Handicappers' Racing Form

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Will Rogers Downs
Monday - March 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
WRD-1   03/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARPERS VISION         (morales arnold)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
LILLY BELLE         (williams j )MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.00    
ICY CAPE Mar06 Feb08 Jan18 Jan02   (smith a)HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 5.00 29% 2.40    
MUFFIDES         (quinonez eloy)CRUZ ROMAN 119 8.00    
SWEET SMOKIN GAL         (williams f)MORA GERARDO 124 10.00    
HUSHED         (rodriguez marti)KIMES C 124 3.50 10% 8.80    
THEYCALLHERPINKY Mar02 Jan07       (young e)MELANCON JANSEN 124 6.00 24% 3.10    
I'M A STEPHANIE Feb12 Jan06       (george wayne)RICHARD RONALD 124 15.00    
SMOKING GUITAR         (buehrer mar)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 6.00 10% 8.90    
 
WRD-2   03/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THAT'S WHAT I SAY Mar05 Jan23 Jan01     (chleborad lynn)JORDAN R 116 6.00 7% 13.70    
KIRK OF DIAMONDS Feb09         (craddock ka)TRIANA JR 121 3.00 22% 3.50    
MIDNIGHT REVOLT Feb11 Jan28 Jan14     (dixon tim)KIMES C 124 3.50    
SCR  I'M AN EIGHT Mar10 Feb26 Feb16     (moreno carlos)MORA GERARDO 121 4.50    
SIR BRONX Feb24 Feb03 Jan07     (tracy greg)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 2.50 33% 2.00    
GOT MOJO Mar11 Feb24 Feb09 Jan20   (williams steve)RICHARD RONALD 121 5.00 9% 9.80    
 
WRD-3   03/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.08K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A FLICKER OFSILVER         (davis d)HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 10.00    
OKLAHOMA LINE         (corderman sco)MELANCON JANSEN 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
VALENTINE GUY         (bravo franc)TRIANA JR 124 3.00 32% 2.20    
OSO PRIETO         (ashford ray)KIMES C 124 4.00 8% 11.40    
OKLAHOMA SWING         (espiritu lucio)MORA GERARDO 124 15.00    
HEADEDTOTHESTARS         (williams steve )PUSAC ALBERTO 124 3.50 10% 9.00    
SOONER SKUTA         (engel f)SANCHEZ OBED 124 2.50 26% 2.80    
ORNERY AS HELL         (trett donal)MEDINA ANGEL 124 12.00    
 
WRD-4   03/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($20.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:24
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT TICKET         (caster boyd)RICHARD RONALD 124 5.00    
TOMMYHAWK         (swango rand)TRIANA JR 124 2.00 51% 1.00    
CABOT TRAIL Jan26 Jan15       (tracy greg)JORDAN R 119 4.00    
GRAND ROYALE         (williams f)KIMES C 124 3.00 10% 8.60    
MR. SHAPOOR         (williams f)MORA GERARDO 124 6.00    
TROY OUNCE Feb24 Jan26       (ferrell jory)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 5.00 11% 8.00    
 
WRD-5   03/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL GRAPPLER Feb26 Feb08 Jan15     (smith paul )MEDINA ANGEL 118 3.00    
HELLO HEARTBREAKER Feb17 Jan19       (birzer bonnie)JORDAN R 119 5.00 11% 8.10    
G'S STORM Mar04 Feb10 Jan19 Jan01   (dixon tim)KIMES C 118 2.00 34% 2.00    
CONTINENTAL COWBOY         (cogburn orrin)HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 6.00    
DREAMS AFFIRMED         (nichols anthony)SANCHEZ OBED 124 30.00    
PURLOINER Mar04 Feb10       (george wayne)CRUZ ROMAN 119 20.00 11% 8.20    
BACKSTAGE BUD         (williams steve )PUSAC ALBERTO 124 2.50 20% 3.90    
 
WRD-6   03/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE SILVER DOLLAR         (cogburn orrin)HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
AFLEET SNIPER Mar12 Feb24 Feb09 Jan08   (pruitt jody)TRIANA JR 124 2.50    
BEST YEAR YET         (corderman scott)SANCHEZ OBED 124 6.00    
CAJUNS GOLDEN POND         (dixon tim)KIMES C 124 3.00    
MY FORTUNATE SON Feb16 Feb03 Jan22     (martin timothy )PUSAC ALBERTO 124 2.00 61% 0.60    
KAT'S HITMAN Mar11 Feb20 Jan28 Jan02   (hewitt michael)RICHARD RONALD 124 4.00 9% 9.50    
 
WRD-7   03/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.86K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IT'S INEVITABLE         (bravo franc)TRIANA JR 124 3.00    
CAT TALE BREEZE         (ashford r)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 118 15.00    
SILVER POM POM         (williams j )MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50 47% 1.10    
SMOKEY REFLECTION         (swan e)JORDAN R 119 8.00    
HONOR GRADUATE         (corderman scott)SANCHEZ OBED 124 4.00    
SAYAAD AIN'T SO         (swan e)CRUZ ROMAN 113 6.00 8% 10.80    
SCORNED LOVER         (gladd kassie)KIMES C 118 6.00 13% 6.50    
RAINING         (rodriguez marti)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 20.00    
MRSG'S LIL DREAMER Feb05 Jan06       (george wayne)RICHARD RONALD 124 12.00    
 
WRD-8   03/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DICEY         (swan e)JORDAN R 119 6.00    
RAGAN'S JET Jan14         (offolter s)KIMES C 121 12.00 6% 15.80    
SAILING ALONG         (bravo francisc)RICHARD RONALD 121 12.00 6% 15.60    
CASINO QUEEN         (nolen kenneth)WETHEY JR 121 2.00 36% 1.80    
JULIARD HONOR         (young e)MELANCON JANSEN 121 4.00 25% 3.00    
SWEET MARY M         (craddock ka)TRIANA JR 121 2.50    
SCR  WAR BALLAD Feb13         (moysey e)HIRALDO JOHN 116 6.00    
 
WRD-9   03/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($19.8K) 3 ALL PT- 5:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DA CRIMSON PASS         (dunlap m)KIMES C 122 12.00    
KALEO         (craddock kari)MELANCON JANSEN 122 6.00 9% 10.40    
RAINBOW GOLD         (young e)WETHEY JR 122 3.50 22% 3.50    
LIVINGONTULSATIME Feb23 Jan16       (engel f)JORDAN R 117 3.00    
GOD HELP US         (dunlap m)HERRERA GUSTAVO 122 12.00    
NORTHERN ORBIT Mar09 Feb10 Jan15     (pruitt m)SANCHEZ OBED 122 6.00 21% 3.70    
JAMBI         (hale vict)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 20.00    
OLE SOFTY         (luneack the)MEDINA ANGEL 122 12.00    
FORTYSLEW         (blatchford george )CRUZ ROMAN 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  BORK         (young scott)TRIANA JR 122 4.00 17% 4.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.