Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Friday - March 25, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   03/25/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($26.4K) 3 F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHICA RABIOSA Mar11 Feb12 Jan23     (gonzalez claudio)CRUZ ANGEL 121 2.00 72% 0.40    
LOLA FLO Mar11 Mar05 Feb18 Feb12 Jan29 (cash l)ACOSTA D 121 8.00    
SKYLAR'S LADY Feb12 Jan23 Jan01     (frock ch)BUTTERFLY L 114 4.00    
LUCKBEALADYTONIGHT         (nambo )ENRIQUEZ JR 110 20.00    
SAX Feb21 Jan22       (lawrence )CARRASCO R 121 3.50    
MIZ THE BEST Mar11 Feb12 Jan23     (walters henry)AVILES YAN 114 20.00    
HELIACAL RISING Feb25 Feb18 Jan28     (gonzalez cla)BARBOSA JEIRON 111 2.50    
 
LRL-2   03/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($23.1K) 35 ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NINETYNINE EXCUSES Feb25 Jan30 Jan16     (delgado p)DELGADO A 126 4.50 5% 19.00    
I WANT MORE         (corrales jo)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 20.00    
SCR  FADING SCARS         (leaf robert)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 126 1.80 45% 1.20    
TUCKER ROAD Feb26 Jan30       (sepulveda carl)ROSADO JOHAN 116 20.00    
AMICALOLA FALLS Feb24 Feb13       (eppler e)GOMEZ KEVIN 112 4.00 7% 13.10    
DUNE DUNE Feb20 Jan20       (volpe john)AVILES YAN 115 6.00    
LOOKIN FOR JUSTICE Mar06 Feb11 Jan23     (eubanks annette )CRUZ ANGEL 122 6.00    
CHAUFFEUR Feb20 Feb03 Jan20     (salzman e)ARAUJO DENIS 122 6.00 21% 3.80    
 
LRL-3   03/25/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.7K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLATEXCEL Feb01         (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 4.00 25% 3.10    
SCR  PERCHER Mar11 Mar04 Jan28     (maldonado jonath)ACOSTA D 126 3.00 21% 3.80    
WHIRLIN CURLIN Mar13 Mar05 Feb19     (mohan da)BUTTERFLY L 119 3.50    
JAMMIN STILL Feb11         (kee j)ROSADO JOHAN 123 20.00 11% 8.20    
LUDICROUS MODE Mar11 Mar05 Feb13 Feb03 Jan21 (sanchez-salo)BARBOSA JEIRON 116 8.00    
SCR  KRACHENWAGEN Mar19 Feb24       (mcmahon hugh )ALVELO C 121 6.00    
SCR  BREEZE BURNER Feb15 Jan28       (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 126 4.00 11% 7.70    
MY SACRED PLACE Feb19 Feb03 Jan16     (rodriguez jesus)AVILES YAN 116 10.00    
 
LRL-4   03/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($27.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COOKE BROTHERS Mar19 Mar05 Feb20     (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 123 20.00    
KEEPING THE PEACE Mar01 Feb13 Jan29 Jan16   (leaf robe)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 12.00    
BEVERLY PARK Mar15 Feb23 Feb18 Feb13 Jan27 (cash l)ACOSTA D 126 1.20 36% 1.80    
MILITARY HOP Mar05 Feb18 Jan28 Jan05   (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 1.60 37% 1.70    
ROCK AND FELLERS (ARG) Mar05 Jan16       (pradenas serg)KARAMANOS A 123 10.00 6% 14.70    
AMEN CORNER Mar11 Feb18 Jan27     (nazario pedro)ROSADO JOHAN 123 10.00    
TOP BOSS Mar11 Mar05 Feb13 Feb04 Jan27 (mohan da)BUTTERFLY L 119 8.00    
 
LRL-5   03/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($34.65K) 3 F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONNECTED LASSIE         (dilodovico )MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 8.00    
SCR  SOULSTONE Mar09 Jan08       (maroun douglas)AVILES YAN 117 20.00    
GOOD STORY Feb18         (eppler m)BUTTERFLY L 117 6.00    
SCR  THUNDER BOSS         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 3.00 52% 0.90    
SHINELIKEADIAMOND Mar13         (keefe l)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 3.50 7% 13.30    
MISS FOXANN Feb26 Feb10 Jan21     (bennett dale)PEREZ XAVIER 124 6.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  DATS A SUPERSTAR Feb18         (dilodovic)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 3.50    
SCR  DIXIE DANCING         (trombetta mic)ALVELO C 119 8.00    
 
