Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sam Houston Park
Friday - March 25, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HOU-1   03/25/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($21K) 3 ALL PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STORM THREAT Feb24         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 6.00    
VIENNA PRIZE Feb11 Jan15       (offolter jo)HAMILTON WESTON 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
COTTONWOOD Feb26 Jan15       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 2.50 44% 1.30    
LITTLE SOLDIER BOY Feb24         (pruitt jo)TRIANA JR 122 12.00    
CLIFF DIVER         (craddock k)ERAMIA E 122 12.00    
MOOGIE SON Feb16 Jan28       (lucarelli frank)MONTALVO C 122 4.00 5% 18.20    
BIG BERNIE Mar05 Feb11 Jan15     (willis )GONCALVES R 122 1.60 26% 2.90    
 
HOU-2   03/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  VALID SILVER CHARM         (martinez juan )MORA GERARDO 123 50.00    
HONDO LANE Jan21         (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 123 4.00 13% 7.00    
BOBBY DON Feb17 Jan21       (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 15.00 7% 13.50    
LOVE MY RIDE Mar04 Jan28       (offolter j)ERAMIA E 123 10.00    
MR HANDS ON Feb17 Jan15       (keen da)GONCALVES R 123 3.00 25% 3.00    
RIDE RICHIE RIDE Mar16 Feb09 Jan16 Jan01   (cast)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 1.00 25% 3.00    
ELUSIVE D'ORO Feb16 Jan29       (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 6.00    
 
HOU-3   03/25/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($21K) 3 F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS WOW WOW Feb12 Jan15       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 1.20 38% 1.60    
SNAPPEREE Feb16 Jan15       (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 122 6.00    
L G GIRL Mar02 Feb16 Feb02     (castellanos ja)MORA GERARDO 122 20.00    
CUPIDS LOVE Mar03         (stuart clint)ALVAREZ L 122 8.00    
QUEENSCABALLO Feb25         (biehler e)DIEGO V 122 2.50 38% 1.60    
COPPER BELLE         (craddoc)GONCALVES R 122 12.00    
IZEADISTORTEDLADY Mar04 Feb12       (keen dallas)MELANCON JANSEN 122 10.00    
 
HOU-4   03/25/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($15.5K) 35 ALL PT- 9:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MOUNTAIN BREEZE (IRE)         (crave)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 118 12.00    
SCR  MCKAY Jan21 Jan06       (clemons patric)HUGHES CARLY 118 15.00    
IMPERIAL RED BIRD         (bustamante ray)MORA GERARDO 115 20.00    
ROOSTER RUN Mar03 Jan28       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 115 1.40 41% 1.50    
BRAHMS BOY Mar12 Feb10 Jan27     (stevens w)STEINBERG GARRETT 123 3.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  MOM'S PRAYER Mar12 Feb23 Jan21 Jan06   (clemons patrick)SANCHEZ M 118 6.00    
TERRY LEE         (echeverria he)LARA EZEQUIEL 123 20.00    
EGOR OTAY Mar09 Feb17       (hurley re)LANDEROS C 123 4.00    
 
