Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Will Rogers Downs
Monday - April 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
WRD-1   04/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KWIK         (ibarra jose)SANCHEZ OBED 121 6.00 8% 12.10    
KNIGHT DISRUPTOR Mar25 Mar10       (williams steve)MORA GERARDO 124 2.00 50% 1.00    
GRAND ROYALE Mar21         (williams f)KIMES C 121 1.40 16% 5.30    
AFLEET SNIPER Mar21 Mar12 Feb24 Feb09 Jan08 (pruitt jo)TRIANA JR 124 3.50    
YESTERYEAR         (ashford ra)JORDAN R 116 6.00    
 
WRD-2   04/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HERE'S YOUR DRINK         (martin st)MEDINA ANGEL 124 15.00    
CONTINENTAL COWBOY Mar21         (cogburn l)KIMES C 124 12.00    
SOME DUDE Mar29         (bravo fra)TRIANA JR 124 3.00 19% 4.30    
OSIYO Mar29 Mar04 Jan28     (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 119 4.00    
BACKSTAGE BUD Mar21         (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 3.50 14% 6.20    
SINNER REJOICE         (pogue bob)CRUZ ROMAN 124 8.00    
STEELY CAPER Mar22 Mar04 Feb17 Jan28 Jan07 (pish danny)WETHEY JR 124 2.50 39% 1.60    
WILD RUMBLE         (espiritu lucio)MORA GERARDO 124 20.00    
 
WRD-3   04/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($25.08K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOSPEL GINA         (williams f)KIMES C 124 6.00 10% 9.40    
SMOKIN' OKIE Mar30         (padilla carlos)MORA GERARDO 115 3.00    
SMOKEY REFLECTION Mar21         (swan patrick)JORDAN R 116 8.00    
VALENTINA LIL         (lee mark)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 20.00    
I'M A STEPHANIE Mar21 Feb12 Jan06     (george wayne)SANCHEZ OBED 121 20.00    
WHAT A BABE         (craddock )TRIANA JR 118 2.50 18% 4.40    
PLENTY OF VISION         (young scott)WETHEY JR 118 1.60 47% 1.10    
 
WRD-4   04/04/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THAT'S WHAT I SAY Mar21 Mar05 Jan23 Jan01   (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 5.00    
JOHN ALLEN         (donaldson)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 118 15.00    
DECEMBER SEVEN Feb23 Feb12 Jan20     (tracy greg)JORDAN R 113 2.50 46% 1.20    
GOT MOJO Mar21 Mar11 Feb24 Feb09 Jan20 (williams st)HERRERA GUSTAVO 118 8.00    
MIDNIGHT REVOLT Mar21 Feb11 Jan28 Jan14   (dixon tim)KIMES C 124 4.00    
ALWAYS A CATCH Feb18         (birzer bo)TRIANA JR 118 3.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  I'M AN EIGHT Mar10 Feb26 Feb16     (moreno carlos)MORA GERARDO 118 4.00    
 
WRD-5   04/04/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY FORTUNATE SON Mar21 Feb16 Feb03 Jan22   (martin timoth)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 2.50 64% 0.60    
CAJUNS GOLDEN POND Mar21         (dixon tim)KIMES C 124 4.00    
BEST YEAR YET Mar21         (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 124 6.00    
A FLICKER OFSILVER Mar21         (davis steve)HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 8.00    
EL VALE         (ibarra jose)MORA GERARDO 124 3.50    
MAGIC CARPET Mar12         (quinonez elo)JORDAN R 119 3.00    
ONE SILVER DOLLAR Mar21         (cogburn l)CRUZ ROMAN 124 20.00 6% 16.70    
 
WRD-6   04/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIVER LIBERTY         (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 15.00    
SIGICRICKET         (swan patrick)JORDAN R 119 3.50 10% 8.90    
AFLEET OKIE         (ferrell j)MEDINA ANGEL 124 4.00    
MARIA ELENA Y. G         (engel roger )RICHARD RONALD 124 1.40 35% 1.90    
DIXIEFIED         (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 124 2.00 33% 2.00    
 
WRD-7   04/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CITY OF HOPE         (mitchell danny)SANCHEZ OBED 124 8.00    
GOSPEL TRUTH         (williams f)CRUZ ROMAN 118 20.00    
SCR  INSIDE JOB         (caster bo)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.00 17% 4.90    
GOD HELP US Mar21         (dunlap shon)HERRERA GUSTAVO 118 20.00    
TWICE THE PRICE Mar23 Mar04 Feb18     (ashford ra)JORDAN R 119 1.00 59% 0.70    
PRINCE OF EARL Mar04 Feb18 Jan01     (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 10.00    
MONET'S DEVIL         (cogburn l)KIMES C 124 15.00    
I CAN'T TELL YA         (luneack t)TRIANA JR 124 12.00    
 
WRD-8   04/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($20.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORA'S LEGACY Mar22         (bravo francis)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 12.00    
CANADA CANDY         (young sco)TRIANA JR 124 3.50 35% 1.90    
SEEING DOUBLE Mar19 Mar12 Jan13     (davidson bre)SANCHEZ OBED 124 4.00    
BRODIE BABY Mar17         (ashford ray)KIMES C 118 4.50 5% 19.00    
BIRDIE CURDY Feb27         (smith paul )HERRERA GUSTAVO 118 15.00    
SCR  SHE'S FIRE AND ICE Mar22         (engel roger )JORDAN R 119 3.00 32% 2.10    
DO YOU BILEVE         (swan patr)MEDINA ANGEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
ROZEY CHEEKS Mar22         (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 121 5.00    
 
WRD-9   04/04/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAINBOWS TREASURE Mar22         (rodriguez mart)SANCHEZ OBED 124 30.00    
KOBE BEAN Mar22 Feb16       (davidson )TRIANA JR 124 6.00    
LEDOUX WHAT IT DO         (ashford ray)KIMES C 118 12.00    
BEAR DEN         (biehler m)STEINBERG GARRETT 124 12.00    
ACTING WIZARD         (caster bo)MEDINA ANGEL 124 8.00    
SCR  IM THE MAN NOW Mar22         (rodriguez marti)CRUZ ROMAN 124 5.00 8% 11.80    
TRUE GLORY (IRE)         (williams alan)COLLIER T 124 4.00    
SMOOTH OPERATOR Mar22         (martin timoth)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 12.00    
DEVIL EYED DEXTER Mar22 Feb05 Jan13     (pish danny)WETHEY JR 118 6.00 27% 2.70    
10  CHARING CROSS Mar22         (padilla carlos)MORA GERARDO 124 8.00 43% 1.30    
11  MY REAL DIAMOND         (nolen kennet)JORDAN R 119 8.00    
12  JEANO Mar22         (brooks jimm)HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.