Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sam Houston Park
Thursday - March 24, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HOU-1   03/24/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($30K) Purse ($25K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  QUINN ELLA Mar10 Feb23 Jan30 Jan15   (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 1.80 75% 0.30    
SIMPLE PLEASURE Feb25         (hebert matt)LUZZI J 119 20.00    
MY WYNTER ROSE Feb19 Jan15       (short thomas)LARA EZEQUIEL 119 20.00    
CHAMPAGNE AFFAIR Feb25 Jan30       (govea cesar)MONTALVO C 119 12.00    
AURA Mar10         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 10.00    
UNBURNT Mar19 Feb04 Jan14     (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 121 4.00    
LEATHER AND LACE Mar09 Jan15       (villafranco)WETHEY JR 123 8.00    
SHIRLEY'S TEMPLE Feb19 Jan30 Jan15     (willis mi)TRIANA JR 121 3.50    
FROSTY FLIRT Mar10 Feb19       (bravo franci)ALVAREZ L 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HAT TIP         (williamson)ERAMIA E 119 4.50    
 
HOU-2   03/24/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.75K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ISTAN WARRIOR Mar05 Feb12 Jan29 Jan14   (eoff terry)LUZZI J 123 6.00    
SCR  PAPA MOLLY Mar03 Feb18       (brobe)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 4.50 24% 3.10    
SMART CALL Feb23 Feb12 Jan29 Jan14   (roberts bl)HUGHES CARLY 118 15.00    
PICKLE SNAPPER         (davidson brent)MONTALVO C 123 12.00 10% 9.30    
GOLD BEAR Mar16 Feb18 Jan22     (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 0.80    
VETERAN'S HOLIDAY Feb12 Jan29       (scholl )GONCALVES R 123 3.50 20% 3.90    
 
HOU-3   03/24/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEMON KICK Feb16 Jan21       (cast)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 15.00    
UNCLE ARTIE Mar11 Feb24 Feb05     (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 3.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  HOLY VOW Mar11 Feb18 Jan21     (villafranco)WETHEY JR 123 3.50 24% 3.20    
NEEDABETTERJOCK Mar09 Feb17 Feb04 Jan15   (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 20.00    
SCR  GOVERNALE         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 2.50 18% 4.60    
KOKOKOMO Feb24 Feb04       (pish da)GONCALVES R 123 4.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LIL BIG MAN Mar04         (j)DE CRUZ 123 30.00    
SCR  INCA WARRIOR Jan26         (brobe)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 15.00    
PEPPER JACK Mar11 Feb05 Jan27     (cravens ronn)ALVAREZ L 123 8.00    
 
HOU-4   03/24/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLIP THE COIN JAN         (castellan)TRIANA JR 123 20.00    
GOLDEN PALACE Mar04 Feb23 Feb05 Jan22   (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 10.00    
KATS SECOND SILVER Feb23 Jan06       (uballe adam)HAMILTON WESTON 123 8.00 6% 14.70    
POLO ART Feb26 Feb10       (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 6.00 12% 7.30    
HE'S A RANGER Feb05 Jan07       (eoff terry)LUZZI J 123 2.50    
SCR  EUROEXIT Mar04 Feb23 Feb09 Jan21 Jan08 (castellanos )ALVAREZ L 123 4.50 14% 5.90    
SHIFTY HENRY Mar10 Feb05 Jan07     (ashford)GONCALVES R 123 2.00 37% 1.70    
TOP BRASS (GB) Feb26 Jan07       (brobe)MANRRIQUE JOSE null      
 
HOU-5   03/24/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN ALE Feb16         (lucarelli f)MELANCON JANSEN 115 20.00    
FRESH ONE Mar05 Feb10 Jan21     (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 3.50    
SILENCE D'ORO Feb19 Jan21       (keen dallas)ALVAREZ L 123 4.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  LET'S GO ALAMO Feb11 Jan22       (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 4.00 26% 2.90    
HE'S A BOMB Mar04 Feb17 Jan22     (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 12.00    
MINISTER'S MEDAL Feb24 Feb02 Jan06     (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 8.00    
AGENT MCGEE Feb10 Jan21       (offolter j)ERAMIA E 123 6.00 40% 1.50    
MOVER Feb17 Jan28       (cravens)GONCALVES R 123 10.00    
GRADESTER Mar04 Feb12 Jan06     (williams f)PEREZ E 123 30.00    
10  AGENT PETER GRAVES Jan22         (young scott)WETHEY JR 123 2.50 10% 9.10    
SCR  SAINT CHARLES Jan30         (biehler m)TRIANA JR 115 50.00    
12  BALKY Jan28 Jan08       (duhon paul)DIEGO V 123 20.00    
13  GRAYDAR'S DREAM Feb04         (padilla car)HAMILTON WESTON 123 20.00    
 
