Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - April 01, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   04/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3 ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUM NOT BOURBON         (jones doug)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 8.00    
STREET LAMP Mar18 Mar12 Feb18 Feb04   (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 120 2.00 36% 1.80    
HAPPY CAJUN         (lanum crystal)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 6.00    
SCR  CALDINHO         (hamm timothy)BISONO J 120 4.50    
BRAMBLE BEACH Mar20 Jan21       (dini mike)MORALES PABLO 120 3.50    
MARSICO Mar12         (delgado jo)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 3.00 40% 1.50    
 
TAM-2   04/01/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.5K) 4UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PREFERRED OUTCOME Mar11 Feb16 Jan21     (ferraro anth)CASTANON L 122 1.50 29% 2.40    
YOUSHOULDBESOLUCKY Mar19 Mar11 Feb20 Feb05 Jan05 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 2.00    
MR LIGHTNING BOY Mar19 Mar04 Feb16 Jan19 Jan05 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 122 3.50 26% 2.90    
NOTORIOUS NICK Mar04         (arnett jon )GARCIA A 122 15.00    
PHILO Mar11 Feb13 Jan16     (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 122 10.00 8% 11.00    
GEMO Mar19 Mar04 Feb16 Jan26   (russo vic)RODRIGUEZ A 122 6.00    
 
TAM-3   04/01/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($21K) 3 F PT- 1:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
G G'S DARK STAR Mar16         (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 12.00    
SWEET SENSATION Feb26         (albertrani )GARCIA A 120 8.00    
LADY CREATIVE Mar12         (axmaker co)ROWLAND MADELINE 113 20.00    
SCR  ZOOMED IN         (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 120 4.00 15% 5.90    
SCR  HER NAME IS LOLA Feb16 Jan08       (sweezey kent)CAMACHO SAMY 120 8.00    
SONG OF THE HEART Feb19 Jan28 Jan12     (negrete ja)ALONSO LUIS 120 4.50 16% 5.30    
SCR  NO MO DANCING         (mccar)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 10.00    
SCR  HAPPY TWEET         (barbazoniii l)MORALES PABLO 120 6.00    
LUNA'S TREASURE Feb19         (o'connell kathl)BOWEN ROCCO 120 3.00 41% 1.50    
10  CURRENT CAUSE Mar11 Feb16       (duncan christ)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 10.00    
SCR  BELLA CASCATA Feb16 Jan09       (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 4.00 8% 11.30    
SCR  THECRADLEWILLROCK         (rodrigu)DE CRUZ 120 6.00    
SCR  HIDDEN SPRINGS         (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 8.00    
SCR  SALADA         (banach darwin)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 15.00    
 
TAM-4   04/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($19K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXPECT TO BE READY Feb20 Jan26 Jan09     (wilson tony)ARROYO MIGUEL 122 2.50 25% 3.00    
YABA DABA DIVA         (raven kerri)CASTANON L 120 6.00    
WICKED GOOD         (granitz ant)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 4.00    
JOYOUS FAIRY TALE Mar13 Jan26       (scocca linda)MERA C 122 10.00    
SCR  RISING FAITH         (jones douglas)HENRY WESLEY 122 12.00    
AMAZING GRACES JOY Mar13 Feb23       (mazza w)CAMACHO SAMY 122 6.00    
PONY GIRL Feb20         (boyce m)DE CRUZ 122 2.00 44% 1.30    
 
TAM-5   04/01/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOBLE CROSS Mar02         (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 123 5.00    
MAGIC BOMB Feb06 Jan09       (lorito mario)LOPEZ E 123 15.00    
DEREGULATION (GB) Mar25 Mar02       (terranova joh)MORALES PABLO 123 1.80 45% 1.20    
MIDNIGHT TEQUILA Mar13 Feb13 Jan22 Jan07   (munoz car)RODRIGUEZ A 123 8.00    
SCR  MISTER FERNANDO Mar25 Mar02       (azpurua edu)GARCIA A 123 20.00    
ASSERT DOMINANCE Mar13 Feb16 Jan28 Jan12   (mcgoey monica)FERRER C 123 10.00    
WICKED MOMENT Feb27 Feb06       (o'connell kathl)BOWEN ROCCO 123 12.00    
CAPE HEDGE Feb16 Jan09       (stewart j)CAMACHO SAMY 123 8.00    
SCR  BOURBON BROWN Mar04 Jan15       (ferraro m )ROWLAND MADELINE 116 3.00    
10  PALACE SINGER Feb16         (sweezey ken)VALDES ALEXIS 123 20.00    
11  CREATIVE CHOICE Mar04 Feb16 Jan28 Jan12   (allen lisa)ALLEN M 123 2.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  O DANNY BOY Mar04 Feb18 Jan23     (rieger harr)SPANABEL SKYLER 123 30.00    
SCR  PRINCE AMADEUS Mar04         (romero raf)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 10.00    
14  RAGING WHIRLWIND Mar04         (azpurua eduar)LOZADA CARLOS 123 30.00    
 