HOU-5   03/25/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($15.5K) 35 ALL PT- 9:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SILVER NUGGETS Feb10 Jan13       (silva mig)TRIANA JR 115 3.50    
SCR  GOLDBRIDGE Feb26 Feb11       (hebert matt)MELANCON JANSEN 115 15.00 6% 16.80    
SCR  SMART BATTLE Mar17 Feb16 Jan28 Jan08   (duhon paul)DIEGO V 115 20.00    
SCR  CHARLIE G Mar05 Jan30 Jan06     (thomas lee)WETHEY JR 123 2.50 40% 1.50    
THUNDER ROAD Feb18 Feb09       (dods)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 115 20.00    
SCR  GOOD SWIMMER Feb24 Feb12 Jan29     (willis )GONCALVES R 123 6.00    
SCR  MALIBU CHANNEL Feb11 Jan15       (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 115 15.00    
GUARDSMAN PASS Feb17 Jan14       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 3.00 25% 3.00    
BAD JOKE WOKE FOLK Mar10         (short thoma)HAMILTON WESTON 115 30.00    
10  RICKI TORNADO Mar09 Jan01       (short thomas)LARA EZEQUIEL 115 30.00    
11  WHITE TAIL DEER Feb24         (guzman adan)MORA GERARDO 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
HOU-6   03/25/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT-10:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OFF TRACK Feb26 Feb16 Feb04 Jan20   (pish da)GONCALVES R 123 15.00 6% 14.70    
TIZ ALLUPTOME NOW Mar11 Feb23 Feb10 Jan20   (bustamante r)VERA T 123 30.00    
WILLY SPECIAL CATS Mar11 Feb24 Feb04 Jan15   (davidson bre)HUGHES CARLY 118 4.50    
RAILROADER (GB) Mar04 Feb09 Jan20     (carrizales edel)SANCHEZ M 123 8.00 8% 11.60    
MIAS MOONBEAM Mar04 Feb13 Jan22     (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 2.00    
BIG POWER RED Mar16 Feb11 Jan14     (young scott)WETHEY JR 123 3.50 31% 2.20    
RANCHO BARGO Mar04 Feb16       (willi)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 118 6.00    
DANCE KINGDOM Feb26 Feb16 Feb04     (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 20.00 7% 12.50    
ELITCH Mar11 Feb26 Feb16 Jan28 Jan14 (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 123 12.00 18% 4.60    
10  HECOULDGOALLTHEWAY Mar11 Feb24 Feb04 Jan20 Jan08 (roberts j)STEINBERG GARRETT 123 15.00    
 
HOU-7   03/25/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.5K) 4UP ALL PT-10:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARYESCELESTIC MAN Mar11 Feb11 Jan28 Jan20   (garc)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 20.00    
SCR  SIERRA HOTEL         (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 119 4.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  SATURDAY'S GOLD Jan28         (thomas lee)ERAMIA E 119 12.00 10% 8.70    
SCR  SAMURAI CAUSE Mar02 Jan15       (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 6.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  TOUGH CHARLIE Feb10         (thomas lee)WETHEY JR 121 3.50 22% 3.60    
HALF OURS N STORMY Mar10 Feb05 Jan21     (castellan)TRIANA JR 119 30.00    
KNIGHT DISRUPTOR Mar10         (williams steve)MORA GERARDO 123 20.00    
SCR  GRAB THE MUNNY Mar10         (uball)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 114 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CHANNEL WON Mar03 Feb10       (tracy tanne)MELANCON JANSEN 119 3.00    
SCR  TIN BADGE Mar17 Feb18       (stuar)MANRRIQUE JOSE 119 5.00    
 
HOU-8   03/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT-11:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DARYLSLITTLEDIABLO Mar09 Feb11 Jan30     (cast)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 2.00 39% 1.60    
WITH THE BAND Mar18 Mar03 Feb04 Jan06   (davidson m )MELANCON JANSEN 123 4.50    
SUPREME CAPO Mar09 Feb11       (echeverria he)LARA EZEQUIEL 123 10.00    
WARRIORS HAVEN Mar17 Mar05 Feb17 Jan28   (cravens i)MONTALVO C 123 3.50 13% 6.80    
ON MY LIST Mar09         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 115 20.00    
MR B QUIET Mar09 Feb11       (gustafson aus)EIKLEBERRY RY 115 6.00 13% 6.70    
WINGS FOR ENO Mar09 Feb04 Jan06     (johnston johnny)DIEGO V 123 20.00    
GHOST ART Jan13         (gustafson aust)LUZZI J 115 10.00    
FANDO Mar09 Feb11 Jan30     (uriegas henr)ALVAREZ L 123 12.00 9% 10.40    
 
HOU-9   03/25/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 3 F PT-11:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REUNION BLING Mar02 Jan29       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 4.00 10% 8.60    
MADAME RUE Mar02 Jan29       (whit)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 15.00    
SCR  BRADEE CASH         (pish danny)HAMILTON WESTON 122 12.00    
OLGA'S GOLD DANCER Mar02 Feb04 Jan06     (garci)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 117 30.00    
GEE SHE'S FANCY         (pish da)GONCALVES R 122 8.00    
OPTIMISTIC COWGIRL Jan29         (cruz eduar)ERAMIA E 122 1.80 28% 2.60    
COLD NIGHT AIR Mar02 Feb12 Jan27     (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 122 3.00 41% 1.50    
TOOTIE Mar10         (dupuy allen)LUZZI J 122 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.