFTHERAINBOW Feb24 Jan07       (young scott)WETHEY JR 118 4.00    
THE ONE FOR FUN Mar29         (gladd kassi)HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 6.00 18% 4.50    
BILLIE G Mar22         (swango ra)TRIANA JR 124 3.50 17% 4.80    
 
WRD-6   04/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S A PLAYER         (luneack t)TRIANA JR 118 6.00    
ROSIE FLASHBACK         (cummins d)MEDINA ANGEL 124 4.00    
GOSPEL CHARITY         (williams f)CRUZ ROMAN 118 20.00    
BENDELENE Mar11 Feb05       (padilla carlos)MORA GERARDO 124 1.60 57% 0.80    
INCLUDE THE LOVE         (padilla carlos)SANCHEZ OBED 124 6.00    
ACELA EXPRESS Mar22         (birzer bonni)JORDAN R 113 2.00 22% 3.60    
 
WRD-7   04/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($25.08K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPTAIN COMEBACK         (williams f)KIMES C 124 12.00    
AVENGING WARRIOR Feb18         (williams )MEDINA ANGEL 115 6.00 26% 2.90    
GO DRAG UP         (dunlap shon)HERRERA GUSTAVO 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
LEGIONARY         (young sco)TRIANA JR 118 6.00    
SCR  HOPGUN         (lee mark)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 118 20.00    
THAT'S SOMETHING Mar29 Feb27 Feb12 Jan15   (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
BECKETT'S LUCKYDAY Mar29 Jan06       (swan e)SANCHEZ OBED 118 8.00    
INCA EMPIRE Mar10 Feb18 Jan06     (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 118 8.00    
OSWALD COBBLEPOT Feb26 Feb05 Jan07     (ashford ra)JORDAN R 116 3.00 32% 2.20    
10  YOU'REOBADBOY         (horner liz)CRUZ ROMAN 124 3.50 11% 8.30    
 
WRD-8   04/05/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAHOMEITE Feb25 Jan28       (blatchford g)RICHARD RONALD 118 12.00    
DREAMS AFFIRMED Mar21         (nichols a)STEINBERG GARRETT 124 30.00    
JAMBI Mar21         (hale jame)TRIANA JR 118 6.00    
SCR  SOLDIER'S FIGHT Mar23 Feb16       (corderman)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 118 4.00 22% 3.50    
UNBRIDLED GUY Mar30         (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 124 2.50 12% 7.50    
DEPUTY REAGAN         (ater jackie)HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
LANCE THEATER         (belt stacy)CRUZ ROMAN 118 6.00    
TIZ STRONG Mar23 Mar12 Feb26 Feb10   (martin st)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.00 41% 1.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.