Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Will Rogers Downs
Wednesday - March 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
WRD-1   03/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
G'S STORM Mar21 Mar04 Feb10 Jan19 Jan01 (dixon tim)KIMES C 118 3.00    
HELLO HEARTBREAKER Mar21 Feb17 Jan19     (birzer bonni)JORDAN R 119 2.50 44% 1.30    
HE'S A PRINCE Mar16 Feb10 Jan08     (padilla carlos)MORA GERARDO 124 2.00 33% 2.00    
MIDNIGHT RIVER         (engel f)SANCHEZ OBED 118 3.00    
SUPER D'ORO Mar16 Mar04 Jan29     (davidson br)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 8.00    
 
WRD-2   03/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GONNA GETCHA Feb23 Feb11 Jan27     (martin timoth)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 8.00 10% 9.20    
GENTLE GEORGE Feb25         (martin st)MEDINA ANGEL 124 8.00    
CLIMB AND MAINTAIN         (biehler mic)WETHEY JR 118 2.50 10% 8.70    
DURITZ Mar05 Feb23 Jan27     (tracy greg)JORDAN R 119 3.00 47% 1.10    
CANDY BARON         (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 124 10.00    
THE HEAT IS ON Feb19 Jan20       (dixon tim)KIMES C 118 4.00    
DIRT BIKE SLADE Mar22 Feb22       (smith paul )HERRERA GUSTAVO 118 6.00    
SPECIAL FORTUNE Mar22         (blatchford georg)CRUZ ROMAN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
WRD-3   03/30/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORTHERN DYNASTY         (caster boyd)SANCHEZ OBED 121 8.00    
A ROZE AND WINE         (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 121 1.40 38% 1.70    
SARAHS HOME Feb16 Jan26 Jan08     (dixon tim)KIMES C 121 8.00    
TEMUJIN LADY         (williams alan)COLLIER T 121 4.00 17% 4.80    
BIG TINY         (buehrer mark)RICHARD RONALD 121 12.00    
DESTINY'S LOVE Feb26         (caster bo)MEDINA ANGEL 121 2.00 19% 4.30    
 
WRD-4   03/30/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23.76K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WOW WOW ITS MAGIC         (nolen kenneth)KIMES C 124 4.00 17% 5.00    
DEVINE CANDY Mar22 Feb26       (helzer e)SANCHEZ OBED 118 30.00    
OUTWORKTHEOKIEGIRL         (biehler micha)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 10.00    
COLLEENS VISION         (gunter mich)HERRERA GUSTAVO 118 20.00    
GOSPEL MOLLY         (williams ste)JORDAN R 113 15.00    
LIL' JIMMI SUE         (williams )MEDINA ANGEL 118 2.50 9% 10.50    
LENA'S SHADOW         (pogue bob)TRIANA JR 124 15.00    
DIAMOND GAL         (lewis jehu)RICHARD RONALD 118 20.00    
STAR ISLAND KITTY Mar11         (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SINNIN N GRINNIN         (craddock ka)WETHEY JR 118 3.00 49% 1.00    
11  SAYAAD AIN'T SO Mar21         (swan e)CRUZ ROMAN 113 12.00    
 
WRD-5   03/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
J BOB         (gunter mi)TRIANA JR 124 12.00    
PLENTY OF CENTS Jan30 Jan14       (young scott)WETHEY JR 118 5.00    
OUT RUN'M         (quinonez elo)JORDAN R 119 4.50    
OKLAHOMA HEAT Feb17 Jan28       (offolter s)KIMES C 124 2.50 21% 3.70    
PISSARRO'S MANDATE Jan02         (cogburn orr)HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 2.00 23% 3.40    
TAG ME Jan26         (ferrell jory)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 3.50 23% 3.30    
 
WRD-6   03/30/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($11.55K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HANDSOME HUNTER         (ibarra jose)SANCHEZ OBED 124 6.00    
KEETOOWAH THUNDER         (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 124 3.50    
BRASSY FIRE         (ibarra jose)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 3.00 56% 0.80    
MR. SMOKEY         (trett donal)HERRERA GUSTAVO 118 8.00 7% 13.30    
OCTAGON         (nolen kenne)WETHEY JR 118 4.00 7% 13.20    
LA' HOPPER Feb17 Jan22       (dixon tim)KIMES C 124 2.50    
FORTYSLEW Mar21         (blatchford georg)CRUZ ROMAN 113 20.00    
 
WRD-7   03/30/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($25.08K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHIVE UP         (engel f)SANCHEZ OBED 118 2.50 14% 6.10    
SMOKIN' OKIE         (padilla carlos)MORA GERARDO 118 4.00    
SERENIDIPITOUS DO         (young scott)WETHEY JR 118 3.00 27% 2.70    
HELLO SUNDAY (FR)         (caldwell )TRIANA JR 118 8.00    
MISS COFFEYVILLE         (ibarra jose)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 12.00    
BRING IT ON BABY         (williams )MEDINA ANGEL 118 2.00 25% 3.00    
 
WRD-8   03/30/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWAY BACK WHEN         (corderman)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 20.00    
OKIE CITY Mar22 Feb22 Jan28     (smith paul )HERRERA GUSTAVO 118 6.00    
IS VAIN         (pogue bob)CRUZ ROMAN 119 8.00    
TRUE GRIT         (buehrer m)MEDINA ANGEL 124 5.00 17% 4.70    
ULTRA SPECIAL Feb10 Jan08       (padilla carlos)MORA GERARDO 124 2.50 18% 4.40    
GOSPEL BANKER         (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 20.00    
MR L B J Mar22 Feb26 Feb10 Jan28 Jan06 (pruitt jo)TRIANA JR 124 3.50 19% 4.40    
UNBRIDLED GUY         (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 124 3.00 17% 4.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.