TAM-6   04/01/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LYRICAL Mar13 Feb19 Feb05 Jan12   (acker d)CAMACHO SAMY 122 12.00 6% 14.70    
ORNERY ANGEL Mar19 Mar09 Feb18 Jan07   (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 122 5.00    
BIONIC BOTTLE Mar02 Feb18       (delgado jos)MARIN A 118 6.00 10% 8.60    
HASTY LADY Mar13         (rarick lynn)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 1.20 30% 2.30    
PROBABLY GRACE Mar09 Mar02 Jan30 Jan01   (delgado jo)ORDONEZ R 118 5.00 27% 2.80    
TEE UP Mar09 Feb23 Jan29     (dye steven)GARCIA A 122 4.00    
WORKING OVERTIME Mar18 Mar06 Feb26 Jan26 Jan05 (wasiluk pet)SPANABEL SKYLER 118 12.00    
 
TAM-7   04/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($31K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET BABY RAELYNN         (guciardo k)ROWLAND MADELINE 111 15.00    
SCR  TRUE ATKA Feb09         (ochoa gera)ORDONEZ R 118 12.00    
BALLET SCHOOL Mar09 Feb16       (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 15.00    
BELLARIFIC Feb16 Jan14       (granitz)DE CRUZ 118 4.00    
KITTY KITTY Mar06 Feb16 Jan28     (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.00    
LADY JEAN Mar09 Feb16 Jan22 Jan01   (carrascojr vi)MORALES PABLO 118 2.00 25% 2.90    
BION MAGIC Mar02 Feb09 Jan22 Jan01   (vinson g)CASTANON L 118 2.50 26% 2.90    
PRINCESS LIVIA Feb16 Feb02       (padilla tim)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 12.00 24% 3.20    
 
TAM-8   04/01/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($31K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GROWL TIGER         (delac)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 0.80    
MONAASIB Feb23 Jan29       (escobar alison)BISONO J 122 12.00    
THE BEST DISTANCE         (me)SCALDAFERRI ROSANA 118 30.00    
WELD Mar11 Jan29       (nichols prisc)SOSA LAUREANO 108 20.00    
BLACK V. K. Feb25 Feb06 Jan23     (pimental john)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 20.00    
SCR  LORD BARNA Mar04 Feb05 Jan08     (o'connell kathl)CENTENO E 118 8.00 6% 16.10    
FIRSTCADETE Mar18 Feb11 Jan21     (machado)DE CRUZ 122 6.00    
LIFE CHANGER Feb19         (terranova joh)MORALES PABLO 118 4.00    
FORWARD MOTION         (ferraro anth)CASTANON L 118 10.00 68% 0.50    
 
TAM-9   04/01/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($8K) Purse ($16K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DR KAAK Feb27 Jan30 Jan16     (o'connell kathl)BOWEN ROCCO 120 3.50    
TIZ HERSELF Feb27 Feb13 Jan29 Jan09   (nunn douglas)BATISTA A 120 3.00    
TEGLA Jan30 Jan16       (jehaludi moh)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
ME SAY SO Mar13 Feb18 Jan15     (rhone berne)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 15.00    
R TENDERONI Mar06 Feb23 Feb05 Jan19   (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 123 4.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  LA VIEXA Mar13 Feb13 Jan23     (barboza victor)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.50 21% 3.80    
LOVIN LIVIN Feb27 Feb13 Jan29 Jan15 Jan09 (morzan javier)MORALES PABLO 120 8.00    
SILVER PACKAGE Mar13 Feb27 Feb13 Jan29   (machado an)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 20.00    
GRANDMARY Feb27 Feb13 Jan29 Jan09   (bennett)DE CRUZ 120 5.00 21% 3.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.