LRL-6   03/25/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($52.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ACADIAN GIRL Feb25 Feb10 Jan27     (geralis emanuel )ACOSTA D 126 3.00    
MISS CHESAPEAKE Feb12 Jan22       (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 4.00 38% 1.60    
TWEET AWAY ROBIN Mar04 Feb12 Jan27     (mcmahon hugh )ALVELO C 121 5.00 11% 8.40    
OUR BELLA NICOLE Mar04 Feb01       (trombetta m)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 10.00    
TRUMPET LILLY Mar12 Feb12 Feb03 Jan14   (cash norm)CARRASCO R 123 12.00    
SCR  GWYNEDD Mar04 Jan27       (perkins jr)BOYCE FOREST 123 20.00    
GHOST MAIDEN Mar04 Jan16       (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 123 6.00 30% 2.30    
MET IN MIAMI Feb20 Jan07       (motion gr)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 6.00    
POSITIVE POWER Mar04 Feb08       (gonzalez claudio)CRUZ ANGEL 123 6.00    
 
LRL-7   03/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($57.2K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAST LANI Feb19         (frock l)AVILES YAN 112 30.00 5% 19.00    
PRINCESS GEORGIA         (juarez calixto)DELGADO A 123 15.00    
DECO STRONG         (stites w)ADORNO ABNER 123 12.00    
AMERICAN BASTET Feb12         (vera miguel)KARAMANOS A 126 1.80 34% 1.90    
RESPONSE TIME Mar05 Feb11 Jan28 Jan02   (smith hamilton)ARAUJO DENIS 126 1.60    
HOPE HAS A NAME Feb10 Jan22       (voss kath)CARRASCO R 123 2.00 28% 2.60    
 
LRL-8   03/25/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($52.8K) 3 ALL PT- 4:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEARTNESS Feb27 Feb12 Jan25     (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 2.00    
1A  UNCLE IRISH Feb27 Feb08 Jan18 Jan02   (ness jamie)CRUZ ANGEL 121 2.00 54% 0.80    
THE ADDISON POUR Feb10 Jan23       (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 4.50    
MINECRAFTER Feb27 Feb06       (contessa )CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 12.00    
MAXIMUM IMPACT Feb27 Feb19 Feb10 Jan21 Jan08 (cash l)ACOSTA D 121 6.00    
SHAMATEUR         (corrales jo)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 121 15.00    
PIT STOP MAN Feb24 Feb11 Jan13     (frock charles)ALVELO C 116 20.00    
ROOKIEOFTHEYEAR Feb11 Jan02       (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 124 10.00 23% 3.40    
LORD MIO Feb27 Feb06 Jan23 Jan02   (gonzalez claudi)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 12.00    
HEFFNER Feb19 Jan01       (geralis emanu)KARAMANOS A 121 3.00    
 
LRL-9   03/25/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($52.8K) 3 F PT- 4:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOODY WOMAN Feb19 Jan27       (mcmullen marilyn)RUIZ JORGE 124 6.00    
SCR  MISTY MAUVE Feb26 Jan18       (motion grah)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 5.00 12% 7.30    
CALIFORNIA BELLA Feb18         (mcmahon hugh )ALVELO C 116 15.00    
SCR  BANDITS WARRIOR Mar04         (robb j)CRUZ ANGEL 121 3.50 29% 2.40    
STICKIT TO THE MAN Feb10         (russell b)CARRASCO R 124 8.00    
LADY ZETA Jan25 Jan02       (gonzalez claudi)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 10.00 12% 7.50    
SCR  DRY WELL         (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 121 20.00 9% 10.00    
FUHGEDDABOUDIT Mar04 Feb18       (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 124 6.00    
SCR  MONEY'S WORTH Feb19         (motion gr)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 121 10.00    
10  BAZINGA C Feb18 Jan27       (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 4.50 14% 6.20    
 
LRL-10   03/25/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JEBOLOGIST Feb12         (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 4.00 39% 1.60    
LAKE NAKURU Mar18 Feb21 Feb04 Jan16   (cash l)ACOSTA D 126 4.50    
SCR  MAID THE JOURNEY Mar06 Feb18 Jan28     (contessa gary)ALVELO C 117 15.00    
CHAMBO Feb18 Jan28       (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 122 15.00    
JACK GAVE BACK Feb18 Jan27       (bentley fen)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 126 8.00    
SCR  INK Mar04 Feb03 Jan22     (gonzalez)BUTTERFLY L 119 6.00 18% 4.40    
STRIKING A POSE Jan30         (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 126 3.50 9% 9.70    
SCR  OUR LUCKY MAN Mar04 Feb26 Jan25     (gonzalez claudi)GOMEZ KEVIN 126 3.00 7% 12.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.