Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Will Rogers Downs
Monday - March 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
WRD-1   03/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARPERS VISION         (morales arnol)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  LILLY BELLE         (williams )MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.00    
3  ICY CAPE Mar06 Feb08 Jan18 Jan02   (smith paul )HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 5.00 29% 2.40    
4  MUFFIDES         (quinonez eloy)CRUZ ROMAN 119 8.00    
5  SWEET SMOKIN GAL         (williams steve)MORA GERARDO 124 10.00    
6  HUSHED         (rodriguez marti)KIMES C 124 3.50 10% 8.80    
7  THEYCALLHERPINKY Mar02 Jan07       (young scott)MELANCON JANSEN 124 6.00 24% 3.10    
8  I'M A STEPHANIE Feb12 Jan06       (george wayne)RICHARD RONALD 124 15.00    
9  SMOKING GUITAR         (buehrer m)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 6.00 10% 8.90    
 
WRD-2   03/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THAT'S WHAT I SAY Mar05 Jan23 Jan01     (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 116 6.00 7% 13.70    
2  KIRK OF DIAMONDS Feb09         (craddock )TRIANA JR 121 3.00 22% 3.50    
3  MIDNIGHT REVOLT Feb11 Jan28 Jan14     (dixon tim)KIMES C 124 3.50    
SCR  I'M AN EIGHT Mar10 Feb26 Feb16     (moreno carlos)MORA GERARDO 121 4.50 ★    
5  SIR BRONX Feb24 Feb03 Jan07     (tracy greg)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 2.50 33% 2.00    
6  GOT MOJO Mar11 Feb24 Feb09 Jan20   (williams ste)RICHARD RONALD 121 5.00 9% 9.80    
 
WRD-3   03/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.08K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A FLICKER OFSILVER         (davis steve)HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 10.00    
2  OKLAHOMA LINE         (corderman s)MELANCON JANSEN 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  VALENTINE GUY         (bravo fra)TRIANA JR 124 3.00 32% 2.20    
4  OSO PRIETO         (ashford ray)KIMES C 124 4.00 8% 11.40    
5  OKLAHOMA SWING         (espiritu lucio)MORA GERARDO 124 15.00    
6  HEADEDTOTHESTARS         (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 3.50 10% 9.00    
7  SOONER SKUTA         (engel f)SANCHEZ OBED 124 2.50 26% 2.80    
8  ORNERY AS HELL         (trett don)MEDINA ANGEL 124 12.00    
 
WRD-4   03/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($20.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT TICKET         (caster boyd)RICHARD RONALD 124 5.00    
2  TOMMYHAWK         (swango ra)TRIANA JR 124 2.00 51% 1.00    
3  CABOT TRAIL Jan26 Jan15       (tracy greg)JORDAN R 119 4.00 ★    
4  GRAND ROYALE         (williams f)KIMES C 124 3.00 10% 8.60    
5  MR. SHAPOOR         (williams steve)MORA GERARDO 124 6.00 ★    
6  TROY OUNCE Feb24 Jan26       (ferrell jory)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 5.00 11% 8.00    
 
WRD-5   03/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL GRAPPLER Feb26 Feb08 Jan15     (smith pau)MEDINA ANGEL 118 3.00    
2  HELLO HEARTBREAKER Feb17 Jan19       (birzer bonni)JORDAN R 119 5.00 11% 8.10    
3  G'S STORM Mar04 Feb10 Jan19 Jan01   (dixon tim)KIMES C 118 2.00 34% 2.00    
4  CONTINENTAL COWBOY         (cogburn orr)HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 6.00 ★    
5  DREAMS AFFIRMED         (nichols anthon)SANCHEZ OBED 124 30.00    
6  PURLOINER Mar04 Feb10       (george wayne)CRUZ ROMAN 119 20.00 11% 8.20    
7  BACKSTAGE BUD         (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 2.50 20% 3.90    
 
WRD-6   03/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE SILVER DOLLAR         (cogburn orr)HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  AFLEET SNIPER Mar12 Feb24 Feb09 Jan08   (pruitt jo)TRIANA JR 124 2.50    
3  BEST YEAR YET         (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 124 6.00 ★    
4  CAJUNS GOLDEN POND         (dixon tim)KIMES C 124 3.00 ★    
5  MY FORTUNATE SON Feb16 Feb03 Jan22     (martin timoth)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 2.00 61% 0.60    
6  KAT'S HITMAN Mar11 Feb20 Jan28 Jan02   (hewitt micha)RICHARD RONALD 124 4.00 9% 9.50    
 
WRD-7   03/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.86K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IT'S INEVITABLE         (bravo fra)TRIANA JR 124 3.00    
2  CAT TALE BREEZE         (ashford h)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 118 15.00    
3  SILVER POM POM         (williams )MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50 47% 1.10    
4  SMOKEY REFLECTION         (swan patrick)JORDAN R 119 8.00 ★    
5  HONOR GRADUATE         (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 124 4.00 ★    
6  SAYAAD AIN'T SO         (swan e)CRUZ ROMAN 113 6.00 8% 10.80    
7  SCORNED LOVER         (gladd kassie)KIMES C 118 6.00 13% 6.50    
8  RAINING         (rodriguez mar)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 20.00    
9  MRSG'S LIL DREAMER Feb05 Jan06       (george wayne)RICHARD RONALD 124 12.00    
 
WRD-8   03/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DICEY         (swan patrick)JORDAN R 119 6.00 ★    
2  RAGAN'S JET Jan14         (offolter s)KIMES C 121 12.00 6% 15.80    
3  SAILING ALONG         (bravo franci)RICHARD RONALD 121 12.00 6% 15.60    
4  CASINO QUEEN         (nolen kenne)WETHEY JR 121 2.00 36% 1.80    
5  JULIARD HONOR         (young scott)MELANCON JANSEN 121 4.00 25% 3.00    
6  SWEET MARY M         (craddock )TRIANA JR 121 2.50    
SCR  WAR BALLAD Feb13         (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 116 6.00    
 
WRD-9   03/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($19.8K) 3 ALL PT- 5:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DA CRIMSON PASS         (dunlap m)KIMES C 122 12.00    
2  KALEO         (craddock ka)MELANCON JANSEN 122 6.00 9% 10.40    
3  RAINBOW GOLD         (young scott)WETHEY JR 122 3.50 22% 3.50    
4  LIVINGONTULSATIME Feb23 Jan16       (engel roger )JORDAN R 117 3.00    
5  GOD HELP US         (dunlap shon)HERRERA GUSTAVO 122 12.00    
6  NORTHERN ORBIT Mar09 Feb10 Jan15     (pruitt m)SANCHEZ OBED 122 6.00 21% 3.70    
7  JAMBI         (hale vi)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 20.00    
8  OLE SOFTY         (luneack t)MEDINA ANGEL 122 12.00    
9  FORTYSLEW         (blatchford georg)CRUZ ROMAN 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  BORK         (young sco)TRIANA JR 122 4.00 17% 4.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.