HOU-6   03/24/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HUNK OF A HIT Mar02 Feb24 Feb09 Jan08   (brobe)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 6.00 12% 7.30    
TOE TAPPIN LUKE Mar16 Jan08       (short thoma)MELANCON JANSEN 123 15.00    
PAPA JUSTICE Mar02 Feb09 Jan08     (green greg)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 8.00    
BATTLESHIP BEVO Mar12 Feb24 Feb04 Jan08   (willi)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 118 20.00 8% 12.30    
TAPIT CITY Mar02 Feb11       (mcdaniel sherm)LUZZI J 123 20.00    
HE'S PRETTY LUCKY Mar04 Feb11 Jan20 Jan06   (hurley rena)MONTALVO C 123 4.00 57% 0.70    
D TOWN BABY Mar02 Jan29       (duhon paul)DIEGO V 123 3.00    
SCR  AMERICAN MADE Mar02 Feb05 Jan20     (davidson )TRIANA JR 123 4.50    
MAX PANDOWDY Feb24 Jan20 Jan08     (hebert matt)HAMILTON WESTON 123 5.00    
10  SCHOENHARDT Feb24 Feb11 Jan27     (carrizales ede)MORA GERARDO 123 15.00    
 
HOU-7   03/24/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 3 F PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GLORY O         (w)DE CRUZ 122 30.00    
SOARING Feb27 Jan30       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 1.20    
JOY IN THE BATTLE Mar12         (clary jaylan)MORA GERARDO 122 30.00    
SOUL SET FREE Jan29         (david)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 10.00    
GETONOUTTAHERE Mar03 Feb11 Jan22     (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 15.00 7% 13.60    
FIGHTINGTEMPTATION Feb18 Jan15       (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 6.00 11% 7.90    
STORMY CUT         (short thoma)HAMILTON WESTON 122 20.00    
JUST PEEK'N Feb12         (willis mi)TRIANA JR 122 4.00 58% 0.70    
CHARLOTTES WAY Mar12 Feb13       (villafranco)WETHEY JR 122 15.00    
SCR  AMERICAN COALMINER         (offolter j)ERAMIA E 122 8.00    
11  IT'S ALL A BLUR Feb25 Jan27       (hurle)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 117 50.00    
SCR  GET OUT TONIGHT Feb23 Feb12 Jan21     (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 6.00    
13  BALI DANCER Feb25         (keen dallas)MELANCON JANSEN 122 30.00    
 
HOU-8   03/24/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ITS A GEE THING Mar03 Feb19 Jan20     (pish danny)HAMILTON WESTON 115 3.00    
MRS. KRINKLES Mar18 Mar04 Feb04 Jan14   (echeverria hecto)MONTALVO C 123 4.50 14% 6.10    
SHIASGOLD LADY Mar11 Feb12       (garci)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 118 20.00    
SCR  SHEZA HUNK Mar17 Mar02 Feb12     (davidson )STEINBERG GARRETT 123 6.00    
FACESTER Feb19 Jan20       (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 115 2.50 31% 2.30    
BLING ON THE LIGHT Feb25 Jan29       (scholl )GONCALVES R 123 2.00 25% 3.10    
 
HOU-9   03/24/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 45 ALL PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CRAZY RIDGE Mar05 Feb09 Jan13     (kota)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 12.00    
ZIPPY G Mar09 Feb17       (garretson john)MORA GERARDO 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
BULLS IN THE BRONX Mar03 Feb09       (bravenec darre)LUZZI J 123 15.00    
SIR JASPER Mar03 Feb17       (saavedra mary)LARA EZEQUIEL 123 30.00    
CAUSEWAY STORM Mar03 Feb09       (scholl kev)ERAMIA E 123 2.50 44% 1.30    
SCR  TEXAS REMINGTON Mar05         (johnson thu)MELANCON JANSEN 123 20.00    
PARABELLUM Mar09 Feb18 Jan29 Jan21   (willi)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 118 30.00    
FLY'N SEXY Mar03 Feb11       (castellan)TRIANA JR 123 15.00    
MORO LEGEND Mar09 Feb21       (glover trac)HAMILTON WESTON 123 12.00    
10  GJALLARHORN Mar10 Jan30 Jan22 Jan06   (love alan)PEREZ E 123 5.00 10% 8.60    
SCR  SPANISH EAGLE Mar03 Feb09 Jan15     (coats t)DIEGO V 123 6.00    
12  MUTOMBO Mar03 Feb09       (pish danny)ALVAREZ L 123 3.00 20% 3.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.